Wry-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

2,411

Trades

4,472

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-10 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 53% -$804

Other

17% 50% -$442

Politics

8% 33% -$639

Sports

1% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$859	5,205	5,205	+0	No	-$286	06-10 14:11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$591	3,524	3,524	+0	Yes	-$307	06-25 18:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	2	$279	166	166	+0	No	+$52	10-16 23:13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	6	$207	205	205	+0	No	-$13	06-13 23:03
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$163	123	123	+0	No	+$83	06-01 20:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$156	191	191	+0	Yes	+$56	06-02 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	2	$148	88	88	+0	No	+$28	10-19 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	2	$144	85	84	+0	No	+$24	10-19 04:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	4	$137	195	0	+195	Up	+$8	03-30 12:34
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?	5	$115	491	0	+491	No	-$115	06-13 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	2	$99	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 22:49
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	1	$96	121	0	+121	Yes	+$25	01-27 02:02
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$96	130	130	+0	No	-$4	06-02 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:30 UTC	8	$91	103	52	+50	Down	-$9	03-30 04:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:35 UTC	5	$91	52	52	+0	Up	-$9	03-30 04:39
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?	3	$90	641	0	+641	No	-$90	06-13 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	1	$87	150	0	+150	No	+$63	10-22 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:00 UTC	3	$86	103	53	+50	Down	-$10	03-30 07:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	2	$85	53	53	+0	Down	-$15	03-30 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:15 UTC	3	$84	103	53	+50	Up	-$15	03-30 07:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:35 UTC	3	$81	140	0	+140	Up	+$9	03-30 12:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	3	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$60	03-20 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	4	$79	47	47	+0	Yes	+$15	10-07 12:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$78	394	0	+394	No	-$78	10-25 23:21
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	4	$76	47	47	+0	Yes	+$10	10-07 12:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?	4	$75	47	47	+0	Yes	+$14	10-07 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	1	$75	112	0	+112	No	+$37	10-25 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	1	$75	123	0	+123	Yes	-$75	10-25 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:45 UTC	2	$74	79	0	+79	Down	-$74	03-30 16:49
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	4	$68	3,410	0	+3,410	No	-$68	05-29 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1d9f4b…
11-10 15:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x356435…
11-10 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6142cb…
11-10 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xad2758…
11-10 05:08:10	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x0d8bb1…
11-10 05:08:04	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x97247c…
11-10 02:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8b4ed6…
11-10 02:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xdfaf22…
11-10 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa2dcb7…
11-10 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3c436d…
11-10 02:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf68f19…
11-10 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x85c055…
11-10 02:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbae6e1…
11-10 02:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdbc6c5…
11-10 02:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xeadae1…
11-10 02:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2ed13b…
11-10 02:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa9a50c…
11-10 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7d3e1a…
11-10 02:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1c801c…
11-10 02:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe13f22…
11-10 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7cebce…
11-10 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2d7801…
11-10 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x829b40…
11-10 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x45636e…
11-10 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf28e31…
11-10 01:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x32535c…
10-27 15:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x45d506…
10-27 15:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2e71af…
10-27 15:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbaf33e…
10-27 15:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x6dd719…
10-27 15:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xfdda3a…
10-27 14:59:05	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0x714599…
10-27 14:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xc45691…
10-27 14:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xea5250…
10-27 14:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0xd669d1…
10-27 14:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x031d27…
10-27 14:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x497138…
10-27 14:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4002b4…
10-27 14:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa81393…
10-26 17:57:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x4729ef…
10-26 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf7451b…
10-26 17:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x7e755b…
10-26 17:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x4dd302…
10-26 17:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc7680a…
10-26 17:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4de15b…
10-26 17:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9a502d…
10-26 17:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x86392f…
10-25 23:21:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xd36f02…
10-25 23:09:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0xd624f1…
10-25 23:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x48089d…
10-25 22:56:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xa93109…
10-25 22:50:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xb627a8…
10-25 22:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	72	69¢	$49	0x8d9e21…
10-25 20:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x636092…
10-25 20:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x7ee06c…
10-25 20:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x97dcfe…
10-25 20:37:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x0887cb…
10-25 20:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0xe3f6c0…
10-25 20:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xca99bf…
10-25 20:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xc35209…
10-25 20:21:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0x52e678…
10-25 20:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x6267a7…
10-25 19:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7e4fae…
10-25 19:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0x7b1e30…
10-25 01:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x3c172e…
10-25 01:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0x44f4f4…
10-22 16:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	No	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0xede438…
10-19 15:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	86	64¢	$55	0x65c800…
10-19 15:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	No	BUY	87	63¢	$55	0xf643d5…
10-19 15:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x1d8480…
10-19 04:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x3b23cb…
10-19 04:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xf76fe4…
10-18 16:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0xcde72a…
10-18 16:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0xaaadb7…
10-18 16:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0xcd875e…
10-16 23:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	No	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0x4359e7…
10-16 23:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x88a2d3…
10-16 23:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x469d46…
10-16 23:13:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x1fdc8c…
10-15 23:07:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	166	69¢	$114	0x3aa3ec…
10-15 23:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x24806d…
10-15 23:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4393c1…
10-15 23:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe048a8…
10-15 23:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2b39d8…
10-15 14:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8fe7f8…
10-15 14:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x30c37c…
10-15 07:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x0cd7f3…
10-15 07:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xef399b…
10-15 07:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 15?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xba7cf4…
10-15 06:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xe8afe8…
10-15 06:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xbd2e32…
10-15 06:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 15?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xf6904b…
10-15 06:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 15?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xdd1fa0…
10-15 06:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x2b0697…
10-15 06:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x6c28e3…
10-15 06:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x923d65…
10-15 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5bef5f…
10-15 06:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 15?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x013ed6…
10-15 06:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xb0e082…
10-15 06:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 14?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x808734…