Intelligent-Seaweed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

+$326

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$6.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$1.95K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

53% 25% -$447

Other

46% 43% -$760

Sports

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes		+705	$342	80¢	$568	+$226	08-10 00:29
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-15,832	-$475	3¢	$-475	+$0	07-18 21:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+646	$420	69¢	$445	+$25	10-26 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+1,781	$157	10¢	$178	+$21	10-26 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+253	$120	68¢	$171	+$51	08-10 06:19
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes		+134	$60	45¢	$60	+$0	10-26 07:25
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	—	+116	$50	46¢	$53	+$3	10-26 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	6	$712	1,628	0	+1,628	No	-$712	07-31 15:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$557	868	868	+0	No	-$483	05-05 15:34
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	21	$526	2,028	1,150	+878	No	-$273	08-10 19:15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$475	0	15,832	-15,832	open	—	07-18 21:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$420	646	0	+646	open	—	10-26 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	20	$342	705	0	+705	open	—	08-10 00:29
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	5	$217	400	400	+0	Yes	+$9	02-08 07:38
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	1	$200	531	0	+531	Yes	+$331	05-06 22:31
will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	1	$200	278	0	+278	Yes	+$78	04-02 00:26
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	12	$181	1,490	0	+1,490	No	-$181	08-18 22:58
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	7	$157	1,781	0	+1,781	open	—	10-26 07:29
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	2	$147	817	817	+0	Yes	-$53	07-06 21:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	2	$120	292	0	+292	open	—	10-26 07:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$120	253	0	+253	open	—	08-10 06:19
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	2	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 07:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$100	625	0	+625	Yes	-$100	05-05 05:43
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	1	$100	189	0	+189	Yes	+$89	04-12 15:33
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	1	$100	345	0	+345	Yes	+$245	06-22 21:31
will trump say putin during events with rutte	1	$100	131	0	+131	No	-$100	04-07 23:49
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	06-24 05:40
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	1	$100	139	0	+139	Yes	+$39	06-22 21:28
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%?	10	$100	333	333	+0	No	$0	06-23 08:56
will trump say family 5 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340705	1	$80	163	0	+163	Yes	+$83	07-22 08:03
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$75	339	0	+339	Yes	-$75	04-12 17:37
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	1	$60	134	0	+134	open	—	10-26 07:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$59	100	100	+0	No	-$41	04-07 23:43
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	10-26 07:28
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	10-26 07:26
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	1	$50	129	0	+129	open	—	10-27 19:57
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	10-26 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:57:26	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x7f971e…
10-26 07:29:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x333398…
10-26 07:29:08	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x5fa2fd…
10-26 07:28:08	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x307265…
10-26 07:27:47	Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x0f6093…
10-26 07:27:33	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xe696e7…
10-26 07:27:09	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x28b282…
10-26 07:26:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6852aa…
10-26 07:26:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x5af762…
10-26 07:26:09	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x9fae93…
10-26 07:25:41	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	134	45¢	$60	0x9117b6…
10-26 07:23:17	Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x757a2f…
10-09 22:34:25	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8d55a3…
10-09 21:48:23	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x5074c6…
10-05 15:17:28	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xce9272…
09-18 06:02:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x4e0c6a…
09-10 18:49:51	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x792dbf…
09-10 18:49:45	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	468	9¢	$40	0xe0af5b…
08-21 01:58:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2d22f0…
08-18 22:58:28	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xc96ee9…
08-17 00:21:33	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3fd371…
08-11 19:50:25	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x944fc7…
08-10 19:15:24	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xfd3839…
08-10 16:13:30	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x95ca1a…
08-10 06:19:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xceb087…
08-10 06:17:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x76d001…
08-10 05:42:19	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x4238a4…
08-10 05:40:24	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0xf939cc…
08-10 00:29:01	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	41¢	$81	0x8328e1…
08-10 00:28:58	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xce48c4…
08-09 23:40:36	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	175	11¢	$19	0x72e0c0…
08-09 16:46:03	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0xd12b55…
08-09 16:45:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x8c162f…
08-09 15:59:09	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf9e18f…
08-09 15:39:58	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x635850…
08-09 15:13:04	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$4	0x99e77d…
08-09 15:10:10	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	251	11¢	$28	0x3422f5…
08-09 09:53:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x2ae0ae…
08-09 09:53:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1ab776…
08-09 09:53:43	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6ab156…
08-09 04:56:42	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x6cacb0…
08-09 02:09:21	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0x0f198b…
08-08 23:32:18	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2747a6…
08-08 20:00:09	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfb1944…
08-08 19:44:42	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	150	11¢	$16	0x5241ec…
08-05 18:30:12	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x21db91…
08-05 18:25:36	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3f0c0d…
08-05 18:19:30	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd584ac…
08-05 18:18:47	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0xd9e27a…
08-05 18:18:08	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x342d78…
08-05 16:01:15	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x24a124…
08-05 15:18:57	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	178	11¢	$20	0xca3b23…
08-05 06:01:14	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x8ceba4…
08-02 19:51:06	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	89	7¢	$6	0x09369b…
08-02 13:23:02	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd52c8e…
08-02 13:23:02	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x7c99cf…
08-02 13:23:02	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x53bff2…
07-31 15:08:56	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xb33a6c…
07-31 10:09:26	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xf94b4a…
07-31 08:49:02	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb0038b…
07-31 08:48:50	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x498af8…
07-31 05:24:44	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x78f90c…
07-31 05:22:44	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x480981…
07-31 05:22:44	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1bcd28…
07-31 05:22:42	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x52060d…
07-31 02:34:06	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xfdcc4f…
07-31 02:31:44	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x76803e…
07-31 02:31:27	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	54¢	$43	0x23215e…
07-31 02:30:06	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x48ce61…
07-31 02:29:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x23e59d…
07-31 01:05:00	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x95945f…
07-31 01:04:44	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xea0262…
07-30 21:11:06	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd5488a…
07-30 21:02:21	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x21e876…
07-30 21:02:09	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x441119…
07-30 06:42:47	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	254	32¢	$82	0xb1e438…
07-30 06:07:50	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xf30c96…
07-30 00:59:17	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x85f66a…
07-30 00:07:32	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x4f4486…
07-30 00:05:47	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x64467f…
07-29 22:04:45	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfe9646…
07-29 22:04:21	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x40ac1d…
07-29 21:40:30	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa59e41…
07-29 21:33:35	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x50ff92…
07-29 21:33:17	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0x1019e5…
07-29 21:32:09	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	SELL	317	0¢	$1	0x0ad841…
07-29 15:47:33	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	547	37¢	$200	0xc3cd25…
07-23 20:12:27	will trump say newsom or newscum during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322980	Yes	BUY	85	16¢	$14	0x545113…
07-22 08:03:10	will trump say family 5 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340705	Yes	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0x2ee713…
07-18 21:58:36	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15,832	3¢	$475	0xe83bda…
07-08 23:20:26	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x310c8f…
07-08 23:20:07	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$2	0x3a5895…
07-08 23:19:53	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x98439d…
07-07 17:49:40	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x20945e…
07-06 21:58:40	Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$10	0xb3c1a4…
07-06 21:58:38	Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	817	6¢	$47	0x063ba8…
07-06 21:50:20	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x9cbb9c…
07-06 21:49:35	Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	225	9¢	$20	0x404f9c…
07-06 21:49:08	Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	817	12¢	$100	0x4fe7bc…
07-06 06:57:26	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x61faec…