Heavy-Cell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

720

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 0% $-11

Other

18% — —

Politics

14% — —

Sports

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-6	$-5	86¢	$-5	+$0	06-03 05:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	2	$850	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 16:09
nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	2	$770	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 05:42
nba atl mia 2026 04 12	3	$711	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-12 14:20
xrp above 1pt7 on january 5	3	$452	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-05 04:44
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 3	2	$451	950	0	+950	open	—	01-02 18:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 7	3	$451	950	0	+950	open	—	01-07 07:17
xrp above 2pt1 on january 6	2	$451	542	0	+542	open	—	01-06 08:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 1	2	$421	920	0	+920	open	—	01-01 06:28
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	2	$401	651	0	+651	open	—	01-08 09:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	2	$401	900	0	+900	open	—	01-15 07:33
bitcoin above 92k on january 17	2	$401	734	0	+734	open	—	01-17 07:21
bitcoin above 86k on january 9	2	$401	734	0	+734	open	—	01-09 11:29
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	2	$401	900	0	+900	open	—	04-16 08:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	2	$401	900	0	+900	open	—	01-16 06:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	2	$391	890	0	+890	open	—	02-01 08:10
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	27	$374	503	600	-97	open	—	02-26 06:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	33	$371	1,059	950	+109	open	—	02-28 13:09
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$352	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	01-26 09:16
ethereum above 2200 on february 13	2	$351	850	0	+850	open	—	02-13 07:41
ethereum above 3000 on january 31	2	$334	833	0	+833	open	—	01-31 05:36
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	19	$332	690	700	-10	open	—	02-26 06:32
andrew tate posts february 20 february 27 100 129	14	$321	450	550	-100	open	—	02-27 07:01
bitcoin above 62k on february 15	2	$301	800	0	+800	open	—	02-15 05:05
bitcoin above 74k on february 16	2	$301	800	0	+800	open	—	02-16 06:24
bitcoin above 64k on february 14	2	$301	800	0	+800	open	—	02-14 11:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$285	390	390	+0	open	—	06-06 07:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$284	170	170	+0	open	—	06-09 16:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$281	236	236	+0	open	—	06-20 08:34
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	32	$274	1,106	950	+156	open	—	02-28 16:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$272	900	900	+0	open	—	06-18 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 14:24:17	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	400	28¢	$112	0xda0b6e…
07-04 13:27:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x7e6e2a…
06-24 11:18:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x54073f…
06-24 11:01:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xa7b4d4…
06-24 09:28:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	290	43¢	$125	0x03834d…
06-24 09:28:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	290	43¢	$125	0xa90679…
06-20 14:08:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	566	23¢	$130	0xebe4e3…
06-20 13:32:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	172	24¢	$41	0xbdb926…
06-20 13:32:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	394	24¢	$95	0xd81329…
06-20 08:34:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	59¢	$139	0x401e5e…
06-20 08:27:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf18645…
06-20 08:27:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	60¢	$138	0x07605e…
06-20 08:27:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xe8f99a…
06-18 12:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	900	14¢	$128	0x01c836…
06-18 12:31:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	900	16¢	$144	0x148048…
06-15 08:31:48	ethereum above 1600 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xba73fc…
06-15 08:31:37	ethereum above 2100 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x79d373…
06-15 08:31:28	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	381	0¢	$1	0x2b738c…
06-15 08:31:21	ethereum above 1900 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$1	0xdf039b…
06-15 08:31:13	ethereum above 1800 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x3560d0…
06-09 16:57:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	170	83¢	$141	0x3acdf5…
06-09 16:42:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	170	84¢	$143	0x0a111a…
06-09 10:01:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x14df58…
06-09 09:59:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd26a3a…
06-08 08:54:48	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x36398c…
06-08 08:54:30	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb196cf…
06-08 08:54:21	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x26f179…
06-08 08:54:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd21d54…
06-06 07:50:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x879aa6…
06-06 07:50:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	303	0¢	$1	0x96e1bc…
06-06 07:08:58	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6c927e…
06-06 07:07:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	390	38¢	$148	0x230d0c…
06-05 10:20:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	390	35¢	$136	0x056822…
06-03 05:51:56	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x73c7ad…
06-02 09:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4c0f54…
06-02 09:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x225336…
06-02 09:16:26	Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji	Besiktas	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2fe6fc…
06-02 09:15:50	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xae9af8…
05-28 04:53:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	8¢	$128	0xf8dad7…
05-28 04:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,600	9¢	$144	0x858ae4…
05-21 11:35:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xc06d9b…
05-21 11:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	545	0¢	$1	0x09fcc6…
05-21 11:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2b3dc1…
05-21 11:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xcfe4a2…
05-17 08:05:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x995df5…
05-17 08:04:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x964da8…
05-17 08:04:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x589469…
05-17 08:04:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x05bb44…
05-17 08:04:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x001722…
05-12 07:32:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x37eef3…
05-12 07:31:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc6d28c…
05-12 07:30:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	No	BUY	359	0¢	$1	0x62b126…
05-12 07:30:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xf8c976…
05-12 07:30:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23d7b5…
05-12 07:30:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	433	0¢	$1	0xc86213…
05-12 07:30:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8eee87…
05-06 07:25:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x4b7f7c…
05-06 07:25:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$1	0xd68b6e…
05-06 07:25:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xe3136b…
05-06 07:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0xb7ffb4…
05-06 07:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xbbbf4c…
05-06 07:16:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf7959f…
04-25 07:32:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe18de9…
04-25 07:31:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xf6d068…
04-25 07:30:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x53190d…
04-25 07:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf0836c…
04-25 07:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3e8cf1…
04-25 07:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf217ed…
04-25 07:13:12	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x541241…
04-25 07:13:06	Will 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7d7e04…
04-25 07:12:54	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc3f05c…
04-25 07:12:10	Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5564b2…
04-25 07:09:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x53f5b8…
04-25 07:08:44	Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x959c59…
04-25 07:08:26	Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe01fbe…
04-18 07:31:46	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xa60287…
04-18 07:31:18	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x662ea5…
04-18 07:30:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff25da…
04-18 07:30:38	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xbf0357…
04-18 07:30:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd1f14e…
04-18 07:29:44	fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 olm	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4699b2…
04-18 07:29:32	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7121ce…
04-18 07:28:50	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9ae6ba…
04-18 07:28:40	ethereum above 2600 on april 18	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdfa982…
04-18 07:28:28	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xff8140…
04-18 07:27:46	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa68c78…
04-18 07:27:14	will ethereum reach 2800 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x1c1d7a…
04-18 07:26:58	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x538262…
04-16 08:44:34	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x5f22a7…
04-16 08:44:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x51fcb8…
04-16 08:44:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa56eaa…
04-16 08:43:58	ethereum above 2500 on april 16	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7f1409…
04-15 16:09:02	nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	Rangers	SELL	1,000	39¢	$390	0x1f550e…
04-15 14:33:30	nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	Rangers	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x3b65df…
04-13 05:42:21	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	Maple Leafs	SELL	1,000	38¢	$380	0x9b86c7…
04-13 05:41:55	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	Maple Leafs	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0xee06e9…
04-12 14:20:57	nba atl mia 2026 04 12	Hawks	SELL	1,000	35¢	$351	0x79d650…
04-12 14:15:55	nba atl mia 2026 04 12	Hawks	BUY	135	36¢	$49	0xa46b30…
04-12 14:15:53	nba atl mia 2026 04 12	Hawks	BUY	865	36¢	$311	0x3336ff…
04-09 06:49:33	ethereum above 2400 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc01a43…