Uneven-Humidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

273

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$46

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-07 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

88% 66% +$86

Sports

8% 31% +$58

Crypto

4% 63% +$19

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+26	$20	97¢	$26	+$6	11-07 08:24
Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	+14	$10	72¢	$10	+$0	11-07 11:42
Wizards vs. Thunder	Thunder	+12	$10	82¢	$10	+$0	11-07 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$733	400	400	+0	open	—	05-11 05:00
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-18?	2	$51	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-18 07:54
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$47	27	27	+0	No	+$7	10-18 13:33
Mavericks vs. Rockets	2	$43	25	25	+0	Rockets	+$5	10-22 01:33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	2	$38	24	24	+0	No	-$1	10-21 13:05
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-18 07:53
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$5	10-18 13:42
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-09-09?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-20 09:15
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5	2	$30	20	20	+0	Over	$0	10-12 06:00
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	4	$27	20	20	+0	Under	$0	10-27 14:26
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 09:43
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	1	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	-$25	10-28 14:01
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	1	$25	32	0	+32	Under	+$7	10-15 07:54
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	1	$25	31	0	+31	No	+$6	10-27 11:18
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	1	$25	31	0	+31	Yes	+$6	11-05 14:16
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	2	$25	25	6	+19	Atalanta BC	+$4	10-29 14:22
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	1	$24	30	0	+30	Over	+$6	11-01 08:14
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	1	$24	30	0	+30	No	+$6	10-26 06:47
Nuggets vs. Thunder	1	$22	30	0	+30	Thunder	+$8	10-22 07:15
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	1	$22	30	0	+30	No	+$8	11-01 09:47
Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-07?	1	$22	28	0	+28	No	+$6	11-07 08:24
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-18?	1	$22	27	0	+27	No	+$5	10-18 08:18
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	1	$22	39	0	+39	Yes	+$17	11-06 12:11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	1	$22	25	0	+25	Yes	+$3	11-02 10:49
OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	1	$22	30	0	+30	Under	-$22	10-22 07:10
Nets vs. Celtics	3	$22	15	15	+0	Celtics	-$1	10-28 00:43
nba bkn mia 2026 10 14	4	$22	15	15	+0	Heat	+$1	10-15 01:22
Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First Half	4	$22	28	0	+28	Yes	-$22	09-09 15:08
nba cha bos 2026 10 14	4	$21	15	15	+0	Celtics	$0	10-14 12:48
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	1	$21	30	0	+30	Under	-$21	10-24 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:43:00	Wizards vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbc0b46…
11-07 11:42:48	Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5339fa…
11-07 08:24:46	Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x14d070…
11-07 08:24:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6373fc…
11-07 08:24:04	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x42d097…
11-06 12:12:43	Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xf7c58c…
11-06 12:12:25	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xe49b70…
11-06 12:11:31	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x24899b…
11-05 14:16:18	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x183836…
11-05 14:15:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5faa14…
11-04 14:03:07	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa943de…
11-04 14:02:45	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe84c4e…
11-04 14:02:34	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x3dae52…
11-04 14:02:19	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xf2520c…
11-04 14:02:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xb54384…
11-03 14:30:37	Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0815d2…
11-03 13:51:18	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf88a9c…
11-03 12:06:45	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x204120…
11-03 11:38:49	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x41d912…
11-03 11:38:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x93613c…
11-03 11:38:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc402c4…
11-03 11:37:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xbc0b20…
11-03 11:36:40	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xa72295…
11-03 03:26:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xfa538d…
11-03 02:28:37	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x2aa04e…
11-03 02:06:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xeb6b33…
11-03 02:06:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xbb9702…
11-02 11:29:12	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x5983f6…
11-02 10:56:19	Will FC København win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x11fe37…
11-02 10:49:45	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x149304…
11-01 17:48:19	Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x0d580e…
11-01 12:16:19	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x4669e1…
11-01 09:47:49	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xce5bfc…
11-01 08:14:21	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xdaadc6…
11-01 08:13:34	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x55f38c…
11-01 08:13:04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x81eb24…
10-31 11:08:21	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x640365…
10-31 11:01:58	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe9a317…
10-31 11:01:43	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc63faa…
10-31 11:01:31	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x458bfc…
10-29 14:22:10	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xc2c986…
10-29 08:10:53	Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	CA Paranaense	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x88f081…
10-29 07:54:44	Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	CA Paranaense	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xa7b652…
10-29 07:54:10	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x29a883…
10-29 07:53:47	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x68df80…
10-29 07:52:52	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xb54f13…
10-28 14:01:01	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb03376…
10-28 13:59:32	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x2506aa…
10-28 13:58:04	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2afd5b…
10-28 00:43:56	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x1720d4…
10-27 14:26:23	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x402ac7…
10-27 13:00:09	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xe470a3…
10-27 12:55:36	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x948577…
10-27 12:55:35	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8c9857…
10-27 11:40:51	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe38c5e…
10-27 11:19:02	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x2bcc4e…
10-27 11:18:36	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x13015b…
10-26 06:49:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x0859f3…
10-26 06:48:24	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x36e0dc…
10-26 06:47:53	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xa31dec…
10-25 09:15:42	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x84e8d9…
10-25 09:14:35	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x006423…
10-24 09:43:42	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x34456b…
10-24 09:40:29	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd42b99…
10-24 08:44:06	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe76b61…
10-24 08:35:12	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x458fa9…
10-24 07:57:47	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x853022…
10-24 07:57:32	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd1524a…
10-24 07:56:00	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa77271…
10-24 07:54:50	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x342567…
10-23 13:20:24	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x0618ac…
10-23 13:18:48	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x118692…
10-23 11:37:30	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x15dcdd…
10-22 07:15:26	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x1e0dc3…
10-22 07:11:50	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NEC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xc92e0e…
10-22 07:10:06	OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xc13ee4…
10-22 07:09:45	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x53c317…
10-22 01:33:59	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xed3fcc…
10-21 13:05:50	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xe074b8…
10-21 05:56:12	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x6eef22…
10-21 05:38:17	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x864ac9…
10-21 05:37:47	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xa84c8e…
10-21 05:36:26	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x499fe0…
10-20 09:15:44	Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x136511…
10-20 07:04:08	VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x62e3a7…
10-20 07:03:35	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x2c644a…
10-20 07:03:01	Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x255270…
10-19 08:37:57	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x8d85c6…
10-18 13:42:17	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xe4677c…
10-18 13:33:11	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x2c03d6…
10-18 12:02:36	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3a395c…
10-18 09:39:54	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x522fcf…
10-18 08:18:27	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x557e0e…
10-18 08:18:06	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xf92ece…
10-18 08:17:36	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x61fcd9…
10-18 07:54:03	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x3874a9…
10-18 07:53:44	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xf0c610…
10-18 04:45:38	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x256285…
10-18 04:45:03	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x0b6a4e…
10-18 04:44:11	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xff7166…