Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$922

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.1%

Resolved

343

Trades

4,229

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 10-29 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

46% 17% -$195

Other

46% 18% -$575

Sports

5% 8% -$114

Tech

3% 20% -$7

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will “The Way I Am” by Luke Combs win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	12	$227	145	145	+0	open	—	10-25 06:25
Will Digger win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	10-23 10:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	12	$161	106	106	+0	open	—	10-26 04:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?	14	$151	110	109	+1	open	—	10-22 11:58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	12	$151	94	94	+0	open	—	10-23 11:50
Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	14	$148	101	101	+0	open	—	10-28 18:15
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	6	$127	80	80	+0	open	—	10-16 12:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?	8	$123	79	79	+0	open	—	10-18 15:01
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	11	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 21:38
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	15	$122	120	120	+0	Yes	-$23	10-28 19:15
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	8	$121	94	94	+0	No	-$14	10-23 15:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 10%-15%?	13	$117	86	86	+0	open	—	10-23 18:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	8	$116	80	80	+0	open	—	10-23 22:54
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	10	$115	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 10:59
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?	9	$114	80	80	+0	open	—	10-24 00:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?	8	$111	70	70	+0	open	—	10-24 08:02
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	14	$111	85	85	+0	open	—	10-28 13:20
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	9	$110	80	80	+0	No	-$6	10-23 06:21
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	9	$109	80	80	+0	open	—	10-21 19:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?	8	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	10-22 23:22
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	10	$104	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 09:15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	11	$104	68	68	+0	open	—	10-26 22:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?	8	$104	66	66	+0	open	—	10-24 19:47
Will Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree?	11	$102	70	70	+0	open	—	10-24 10:50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?	9	$102	66	66	+0	open	—	10-21 12:20
Will Jan Blachowicz fight Carlos Ulberg next?	6	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	09-23 05:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?	6	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	10-18 20:16
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	8	$100	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 06:41
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	9	$98	70	70	+0	open	—	10-23 14:56
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	6	$98	86	86	+0	Yes	-$14	10-22 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:49:44	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xfb372f…
10-29 15:23:29	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x50a7db…
10-29 13:49:59	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x34288d…
10-29 13:02:41	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xf1665e…
10-29 12:59:17	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x5016b9…
10-29 12:58:55	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x9d0246…
10-29 12:58:43	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdfefa4…
10-29 12:51:25	Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x0d37ae…
10-29 12:39:31	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x809072…
10-29 12:20:26	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xaf2904…
10-29 12:09:37	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0fcec4…
10-29 11:57:32	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x212846…
10-29 11:57:32	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x1fa912…
10-29 11:53:55	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x305587…
10-29 11:53:55	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x14c9dc…
10-29 11:42:46	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x163130…
10-29 11:40:59	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xeed2ea…
10-29 11:29:34	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2e088a…
10-29 11:20:53	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xe4a69d…
10-29 11:08:26	Will the Big Ten conference win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4687a0…
10-29 11:08:25	Will the Big Ten conference win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0b0052…
10-29 11:02:35	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x609cb9…
10-29 10:51:08	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x531b8b…
10-29 10:36:17	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x6759fe…
10-29 10:35:11	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3cca12…
10-29 10:27:46	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf18f0d…
10-29 10:17:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x37b9c8…
10-29 10:13:26	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa5d1b4…
10-29 09:48:14	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x557b5c…
10-29 08:39:02	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb0e269…
10-29 08:37:28	Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x61bae8…
10-29 08:36:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xf355e5…
10-29 08:29:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x9cada7…
10-29 08:22:16	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x450477…
10-29 08:21:02	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xf9d750…
10-29 08:20:52	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4f185f…
10-29 08:13:07	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd4d192…
10-29 08:10:10	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0702d7…
10-29 08:06:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xaf3540…
10-29 08:00:43	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x90a74c…
10-29 07:53:50	democratic senate odds over 68 on november 1	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x670b6e…
10-29 07:51:34	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x94b1a8…
10-29 07:50:05	Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaa9f94…
10-29 07:21:13	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1a84ee…
10-29 07:20:23	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x417b0d…
10-29 07:19:07	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe278d6…
10-29 07:18:55	Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x3a5cb3…
10-29 07:13:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa9817f…
10-29 07:13:37	Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xf86b50…
10-29 07:12:29	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x3fa0bb…
10-29 07:12:10	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x16b9b7…
10-29 07:09:08	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa32c9c…
10-29 06:51:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x74e280…
10-29 06:51:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x3014c4…
10-29 06:46:31	Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x504d85…
10-29 06:35:17	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xb143ab…
10-29 06:09:40	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xbafda3…
10-29 06:05:29	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xaec337…
10-29 06:01:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x375cb2…
10-29 05:41:25	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x8f545f…
10-29 04:25:25	Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x5141c2…
10-29 04:11:49	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x728062…
10-29 04:11:49	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x417e8a…
10-29 03:51:44	Will Troy Jackson run ahead of Hannah Pingree?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xc43990…
10-29 03:40:26	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xdae877…
10-29 03:39:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2ef0b3…
10-29 03:29:44	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xb1a1e1…
10-29 03:28:29	Will Peggy Flanagan run 0 to 3 points behind Amy Klobuchar?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x39880b…
10-29 02:42:05	will rihanna have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8fa4d7…
10-29 02:30:25	will democrats win the michigan and ohio senate seats	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x213f93…
10-29 02:27:58	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x80dec5…
10-29 02:13:22	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xf82d91…
10-29 01:42:20	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd51d3d…
10-29 01:39:58	will democrats win the ohio and texas senate seats	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbddab2…
10-29 01:16:53	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x927328…
10-29 01:15:29	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7a3cfc…
10-29 01:02:59	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x89c505…
10-29 00:49:55	Will Troy Jackson run ahead of Hannah Pingree?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x719703…
10-29 00:48:49	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xe3ec49…
10-29 00:43:23	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xc5931f…
10-29 00:43:19	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	No	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x90a70e…
10-29 00:31:31	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x98c1ee…
10-29 00:25:13	Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x2c82ec…
10-29 00:12:37	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x595071…
10-29 00:04:11	will democrats win the michigan and texas senate seats	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbc612d…
10-28 23:54:52	Will Peggy Flanagan run 0 to 3 points behind Amy Klobuchar?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4e8fb7…
10-28 23:47:26	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x729f22…
10-28 23:26:22	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf1c6ad…
10-28 23:08:31	Will Club América finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x17e115…
10-28 23:07:17	Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x9123ed…
10-28 23:07:14	Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xb0ec00…
10-28 22:59:07	Will Club América finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x312ed3…
10-28 22:43:22	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x3f6eae…
10-28 21:56:28	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x718978…
10-28 21:38:53	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x84be8e…
10-28 21:38:52	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x00683d…
10-28 21:31:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x3592c6…
10-28 21:28:35	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8d5db8…
10-28 21:02:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa34447…
10-28 21:00:34	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x65e961…