Sparkling-Bother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.61K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$145

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-02 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$10

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

23% 100% +$1,598

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-1,000	$-170	15¢	$-145	+$25	05-28 14:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$9.0K	6,758	6,081	+677	open	—	05-14 12:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	74	$4.0K	4,086	2,586	+1,500	open	—	06-01 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	25	$3.6K	4,791	4,791	+0	Yes	+$1,598	05-08 18:39
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	33	$3.3K	1,872	2,691	-819	open	—	05-26 19:02
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.1K	1,235	1,235	+0	open	—	05-13 22:33
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	3	$2.0K	1,625	1,567	+58	open	—	01-29 15:51
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	8	$1.3K	818	818	+0	open	—	02-02 23:00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.1K	954	954	+0	open	—	01-29 13:01
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$1.0K	566	566	+0	Yes	+$10	04-23 05:13
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	21	$929	6,402	6,402	+0	open	—	01-31 16:57
si settle above 85 jan 2026	5	$897	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	01-30 19:27
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	5	$723	855	855	+0	open	—	06-01 09:40
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	7	$581	689	689	+0	open	—	01-30 00:57
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$560	397	397	+0	open	—	03-14 19:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$527	1,523	1,523	+0	open	—	06-01 12:00
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	9	$520	1,711	1,711	+0	open	—	01-31 16:26
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	5	$388	900	319	+581	open	—	02-03 16:11
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	6	$388	211	211	+0	open	—	05-14 12:01
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	22	$372	300	300	+0	open	—	01-31 23:26
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	5	$372	250	250	+0	open	—	02-25 03:51
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	5	$349	241	241	+0	open	—	02-12 16:30
will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	2	$349	201	201	+0	open	—	04-02 17:32
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$312	720	720	+0	open	—	03-13 02:17
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	3	$311	278	278	+0	open	—	05-26 15:12
si above 80 jan 2026	3	$302	3,067	5,067	-2,000	open	—	01-30 19:00
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	3	$261	145	145	+0	open	—	01-30 10:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$239	272	272	+0	open	—	04-08 01:07
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	2	$227	489	489	+0	open	—	02-03 18:06
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	8	$222	435	435	+0	open	—	02-03 18:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$215	2,610	1,734	+876	open	—	03-01 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x31fc34…
06-02 09:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xebebb2…
06-02 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x078c4d…
06-02 09:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x115424…
06-02 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xacdf67…
06-02 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa1d2b1…
06-02 09:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x258aee…
06-01 21:53:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	455	20¢	$91	0x1db22f…
06-01 21:52:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	27¢	$96	0x1c41b3…
06-01 21:51:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x8b2361…
06-01 21:51:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x01c6c7…
06-01 15:47:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0xe36e52…
06-01 15:05:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	57¢	$71	0x00d74a…
06-01 15:05:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xbbf0bf…
06-01 15:05:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xfd1735…
06-01 14:55:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0x14d81d…
06-01 14:27:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	63¢	$158	0x8899c2…
06-01 14:11:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x4ceeaa…
06-01 14:10:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x5bce90…
06-01 14:09:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x9dac65…
06-01 14:09:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x32dfee…
06-01 14:08:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x38c311…
06-01 13:36:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,471	68¢	$1,003	0x6423f7…
06-01 13:34:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,115	69¢	$775	0xa3d702…
06-01 12:26:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	70¢	$176	0x7bf22e…
06-01 12:23:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	81¢	$396	0x29614e…
06-01 12:23:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8d042b…
06-01 12:23:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x75bae3…
06-01 12:20:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0xb3270c…
06-01 12:20:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xffd89a…
06-01 12:03:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0x011b4e…
06-01 12:02:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xa07107…
06-01 12:02:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3f2d9f…
06-01 12:02:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x897fac…
06-01 12:02:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xebff69…
06-01 12:02:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ca2f8…
06-01 12:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc18306…
06-01 12:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7b196c…
06-01 12:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x71b078…
06-01 12:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x1c928e…
06-01 12:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1acf10…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xfe76f6…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd338d4…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb31d1c…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa6ae0d…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4f3de5…
06-01 12:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x0957d6…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf2a553…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xefdc38…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeeb5d2…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb9e45…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xea3dae…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe68a93…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdda118…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xdd69c1…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdd6284…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd929a5…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd797cf…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc677b2…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xbc76aa…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb261ef…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xade91e…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8e3278…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8cefe9…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x850f73…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7886bf…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x718fa8…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f5222…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5d4271…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x553ae4…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x51dc37…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4514c3…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f4e7b…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x3f3220…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x3f0aa4…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x376033…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x32203e…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f7ac7…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x199fce…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x18d8c0…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x13d0ce…
06-01 12:02:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x60c1ad…
06-01 12:00:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,523	1¢	$16	0xcc08d7…
06-01 11:59:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	775	39¢	$300	0x9fb415…
06-01 11:59:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	32¢	$100	0x251e8e…
06-01 11:59:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	32¢	$100	0xb6f18f…
06-01 09:40:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	27¢	$163	0xd71b42…
05-30 12:11:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	32¢	$10	0x7066ed…
05-30 11:27:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,490	34¢	$500	0x209129…
05-28 17:16:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	64¢	$160	0x24add8…
05-28 17:00:38	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xccdef4…
05-28 17:00:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x4b0b87…
05-28 17:00:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x38cfed…
05-28 14:04:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0x17b03c…
05-26 19:02:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	937	99¢	$926	0xe54123…
05-26 15:53:13	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	513	99¢	$507	0x57b61a…
05-26 15:12:03	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	278	40¢	$111	0xe0b62e…
05-26 14:58:00	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x033608…
05-26 14:57:35	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x261e90…
05-26 03:29:38	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0xd4c4bc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	47	$14.3K	2,936	06-07 23:31
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	45	$6.72K	3,016	06-05 23:54
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	44	$386.3K	6,166	06-09 15:33
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	39	$8.31M	10,076	06-10 00:11
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	38	$95.4K	538	06-08 20:26
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	38	$23.0K	7,018	04-16 18:11
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	38	$9.87K	3,639	06-09 21:29
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	37	$182.6K	14,913	06-01 01:54