Abandoned-Molecule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$6.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

57% 67% +$24

Crypto

23% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

6% 75% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-9	$-4	92¢	$-8	$-4	06-14 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 13:49
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	8	$252	157	157	+0	open	—	02-15 16:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt0 and 50pt5 million views on day 6	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 16:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	5	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 16:04
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$163	89	89	+0	open	—	02-15 16:33
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	4	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	02-15 15:02
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	4	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 16:03
will nflx dip to 70 in february	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 05:09
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	4	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt5 and 51pt0 million views on day 6	3	$142	100	50	+50	open	—	02-13 13:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	11	$136	170	166	+4	open	—	04-03 06:59
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$116	89	89	+0	open	—	02-23 13:20
nba min phi 2026 04 03	11	$106	120	118	+2	open	—	04-03 06:59
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 21c	4	$91	100	97	+3	open	—	04-03 05:28
will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 08:22
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	4	$90	100	98	+2	open	—	04-03 05:47
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	4	$90	100	98	+2	open	—	04-03 05:46
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	12	$88	120	117	+3	open	—	04-20 05:45
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-17 16:04
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	02-25 14:13
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 80 99	3	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	02-16 10:45
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	3	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	02-17 12:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	02-18 12:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	9	$63	70	67	+3	open	—	04-03 06:59
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	11	$57	80	77	+3	Yes	$-2	04-20 07:16
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	2	$47	50	48	+2	open	—	04-03 05:47
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	2	$46	50	49	+1	open	—	04-03 05:47
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 12c	2	$44	50	49	+1	open	—	04-03 05:30
highest temperature in madrid on april 3 2026 22c	2	$44	50	49	+1	open	—	04-03 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:19:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x863aaa…
06-02 17:53:44	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6ab49c…
06-02 17:53:09	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0c187f…
06-02 17:52:12	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x562a9f…
06-02 17:51:51	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x34c883…
06-02 17:51:30	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1f3cd3…
06-02 05:58:08	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x45135a…
06-02 05:51:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xcb486a…
05-27 16:40:31	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x8a7e70…
05-27 16:39:18	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x561b51…
05-27 16:38:57	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd571e5…
05-27 16:38:34	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc84beb…
05-27 12:19:30	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd7c3cf…
05-27 12:17:42	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xacad54…
05-26 02:06:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x5034a3…
05-26 02:06:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfb53b9…
05-26 01:58:52	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x67b496…
05-24 12:54:16	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb267d9…
05-23 10:00:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xfe041f…
05-23 09:53:32	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0xff08f1…
05-23 09:46:50	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Team WE	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x18a601…
05-23 09:46:46	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Team WE	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xdf5818…
05-23 05:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x98c4a5…
05-22 16:48:18	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x177b35…
05-22 16:44:36	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc3504f…
05-22 16:42:35	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xed8a21…
05-22 16:41:18	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcf1ea1…
05-22 16:38:39	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9b64cf…
05-22 16:37:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x1837d5…
05-22 16:37:01	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xd08a47…
05-22 16:34:25	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x54ebbe…
05-22 16:33:27	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x989b9b…
05-22 16:32:54	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb81990…
05-22 14:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xb86666…
05-22 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf8fe21…
05-22 14:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x7f2f71…
05-22 14:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcba251…
05-22 14:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x1260e2…
05-22 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f5479…
05-22 14:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13fe4e…
05-22 12:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7c1d6c…
05-22 12:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb03083…
05-22 12:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x990917…
05-22 11:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4c20e5…
05-22 11:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73bc87…
05-22 10:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb79166…
05-22 10:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x01ba04…
05-22 09:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd5c71b…
05-22 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8eb24d…
05-22 09:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0fc8b6…
05-22 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xb28afe…
05-22 09:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x22da75…
05-22 09:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x904906…
05-22 08:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe6f29b…
05-13 18:31:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x352214…
05-13 18:30:26	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeea509…
05-13 18:29:30	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdb60b9…
05-13 18:29:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x218400…
05-13 18:25:53	FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1528a7…
05-13 18:24:57	Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x489f8c…
05-13 18:24:36	San Diego FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd2826f…
05-13 18:24:06	Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa4b129…
05-13 18:23:35	St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xee1e86…
05-13 18:23:17	Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb81de2…
05-13 18:22:37	Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8b53df…
05-13 18:22:09	FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x753f6a…
05-13 18:21:53	Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc9834a…
05-13 18:21:29	New York Red Bulls vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x29b138…
05-13 18:21:06	New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf75064…
05-13 18:20:38	D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa04d5b…
05-13 18:20:21	CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x609094…
05-07 16:41:46	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xda710f…
05-07 16:41:23	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x130ffc…
05-05 16:43:32	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfebc67…
05-05 16:43:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x25f024…
04-23 15:38:48	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xffad48…
04-23 15:32:52	btc updown 5m 1776958200	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa48fdf…
04-23 15:28:50	btc updown 5m 1776957900	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa00834…
04-23 15:23:18	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x165ad8…
04-23 15:09:18	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x09f749…
04-23 15:08:00	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xda2afd…
04-23 15:02:42	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0dab5b…
04-23 14:47:22	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1798cb…
04-21 05:09:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x6c403e…
04-21 04:45:14	btc updown 5m 1776746400	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x041971…
04-21 04:44:26	btc updown 5m 1776746400	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x437cd7…
04-21 04:43:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xa5fe75…
04-21 04:34:46	btc updown 5m 1776745800	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b9ce9…
04-21 04:28:50	btc updown 5m 1776745500	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x47db07…
04-21 04:27:38	btc updown 5m 1776745500	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0fa782…
04-21 04:23:50	btc updown 5m 1776745200	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd586b2…
04-21 04:02:40	btc updown 5m 1776744000	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc6a4a4…
04-21 03:59:02	btc updown 5m 1776743700	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x943c54…
04-21 03:58:46	btc updown 5m 1776743700	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd3f928…
04-21 03:52:58	btc updown 5m 1776743400	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad2c68…
04-21 03:44:10	btc updown 5m 1776742800	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x50f5f8…
04-21 03:42:38	btc updown 5m 1776742800	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdf27d0…
04-21 03:28:04	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6776b7…
04-21 03:23:24	btc updown 5m 1776741600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x606e1f…
04-21 03:13:48	btc updown 5m 1776741000	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xf1277c…