Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

314

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-31 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 75% -$18

Politics

29% 85% -$15

Other

13% 83% -$5

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	6	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	10-24 18:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	15	$58	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	10-31 21:01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	7	$43	29	29	+0	Yes	-$7	10-26 08:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	3	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 06:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	5	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	10-29 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$26	46	16	+29	Down	-$4	08-23 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4PM ET	11	$24	31	8	+23	Up	+$2	09-22 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	09-02 16:30
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$19	28	0	+28	No	-$19	10-25 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3PM ET	6	$19	21	0	+21	Down	+$2	09-22 19:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	7	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4PM ET	12	$18	17	16	+1	Down	+$4	09-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$17	18	12	+7	Up	-$7	09-03 15:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-13 20:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	7	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-07 21:27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	3	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-23 21:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	3	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-23 05:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	10-26 11:50
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	8	$14	9	7	+2	No	+$0	10-08 21:06
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-30 17:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	5	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	10-26 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$10	12	5	+7	Down	+$0	09-09 13:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	4	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-23 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	08-23 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$10	13	0	+13	Up	-$10	09-23 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	09-02 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	08-23 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 11:45 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$0	08-24 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET	3	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	09-21 21:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$1	10-29 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:05:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xa3322e…
10-31 21:04:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x52aa9e…
10-31 21:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4b2770…
10-31 21:04:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x0ce4fc…
10-31 21:04:37	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x27b45c…
10-31 21:02:28	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x00b0e9…
10-31 21:02:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x83b4c5…
10-31 21:02:12	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xd44f29…
10-31 21:02:03	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe5794c…
10-31 21:01:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6a4ced…
10-31 21:01:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xa54409…
10-31 21:01:37	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x9c0c69…
10-31 21:01:28	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x467002…
10-30 17:19:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c3098…
10-30 17:18:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbf712e…
10-30 17:18:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xfe955b…
10-30 17:17:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x089e26…
10-30 17:17:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb2848b…
10-30 17:15:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x28a00a…
10-29 20:44:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x93f4f0…
10-29 16:57:43	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf924e8…
10-29 16:38:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9d83a2…
10-29 16:37:05	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7502d9…
10-29 15:33:19	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd06cb5…
10-29 14:25:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0e5b7a…
10-29 14:22:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x4f632e…
10-29 14:13:25	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x5a20c9…
10-29 14:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8fdf13…
10-29 14:06:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf68e60…
10-29 14:05:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9b5b7f…
10-29 14:05:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x80f61f…
10-29 14:04:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8a872f…
10-29 14:04:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x04b1df…
10-29 14:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x052d18…
10-29 11:51:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xe7d7a4…
10-29 11:51:26	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x7b2a44…
10-29 11:49:47	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x66530f…
10-29 11:46:52	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x663e07…
10-29 11:46:07	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x69b564…
10-28 17:03:56	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x42e9e6…
10-28 07:33:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d42cf…
10-27 13:05:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7489cf…
10-27 09:08:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x20640f…
10-27 07:51:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x709a4d…
10-27 07:00:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb9fe09…
10-27 05:42:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5cfc55…
10-27 05:06:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1af56d…
10-27 04:00:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x01e997…
10-27 02:03:18	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd20e85…
10-26 22:17:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xb590ca…
10-26 21:09:45	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xd19466…
10-26 11:52:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbe07a2…
10-26 11:50:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcb94bd…
10-26 11:15:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x24f822…
10-26 11:14:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3598a2…
10-26 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x369063…
10-26 08:54:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7f3b1b…
10-26 08:50:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3ef4c6…
10-26 08:50:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x93e735…
10-26 08:49:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x404e58…
10-26 08:48:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x854923…
10-26 08:46:59	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xded339…
10-26 08:11:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	64¢	$18	0x7cbb86…
10-26 08:09:15	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xd843f1…
10-26 07:45:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdc8fa3…
10-25 19:38:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1719db…
10-25 19:36:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf4b2a5…
10-25 19:36:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb3c790…
10-25 19:35:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd484d0…
10-25 19:35:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc2dde2…
10-25 19:34:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb27b09…
10-25 19:34:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x4c5f3b…
10-25 19:33:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2169de…
10-25 19:33:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2d70bb…
10-25 19:32:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc64f68…
10-25 16:27:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1f944b…
10-25 16:26:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb5fb14…
10-25 11:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd24735…
10-25 11:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c112d…
10-25 06:09:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd42932…
10-25 06:06:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x071761…
10-25 06:05:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf137d1…
10-25 06:00:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xaa1047…
10-25 01:22:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd6458…
10-24 21:18:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xebd4c3…
10-24 21:17:27	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd69d18…
10-24 19:30:48	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x641d1f…
10-24 19:07:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x352d17…
10-24 19:06:41	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x96c759…
10-24 18:58:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3d352c…
10-24 18:55:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa39b83…
10-24 18:54:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb0f015…
10-24 18:54:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5e0dd4…
10-24 18:53:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1127f1…
10-24 05:52:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xccf2d4…
10-24 05:38:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bf8dd…
10-24 05:37:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x34487b…
10-24 05:37:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xccd012…
10-24 03:04:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0f8f7f…
10-23 21:47:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6477cc…