Nimble-Judgment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-28 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$28

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	07-28 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	2	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$2	01-21 04:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 20	1	$1.0K	1,040	0	+1,040	No	+$1	01-20 03:08
bitcoin above 100k on january 19	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	No	+$1	01-19 03:38
ethereum above 3400 on january 13	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	No	+$1	01-13 06:34
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$2	01-17 20:41
ethereum above 3500 on january 17	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$2	01-17 05:04
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$1.0K	1,029	0	+1,029	No	+$2	01-16 05:44
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$6	01-14 04:01
ethereum above 3500 on january 15	1	$1.0K	1,040	0	+1,040	No	+$17	01-15 03:56
ethereum above 3300 on january 12	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	No	+$12	01-12 08:05
ethereum above 3500 on january 16	11	$44	4,077	1,027	+3,050	No	-$19	01-16 06:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-07 00:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-06 02:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-05 00:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-08 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-09 00:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-25 23:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-01 01:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-25 00:18
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-22 23:57
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-21 00:43
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-20 01:15
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-19 01:43
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-17 23:23
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-17 01:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-16 14:45
bitcoin above 80k on april 15	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-15 02:48
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-13 23:23
bitcoin above 76k on april 13	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-12 22:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-02 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 02:10:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd3e2ba…
05-25 03:16:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf7fab2…
05-24 03:28:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8ef250…
05-23 09:47:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4caf56…
05-09 00:33:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x513f5d…
05-08 00:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcf0cea…
05-07 00:39:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xcc2db5…
05-06 02:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x145575…
05-05 00:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe825b9…
05-04 00:56:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x318b47…
05-03 02:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x930de2…
05-02 06:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xae89f7…
05-01 01:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc3fd87…
04-25 23:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9cb77b…
04-25 00:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c11b3…
04-22 23:57:16	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5a8cc7…
04-21 00:43:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x68bd08…
04-20 01:15:46	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0fb039…
04-19 01:43:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4f9a9f…
04-17 23:23:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x95c890…
04-17 01:00:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfdaab4…
04-16 14:45:48	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xd51b90…
04-15 02:48:06	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x22ffc1…
04-13 23:23:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x797cc2…
04-12 22:30:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x59dac4…
04-11 23:58:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9129ce…
04-11 14:23:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xeafd78…
04-04 22:38:21	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa76618…
04-04 00:58:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0bf44c…
04-02 23:22:59	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x24248a…
04-01 20:48:25	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x270975…
04-01 20:48:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6ef6f4…
03-31 21:13:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd79a6d…
03-30 22:38:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x994d44…
03-29 23:40:30	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe39010…
03-28 22:59:06	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x673d95…
03-27 22:44:45	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5422f0…
03-27 11:59:23	ethereum above 2200 on march 27	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x138c15…
03-24 20:37:37	ethereum above 2400 on march 25	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1c192…
03-23 20:31:51	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xe2a071…
03-22 20:46:49	ethereum above 2400 on march 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c274b…
03-21 20:39:15	ethereum above 2000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x006449…
03-21 06:18:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0cb452…
03-19 21:11:49	bitcoin above 76k on march 20	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x82e9ea…
03-18 20:29:29	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x802302…
03-17 20:36:19	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xff7a6c…
03-16 20:23:37	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32a78c…
03-16 08:45:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3616bc…
03-15 06:06:31	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 9 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef4a16…
03-14 05:26:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6e9553…
03-13 06:42:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51ce7c…
03-12 11:15:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x11eaad…
02-08 20:03:07	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc35aaf…
02-07 19:55:17	bitcoin above 76k on february 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41d2d9…
02-06 20:06:05	bitcoin above 80k on february 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1504ba…
02-05 20:18:39	bitcoin above 76k on february 6	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa64fcb…
02-04 19:33:57	ethereum above 2700 on february 5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc4dbc9…
02-03 19:48:36	bitcoin above 88k on february 4	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b6f7e…
02-02 20:12:50	bitcoin above 88k on february 3	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80d7d8…
02-01 20:29:02	ethereum above 2900 on february 2	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xea4e06…
02-01 05:39:08	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6b096f…
01-30 20:24:48	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69fa8a…
01-29 20:18:42	bitcoin above 92k on january 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44323e…
01-29 06:10:38	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x06d952…
01-28 03:02:23	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd588b4…
01-27 03:51:43	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf06513…
01-26 04:18:20	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x25e1fb…
01-24 20:10:06	bitcoin above 96k on january 25	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf0810b…
01-24 03:34:22	bitcoin above 94k on january 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x93729f…
01-23 03:46:40	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xddae9c…
01-22 04:24:56	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d84fc…
01-21 04:37:10	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0501a3…
01-21 04:36:20	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	913	100¢	$911	0x6e3dcf…
01-20 03:08:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 20	No	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0xc17815…
01-19 03:38:16	bitcoin above 100k on january 19	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0x2b074e…
01-17 20:41:00	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,028	0x16b616…
01-17 05:04:16	ethereum above 3500 on january 17	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,028	0x96199f…
01-16 06:26:48	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf0d56c…
01-16 05:51:14	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0xd1d646…
01-16 05:47:38	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xba3989…
01-16 05:47:14	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	SELL	694	1¢	$4	0xb7a7d2…
01-16 05:44:50	bitcoin above 100k on january 16	No	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,027	0x954998…
01-16 05:42:44	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5b8bb6…
01-16 05:34:44	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x809921…
01-16 05:31:14	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x79bcbc…
01-16 05:24:32	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,030	1¢	$7	0x759e1d…
01-16 04:59:54	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$2	0x712601…
01-16 04:59:02	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$2	0x531d44…
01-16 03:52:08	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$5	0x6c472e…
01-16 03:45:56	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x36d742…
01-16 03:45:04	ethereum above 3500 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x4a29b2…
01-15 03:56:12	ethereum above 3500 on january 15	No	BUY	1,040	98¢	$1,023	0x9664af…
01-14 04:01:42	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	1,030	99¢	$1,024	0x2c4256…
01-13 06:34:39	ethereum above 3400 on january 13	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0xa3a25f…
01-12 08:05:16	ethereum above 3300 on january 12	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,008	0xb4f596…