Quarrelsome-Winner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$895

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-25 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

81% 68% +$14

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$79	90	90	+0	Yes	+$38	05-26 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$56	100	0	+100	No	-$56	06-25 05:09
Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-05 03:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 19?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-18 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-15 07:17
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 1?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-30 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on May 6?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	05-05 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on May 6?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-05 03:25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$34	75	0	+75	No	-$34	05-22 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-08 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$30	75	0	+75	Yes	+$45	05-22 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on June 15?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 02:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 00:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$29	100	0	+100	Yes	+$71	06-25 05:09
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 13?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-12 00:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	90	90	+0	No	-$22	05-26 09:42
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 24?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-24 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C or below on May 1?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-30 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on May 24?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-24 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 13?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-12 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 1?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-30 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$19	90	90	+0	No	-$18	05-26 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$15	45	45	+0	No	+$9	05-26 09:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-24 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$9	75	0	+75	No	-$9	05-22 00:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$6	45	0	+45	No	-$6	05-24 07:13
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 24?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-24 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$3	100	0	+100	No	-$3	06-25 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 05:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd8ec34…
06-25 05:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x806c6f…
06-25 05:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x37aced…
06-14 02:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24d168…
05-26 09:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xbac698…
05-26 09:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x4fcb65…
05-26 09:41:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	65¢	$58	0xf5edf2…
05-26 09:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0x93a0cb…
05-24 07:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xa8fd29…
05-24 07:12:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x2e1f71…
05-24 07:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x569771…
05-24 07:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0x178bc9…
05-24 07:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xa1b09c…
05-24 07:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7dc9c1…
05-24 00:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcacc7d…
05-24 00:58:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8e562…
05-24 00:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on May 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa20906…
05-24 00:58:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf6936b…
05-22 00:19:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x59ba35…
05-22 00:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xcaeecb…
05-22 00:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0x1a28d3…
05-18 02:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 19?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3a362d…
05-15 07:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe554b7…
05-12 00:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0b0095…
05-12 00:29:58	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x797a85…
05-12 00:29:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4971a5…
05-08 01:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaab99c…
05-08 01:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xff9bec…
05-08 01:29:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x460f19…
05-05 03:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on May 6?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xeb67bd…
05-05 03:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcd2564…
05-05 03:23:52	Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xcffe00…
04-30 01:02:20	Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff020d…
04-30 01:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C or below on May 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1c921b…
04-30 01:01:36	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 1?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb47f21…
04-30 01:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x27ba73…
04-30 00:29:26	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xeb6405…