Wry-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

2,496

Trades

4,649

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-12 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 53% -$819

Other

17% 50% -$442

Politics

8% 33% -$639

Sports

1% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	11-12 08:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$859	5,205	5,205	+0	No	-$286	06-10 14:11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$591	3,524	3,524	+0	Yes	-$307	06-25 18:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	2	$279	166	166	+0	No	+$52	10-16 23:13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	6	$207	205	205	+0	No	-$13	06-13 23:03
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$163	123	123	+0	No	+$83	06-01 20:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$156	191	191	+0	Yes	+$56	06-02 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	2	$148	88	88	+0	No	+$28	10-19 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	2	$144	85	84	+0	No	+$24	10-19 04:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	4	$137	195	0	+195	Up	+$8	03-30 12:34
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?	5	$115	491	0	+491	No	-$115	06-13 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	2	$99	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 22:49
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	1	$96	121	0	+121	Yes	+$25	01-27 02:02
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$96	130	130	+0	No	-$4	06-02 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:30 UTC	8	$91	103	52	+50	Down	-$9	03-30 04:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:35 UTC	5	$91	52	52	+0	Up	-$9	03-30 04:39
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?	3	$90	641	0	+641	No	-$90	06-13 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	1	$87	150	0	+150	No	+$63	10-22 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:00 UTC	3	$86	103	53	+50	Down	-$10	03-30 07:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	2	$85	53	53	+0	Down	-$15	03-30 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:15 UTC	3	$84	103	53	+50	Up	-$15	03-30 07:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:35 UTC	3	$81	140	0	+140	Up	+$9	03-30 12:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	3	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$60	03-20 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	4	$79	47	47	+0	Yes	+$15	10-07 12:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$78	394	0	+394	No	-$78	10-25 23:21
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	4	$76	47	47	+0	Yes	+$10	10-07 12:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?	4	$75	47	47	+0	Yes	+$14	10-07 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	1	$75	112	0	+112	No	+$37	10-25 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	1	$75	123	0	+123	Yes	-$75	10-25 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:45 UTC	2	$74	79	0	+79	Down	-$74	03-30 16:49
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	4	$68	3,410	0	+3,410	No	-$68	05-29 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfdfe06…
11-12 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xa4eccf…
11-12 08:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x5b1da4…
11-12 08:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x75ca91…
11-12 08:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9d186b…
11-12 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5e01d6…
11-12 08:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x10b9e4…
11-12 08:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfd1206…
11-12 08:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x39b1c8…
11-12 08:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x46486a…
11-12 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbc0b17…
11-12 08:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x93849b…
11-12 08:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb5efc5…
11-12 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x942d8b…
11-12 08:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x52e1cb…
11-12 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbe0d87…
11-12 08:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x47b048…
11-12 08:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x124b56…
11-12 08:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4b14f3…
11-12 08:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xb03c49…
11-12 08:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x776aac…
11-12 07:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc0a491…
11-12 07:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x08c674…
11-12 07:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x666c5e…
11-12 07:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xba077b…
11-12 07:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x247a34…
11-12 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x244bd9…
11-12 07:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8f4ff…
11-12 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfb43fd…
11-12 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x791b87…
11-12 07:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xba2f4d…
11-12 07:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee3f5f…
11-12 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe3ca2f…
11-12 07:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x639761…
11-12 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf3344d…
11-12 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x8f229d…
11-12 07:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7662c1…
11-12 07:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7db054…
11-12 07:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xc2137a…
11-12 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x40bb75…
11-12 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x132042…
11-12 07:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f3a42…
11-12 07:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xccb656…
11-12 07:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe2ed1e…
11-12 07:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6834b3…
11-12 06:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x56c38f…
11-12 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xe0ca29…
11-12 06:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x78a823…
11-12 06:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb455dd…
11-12 06:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe86596…
11-12 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0863cc…
11-12 06:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1cdd7c…
11-12 06:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0868eb…
11-12 06:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x55d8b4…
11-12 06:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xd74756…
11-12 06:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xb8ae86…
11-12 06:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3e952b…
11-12 06:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad552f…
11-12 06:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x449bc8…
11-12 06:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xdf6ce3…
11-12 06:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x0b5f34…
11-12 06:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x092f01…
11-12 06:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9e324c…
11-12 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbebf7f…
11-12 06:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x4fce15…
11-12 06:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b91d2…
11-12 06:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc5fe0…
11-12 06:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x184920…
11-12 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x8c5b18…
11-12 06:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x6f022b…
11-12 06:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92fb27…
11-12 06:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98e059…
11-12 05:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x5ada01…
11-12 05:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcfe092…
11-12 05:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x287ebe…
11-12 05:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x09da96…
11-12 05:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x47117f…
11-12 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb02499…
11-12 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfe6f68…
11-12 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x146e41…
11-12 05:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4049a0…
11-12 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x03fb64…
11-12 05:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfe747a…
11-12 05:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2e8c0c…
11-12 05:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xf57374…
11-12 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x231e93…
11-12 05:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x6bb630…
11-12 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x74ebb3…
11-12 04:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x627d47…
11-12 04:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x812ba2…
11-12 04:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x924cd8…
11-12 04:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe20b87…
11-12 04:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xafecde…
11-12 04:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x0964ec…
11-12 04:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x9cc340…
11-12 04:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x0220a0…
11-12 04:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7a43d7…
11-12 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd77f3e…
11-12 04:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x63bab5…
11-12 04:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x89dec4…