Wry-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

2,535

Trades

4,721

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-12 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 53% -$825

Other

17% 50% -$442

Politics

8% 33% -$639

Sports

1% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$859	5,205	5,205	+0	No	-$286	06-10 14:11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$591	3,524	3,524	+0	Yes	-$307	06-25 18:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	2	$279	166	166	+0	No	+$52	10-16 23:13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	6	$207	205	205	+0	No	-$13	06-13 23:03
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$163	123	123	+0	No	+$83	06-01 20:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$156	191	191	+0	Yes	+$56	06-02 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	2	$148	88	88	+0	No	+$28	10-19 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	2	$144	85	84	+0	No	+$24	10-19 04:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	4	$137	195	0	+195	Up	+$8	03-30 12:34
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?	5	$115	491	0	+491	No	-$115	06-13 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	2	$99	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 22:49
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	1	$96	121	0	+121	Yes	+$25	01-27 02:02
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$96	130	130	+0	No	-$4	06-02 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:30 UTC	8	$91	103	52	+50	Down	-$9	03-30 04:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:35 UTC	5	$91	52	52	+0	Up	-$9	03-30 04:39
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?	3	$90	641	0	+641	No	-$90	06-13 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	1	$87	150	0	+150	No	+$63	10-22 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:00 UTC	3	$86	103	53	+50	Down	-$10	03-30 07:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	2	$85	53	53	+0	Down	-$15	03-30 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:15 UTC	3	$84	103	53	+50	Up	-$15	03-30 07:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:35 UTC	3	$81	140	0	+140	Up	+$9	03-30 12:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	3	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$60	03-20 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	4	$79	47	47	+0	Yes	+$15	10-07 12:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$78	394	0	+394	No	-$78	10-25 23:21
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	4	$76	47	47	+0	Yes	+$10	10-07 12:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?	4	$75	47	47	+0	Yes	+$14	10-07 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	1	$75	112	0	+112	No	+$37	10-25 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	1	$75	123	0	+123	Yes	-$75	10-25 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:45 UTC	2	$74	79	0	+79	Down	-$74	03-30 16:49
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	4	$68	3,410	0	+3,410	No	-$68	05-29 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0xe801b1…
11-12 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd9df5b…
11-12 10:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x305c8e…
11-12 10:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcd909c…
11-12 10:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xb979c8…
11-12 10:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8268ff…
11-12 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4d6ea…
11-12 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x74b4e3…
11-12 10:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4cf019…
11-12 10:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x102856…
11-12 10:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x946850…
11-12 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc943f7…
11-12 10:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa074ec…
11-12 10:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d386e…
11-12 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xea6e2d…
11-12 10:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec9a68…
11-12 10:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6425e…
11-12 10:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49bc46…
11-12 10:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0c1208…
11-12 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x31952d…
11-12 10:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe220f8…
11-12 10:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf91472…
11-12 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x7a07ae…
11-12 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x902ebe…
11-12 10:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x876cde…
11-12 10:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9ecfe0…
11-12 10:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xcc5388…
11-12 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x76506c…
11-12 09:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34066a…
11-12 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x284c3c…
11-12 09:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x2edd21…
11-12 09:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2cc1c6…
11-12 09:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x9e4230…
11-12 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd8dcfb…
11-12 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x288c7a…
11-12 09:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x2f6907…
11-12 09:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x15aecc…
11-12 09:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1705bc…
11-12 09:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x96f4be…
11-12 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xb44493…
11-12 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x4d0a7e…
11-12 09:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9c7068…
11-12 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xac151e…
11-12 09:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xdd9a95…
11-12 09:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9cb2d6…
11-12 09:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x77b913…
11-12 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xa8c1ea…
11-12 09:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd53c53…
11-12 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x8387da…
11-12 08:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xfcec9c…
11-12 08:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x38c77e…
11-12 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfdfe06…
11-12 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xa4eccf…
11-12 08:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x5b1da4…
11-12 08:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x75ca91…
11-12 08:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9d186b…
11-12 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5e01d6…
11-12 08:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x10b9e4…
11-12 08:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfd1206…
11-12 08:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x39b1c8…
11-12 08:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x46486a…
11-12 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbc0b17…
11-12 08:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x93849b…
11-12 08:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb5efc5…
11-12 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x942d8b…
11-12 08:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x52e1cb…
11-12 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbe0d87…
11-12 08:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x47b048…
11-12 08:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x124b56…
11-12 08:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4b14f3…
11-12 08:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xb03c49…
11-12 08:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x776aac…
11-12 07:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc0a491…
11-12 07:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x08c674…
11-12 07:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x666c5e…
11-12 07:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xba077b…
11-12 07:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x247a34…
11-12 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x244bd9…
11-12 07:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8f4ff…
11-12 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfb43fd…
11-12 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x791b87…
11-12 07:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xba2f4d…
11-12 07:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee3f5f…
11-12 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe3ca2f…
11-12 07:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x639761…
11-12 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf3344d…
11-12 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x8f229d…
11-12 07:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7662c1…
11-12 07:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7db054…
11-12 07:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xc2137a…
11-12 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x40bb75…
11-12 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x132042…
11-12 07:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f3a42…
11-12 07:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xccb656…
11-12 07:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe2ed1e…
11-12 07:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6834b3…
11-12 06:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x56c38f…
11-12 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xe0ca29…
11-12 06:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x78a823…
11-12 06:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb455dd…