Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$6.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-28 06:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-21

Politics

21% 0% $-31

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$640	601	601	+0	open	—	02-13 12:24
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$446	200	396	-196	open	—	03-12 16:55
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	6	$385	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-23 22:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$339	198	198	-0	open	—	03-12 16:52
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	10	$280	247	198	+49	open	—	04-05 00:42
deepseek v4 released by february 28	13	$259	361	361	+0	open	—	02-23 16:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$232	140	140	+0	open	—	03-19 00:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 18:12
tony gonzalez out as us rep by march 31	2	$170	93	93	+0	open	—	03-13 13:23
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	3	$156	476	476	+0	open	—	02-14 21:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$155	140	140	+0	open	—	02-23 16:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$154	217	217	+0	open	—	03-12 21:42
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	2	$142	94	94	+0	open	—	03-12 19:10
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	5	$130	145	10	+135	open	—	03-08 21:39
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	5	$130	93	93	+0	open	—	02-11 10:40
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	4	$128	370	0	+370	open	—	02-13 13:35
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	4	$120	103	103	+0	open	—	02-24 03:48
will 2 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	2	$119	450	312	+138	open	—	02-14 12:46
will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	2	$109	94	94	+0	open	—	03-02 18:41
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	2	$107	94	94	+0	open	—	03-12 19:47
highest temperature in dallas on february 14 2026 70forhigher	7	$90	400	50	+350	open	—	02-14 12:48
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 17:09
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 72 73f	2	$86	88	88	+0	open	—	02-16 22:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$75	350	350	+0	open	—	02-14 21:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$75	600	600	+0	open	—	02-23 19:41
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	7	$74	118	41	+76	Yes	$-5	04-28 06:23
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$73	71	71	-0	open	—	04-08 17:36
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	3	$72	84	84	+0	open	—	02-24 07:09
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	1	$72	98	0	+98	open	—	02-23 19:35
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 50m and 55m	1	$71	94	0	+94	open	—	02-25 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 06:23:10	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$8	0x2ef50f…
04-27 21:03:02	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe72205…
04-27 20:36:00	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb97419…
04-27 12:08:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x20535d…
04-09 17:50:15	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xf09ec0…
04-09 17:47:25	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0xe43ce3…
04-09 17:40:51	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x6c0088…
04-08 17:37:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0x60c906…
04-08 17:37:05	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x797616…
04-08 17:37:03	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x158ec6…
04-08 17:36:59	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xa54aee…
04-08 10:15:31	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x50d14b…
04-07 23:08:27	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	26	37¢	$9	0x13de45…
04-07 20:17:21	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfedaff…
04-07 20:17:21	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5cac54…
04-07 20:07:01	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xcbcf93…
04-07 19:56:25	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xa6ea35…
04-07 19:52:45	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x4c6ef3…
04-07 19:50:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	37	72¢	$26	0xa423ba…
04-07 19:50:35	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xffee78…
04-07 19:34:07	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x14570d…
04-07 19:33:35	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x0d6ae4…
04-07 19:28:53	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0xf17676…
04-07 19:27:19	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0x0198ae…
04-07 19:22:57	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x5bb7da…
04-07 19:07:49	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x47548f…
04-07 18:55:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xd3fdd9…
04-07 18:55:23	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xabb0af…
04-07 18:30:03	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xa48d95…
04-07 18:29:41	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0x0efe3c…
04-06 11:37:33	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	63	39¢	$25	0xec5dd6…
04-06 03:37:27	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x49e8ad…
04-06 02:13:39	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x3a682d…
04-05 23:27:53	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc3b482…
04-05 23:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x1296d0…
04-05 22:56:13	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x47796e…
04-05 22:55:51	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x63d00d…
04-05 22:55:51	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x1ba298…
04-05 22:55:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x0b8c30…
04-05 22:36:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x18f61d…
04-05 22:23:45	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x11462b…
04-05 22:20:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9993f7…
04-05 22:20:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0xf9738f…
04-05 22:17:13	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0xa712d6…
04-05 21:59:29	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x44ac8d…
04-05 21:59:29	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x391695…
04-05 21:58:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xf73971…
04-05 21:58:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	49	56¢	$28	0x284081…
04-05 21:53:09	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xf74c15…
04-05 20:36:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x333af7…
04-05 16:28:37	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xe1f588…
04-05 16:14:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xa928e4…
04-05 16:00:53	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x9bb3bd…
04-05 15:58:45	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x8dc992…
04-05 15:55:39	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0xc47381…
04-05 15:49:07	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa16647…
04-05 15:44:49	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x56059a…
04-05 15:41:13	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x4e6a2f…
04-05 15:33:51	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xf96a82…
04-05 15:33:51	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x68a702…
04-05 15:28:25	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xb29cd5…
04-05 15:28:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0x064cc5…
04-05 15:16:57	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe0c042…
04-05 15:16:39	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x54a5b8…
04-05 12:53:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x99693b…
04-05 11:52:35	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0xb52bd4…
04-05 11:51:59	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xc5c35f…
04-05 11:47:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x761abd…
04-05 11:42:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xae9251…
04-05 11:40:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x5487d3…
04-05 11:35:59	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x0f4d87…
04-05 11:11:37	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x1edc75…
04-05 03:38:49	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x52b7c7…
04-05 01:32:19	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4218a2…
04-05 00:57:57	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x75c879…
04-05 00:42:53	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x82f7db…
04-05 00:17:07	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xecf7b4…
04-05 00:05:55	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x7c795a…
04-04 23:45:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xd69786…
04-04 23:43:31	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4271c9…
04-04 23:41:21	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x0033e9…
04-04 23:39:13	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x9ffe72…
04-04 23:35:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x2fbe50…
04-04 22:48:31	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x781162…
04-04 21:42:39	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xd4826d…
04-04 21:38:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2882b6…
04-04 21:32:45	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xd97138…
04-04 21:26:57	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xb29578…
04-04 21:25:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x09d87a…
04-04 21:15:01	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x994dba…
04-04 21:14:31	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x115a48…
04-04 20:57:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa39b13…
04-04 20:54:15	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xde999c…
04-04 20:54:01	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x5ce9c7…
04-04 20:53:51	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xc6fec4…
04-04 18:17:41	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	71	48¢	$34	0x1cee9c…
04-04 18:16:13	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa6f9ef…
04-04 18:06:05	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x93cc41…
04-04 18:05:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x91b533…
04-04 18:04:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x90f06c…