Questionable-Discrimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$244

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

105

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$734

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

89% 8% -$219

Crypto

8% 43% -$7

Sports

2% 0% -$9

Politics

1% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	2	$72	71	71	+0	Yes	+$70	06-04 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$41	63	63	+0	No	-$5	06-05 05:23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$39	219	219	+0	No	+$0	06-11 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	06-05 03:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$30	7,643	7,643	+0	No	-$13	06-06 05:29
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	2	$26	330	0	+330	No	-$26	01-06 03:42
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 260 279	1	$26	8,002	0	+8,002	No	-$26	01-05 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$21	47	47	+0	No	$0	06-09 17:55
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	2	$20	4,436	0	+4,436	No	-$20	01-06 03:40
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 340 359	2	$20	1,336	0	+1,336	No	-$20	01-06 03:39
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 320 339	2	$20	2,003	0	+2,003	No	-$20	01-06 03:39
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	2	$20	573	0	+573	No	-$20	01-06 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$19	26	26	+0	No	+$5	06-10 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$18	83	83	+0	No	+$5	06-06 08:40
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 380 399	1	$16	360	0	+360	No	-$16	01-05 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	06-04 07:31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$15	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$5	06-05 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$14	17	17	+0	No	+$8	06-09 15:28
ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	2	$13	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 10:17
Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$13	132	132	+0	No	-$7	03-19 04:44
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	1	$12	31	0	+31	No	-$12	06-11 03:47
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$12	62	62	+0	No	-$8	03-19 04:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 07:55
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$11	116	116	+0	No	-$9	03-19 04:46
Will Laurent Blanc be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$10	125	125	+0	No	-$10	03-19 04:44
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$10	59	59	+0	No	-$10	03-19 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	06-04 08:06
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$9	24	24	+0	No	-$3	03-19 04:44
will the labour party pvda win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	1	$9	167	0	+167	No	-$9	03-19 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$8	227	227	+0	No	-$2	06-05 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:47:45	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0xf190bd…
06-11 03:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x0aec03…
06-11 02:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x38f621…
06-10 17:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0xe39eb3…
06-10 17:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x189d13…
06-10 17:12:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0xf524bc…
06-10 02:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xf93e10…
06-10 02:29:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	6¢	$8	0x9626dc…
06-09 19:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0x7078ff…
06-09 17:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0x8a07d7…
06-09 17:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0x58474a…
06-09 15:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x2bfc38…
06-09 03:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb217a4…
06-09 03:34:46	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xe31714…
06-09 03:34:34	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xb595ba…
06-09 03:34:27	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x3d6b3b…
06-06 08:53:16	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0d4e52…
06-06 08:52:24	Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x682f15…
06-06 08:52:15	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d34c4…
06-06 08:51:49	Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4014db…
06-06 08:51:30	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed9e7d…
06-06 08:51:18	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf87f88…
06-06 08:51:12	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x814b57…
06-06 08:51:04	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb501d9…
06-06 08:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2b1814…
06-06 08:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x076bd5…
06-06 08:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0xc6de20…
06-06 05:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xd67a16…
06-06 05:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,215	0¢	$7	0xd5a52a…
06-05 06:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,215	0¢	$16	0x2c5b9c…
06-05 05:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	28¢	$18	0x74cf11…
06-05 03:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x55f813…
06-05 03:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x316b15…
06-05 03:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa14f0b…
06-05 03:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc9f0c0…
06-05 03:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x48cedb…
06-05 03:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xd21da6…
06-05 03:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x7c475b…
06-05 03:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xf818cd…
06-05 03:35:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xcb614a…
06-05 03:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x199caa…
06-05 03:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x9b1f77…
06-05 03:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x78bcfe…
06-05 03:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x494c92…
06-05 03:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0xf67bc9…
06-05 03:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	344	0¢	$1	0xec2865…
06-05 03:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0x04744d…
06-05 03:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$1	0x4050cc…
06-05 03:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x517200…
06-05 03:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0x88fb0b…
06-05 03:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$3	0x5e6a21…
06-05 03:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x7e2584…
06-05 03:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x84cd39…
06-04 10:19:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x94283e…
06-04 10:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xdde646…
06-04 10:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x0af239…
06-04 10:18:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x8a10f6…
06-04 10:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x17f991…
06-04 10:17:51	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xfe00b2…
06-04 08:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb058a2…
06-04 08:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x729ec8…
06-04 08:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x282a24…
06-04 08:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xc48d69…
06-04 08:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xabb3fe…
06-04 08:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x217ebb…
06-04 08:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x858baa…
06-04 08:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa5aa7e…
06-04 08:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	1¢	$5	0x090a8e…
06-04 08:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xd44110…
06-04 08:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	428	1¢	$5	0x5afe6c…
06-04 08:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xa25627…
06-04 08:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$5	0xdfc9b6…
06-04 08:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,302	0¢	$5	0xb19f5e…
06-04 08:01:34	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x2cc6f8…
06-04 07:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5977ac…
06-04 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa55d16…
06-04 07:51:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xca3aa1…
06-04 07:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa9e251…
06-04 07:33:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4aabb7…
06-04 07:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x554e8a…
06-04 07:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd82594…
06-04 07:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xfbd3b0…
06-03 20:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0da8d0…
06-03 20:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0xf3ac74…
06-03 20:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x1e4476…
06-03 20:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xec95bd…
06-03 20:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfee7f0…
06-03 20:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	222	0¢	$1	0xf43c8b…
06-03 20:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x052d7d…
06-03 20:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x84dac7…
06-03 20:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x087cfa…
06-03 20:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	863	0¢	$1	0x5a41ff…
06-03 20:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xd8c64d…
06-03 20:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xd6030d…
06-03 20:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5b292e…
06-03 20:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x385b78…
06-03 20:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9dae80…
06-03 20:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x338cc6…
06-03 20:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x39540b…
06-03 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x6c2a44…