Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$871

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 03-12 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

88% 3% -$783

Crypto

8% 10% -$71

Other

4% 20% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$1.3K	1,198	1,198	+0	Yes	+$326	03-08 10:37
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$804	11,561	0	+11,561	Yes	-$804	03-12 20:35
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$658	1,305	1,305	+0	No	-$143	03-06 23:47
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$104	1,876	1,876	+0	No	+$4	03-11 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:25 UTC	2	$80	70	70	+0	Up	+$60	03-02 17:30
ethereum above 2200 on march 3	1	$30	1,008	0	+1,008	No	-$30	03-03 01:22
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$25	511	0	+511	No	-$25	03-02 04:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$25	623	0	+623	No	-$25	03-02 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	2	$22	25	25	+0	Down	+$13	03-02 22:04
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	1	$20	2,813	0	+2,813	No	-$20	03-03 19:08
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$17	596	596	+0	No	-$3	03-08 10:24
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$12	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$12	03-03 19:04
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$10	526	0	+526	Yes	-$10	03-03 00:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	1	$10	228	0	+228	No	-$10	03-03 00:13
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$10	03-02 06:01
will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	1	$10	1,270	0	+1,270	No	-$10	03-02 04:44
bitcoin above 58k on march 4	1	$10	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	-$10	03-03 00:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$10	03-03 19:04
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$10	688	0	+688	No	-$10	03-03 00:09
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	1,429	0	+1,429	No	-$10	03-03 19:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:40 UTC	1	$10	56	0	+56	Down	-$10	03-08 10:41
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	1	$10	175	0	+175	Yes	-$10	03-03 00:12
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$10	264	0	+264	No	-$10	03-02 23:41
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$7	3,500	0	+3,500	No	-$7	03-08 10:28
ethereum above 1800 on march 4	1	$7	389	0	+389	Yes	-$7	03-03 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:05 UTC	2	$7	95	0	+95	Up	-$7	03-02 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:55 UTC	2	$7	39	11	+28	Down	-$3	03-02 21:58
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$5	109	0	+109	No	-$5	03-02 21:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:05 UTC	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	-$5	03-02 18:09
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$5	03-03 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-12 20:35:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	7,463	8¢	$604	0x2a7143…
03-12 19:51:37	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	4,098	5¢	$200	0xe6fc7f…
03-11 11:09:41	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	1,876	3¢	$54	0xae5f13…
03-10 15:14:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	1,876	3¢	$50	0xca87fc…
03-08 10:41:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa8e300…
03-08 10:37:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,198	68¢	$810	0x671f62…
03-08 10:28:37	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x152a8e…
03-08 10:24:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	596	1¢	$7	0xf60b51…
03-06 23:47:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,198	40¢	$484	0x414095…
03-06 23:47:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	1,305	20¢	$258	0x279bea…
03-03 19:47:59	ethereum above 1800 on march 4	No	BUY	389	2¢	$7	0xb15853…
03-03 19:45:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	1,305	31¢	$401	0x90a6bd…
03-03 19:12:27	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xd5d754…
03-03 19:11:55	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x1bbabd…
03-03 19:11:13	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xcdc970…
03-03 19:11:01	Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8cb9df…
03-03 19:10:55	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xbd193b…
03-03 19:10:51	Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x965d4a…
03-03 19:10:45	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xee4feb…
03-03 19:10:39	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x962414…
03-03 19:10:33	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4db756…
03-03 19:10:23	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x5a1ade…
03-03 19:10:13	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55415f…
03-03 19:10:05	Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x50e838…
03-03 19:09:51	Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x611cd2…
03-03 19:09:45	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd10b53…
03-03 19:09:39	Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8241d9…
03-03 19:09:33	Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x301ee1…
03-03 19:09:25	Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a414f…
03-03 19:08:53	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,813	1¢	$20	0xfdfe4c…
03-03 19:04:13	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$12	0x7d1a4f…
03-03 19:04:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xa93896…
03-03 02:28:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	596	2¢	$10	0xc04992…
03-03 01:22:55	ethereum above 2200 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,008	3¢	$30	0xe2e949…
03-03 00:13:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0x2af893…
03-03 00:12:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x5da9a3…
03-03 00:11:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x67959c…
03-03 00:11:05	bitcoin above 58k on march 4	No	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xff83e5…
03-03 00:09:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	Yes	BUY	688	1¢	$10	0x9feb3a…
03-02 23:41:25	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x1367b9…
03-02 22:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x357785…
03-02 22:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x2fed61…
03-02 22:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9a1c61…
03-02 22:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0xe470a2…
03-02 22:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2eee62…
03-02 21:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x2c6888…
03-02 21:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x584663…
03-02 21:52:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x3907bd…
03-02 21:35:15	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa72f51…
03-02 21:34:37	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x22fa9d…
03-02 21:28:59	bitcoin up or down march 2 4pm et	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x962c47…
03-02 18:32:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x793968…
03-02 18:23:43	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd3ae16…
03-02 18:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x75c99e…
03-02 18:14:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2a33e8…
03-02 18:09:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0a0476…
03-02 17:43:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	168	2¢	$4	0x3c57a1…
03-02 17:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x849944…
03-02 17:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x427b44…
03-02 17:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x87672b…
03-02 06:16:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	623	4¢	$25	0xbe8233…
03-02 06:01:43	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xba5df1…
03-02 04:44:55	will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	Yes	BUY	1,270	1¢	$10	0xb1c55a…
03-02 04:14:55	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	511	5¢	$25	0x34774b…