Happy-Go-Lucky-Croissant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-23 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

54% 62% -$11

Sports

27% 41% +$55

Crypto

12% 86% +$25

Politics

7% 33% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	5	$191	126	126	+0	open	—	09-05 01:36
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	4	$166	106	106	+0	open	—	09-05 01:35
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	4	$134	229	229	+0	open	—	09-12 10:28
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	2	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	08-19 08:07
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$97	109	109	+0	No	-$3	03-04 08:25
will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 19 2026 copy	2	$91	61	61	+0	Yes	-$3	10-16 22:35
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	2	$75	98	0	+98	Yes	+$23	07-26 17:13
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	2	$58	41	41	+0	Team Liquid PH	-$2	05-15 06:06
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	5	$53	45	45	+0	No	-$3	10-08 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:20 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	03-03 18:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$40	189	95	+95	Yes	+$94	07-13 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:15 UTC	1	$39	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	03-03 12:19
cbb kan arzst 2026 03 03	2	$38	55	0	+55	Arizona State Sun Devils	-$38	03-03 22:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$37	69	43	+26	No	-$3	07-13 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:05 UTC	1	$36	37	0	+37	Up	+$1	03-03 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:05 UTC	1	$35	39	0	+39	Up	+$4	03-03 12:06
larger margin of victory in dem or gop texas senate primary	3	$30	48	48	+0	Dems	-$30	03-04 08:29
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	2	$30	21	21	+0	ONIC	+$1	05-16 09:19
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	2	$30	21	21	+0	ONIC	+$0	05-15 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:55 UTC	2	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	03-03 11:59
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	2	$30	58	0	+58	Clippers	+$28	03-03 02:21
cs2 bbp noirve 2026 09 11 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$25	36	0	+36	Noir Verse	+$11	09-11 07:42
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	3	$25	18	18	+0	No	-$1	07-18 13:43
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx	1	$24	40	0	+40	Golden State Valkyries	-$24	08-25 00:40
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	3	$23	25	0	+25	Yes	+$2	08-12 22:04
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Group C	3	$21	22	22	+0	Bebop	+$1	09-11 09:44
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$20	286	286	+0	open	—	08-24 06:32
nba okc chi 2026 03 03	1	$20	25	0	+25	Thunder	+$5	03-04 01:25
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$7	10-08 06:06
Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs. Austin Williams	2	$20	31	0	+31	Vito Mielnicki Jr.	+$11	09-05 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 07:27:27	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs	Team Liquid PH	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2b6fb8…
10-16 22:35:42	will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 19 2026 copy	No	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0xd3c037…
10-16 02:04:57	will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 19 2026 copy	No	BUY	61	76¢	$47	0x358a74…
10-14 01:25:20	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbf5e01…
10-12 11:35:54	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x552ede…
10-11 10:25:39	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurevia Team vs Team Spirit (BO5) - MLBB Continental Championships Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x782dbc…
10-08 19:03:36	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xb4da98…
10-08 18:58:20	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f26a8…
10-08 16:46:51	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x973f4d…
10-08 06:06:47	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xdf0b38…
10-08 06:05:10	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	Yes	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x8aeb1a…
10-08 03:43:16	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0x2f9a01…
10-08 02:23:43	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xe623be…
10-08 01:41:01	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by falling in a 6th timeframe?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x0d7c35…
10-08 01:27:34	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by falling in a 6th timeframe?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x515add…
10-07 21:25:00	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x266a5f…
10-07 20:26:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x6eea07…
10-07 18:07:21	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0xa07a8a…
10-07 18:04:37	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x17a7fd…
10-07 06:18:14	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5485b1…
10-07 03:18:39	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x80c237…
10-06 21:49:39	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x75583d…
10-06 21:49:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x65d535…
10-06 21:30:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xbf076e…
10-06 21:21:11	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6b91d…
10-06 21:15:39	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3d9f29…
10-06 16:19:03	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x17191e…
09-13 00:10:10	Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x0cd9c7…
09-13 00:09:10	Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)	Garcia	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x6820f0…
09-12 10:28:55	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	34¢	$50	0xbc1549…
09-11 09:44:37	Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Group C	Bebop	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x0272ec…
09-11 09:32:25	Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Group C	Bebop	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x5b04e5…
09-11 09:04:54	Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Group C	Bebop	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x688fe4…
09-11 07:42:06	cs2 bbp noirve 2026 09 11 map handicap away 1pt5	Noir Verse	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xc2e366…
09-10 03:44:21	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	35¢	$30	0xe7c578…
09-09 06:18:58	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xef99df…
09-05 18:13:21	ufc mbukau oum 2026 09 05	Oumar Sy	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x60fd17…
09-05 18:06:19	ufc mbukau oum 2026 09 05	Oumar Sy	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5e1d0b…
09-05 07:01:48	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xbc259d…
09-05 02:23:34	Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs. Austin Williams	Vito Mielnicki Jr.	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe74dd6…
09-05 02:18:45	Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs. Austin Williams	Vito Mielnicki Jr.	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x96d75b…
09-05 02:09:30	Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)	Garcia	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xefa695…
09-05 01:52:48	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x5961a9…
09-05 01:36:48	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x70ced9…
09-05 01:35:07	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	SELL	106	99¢	$104	0xace3c2…
09-01 01:10:42	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x2aa52b…
08-31 20:03:03	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xab2f03…
08-31 20:00:12	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0xb3dbc3…
08-31 19:40:30	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xec1750…
08-31 06:23:55	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xafc15d…
08-25 00:40:40	Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x336aac…
08-25 00:40:12	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x03acaa…
08-24 06:32:30	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	286	4¢	$10	0x1d77da…
08-24 06:32:22	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x368488…
08-19 08:07:16	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$49	0xa1fc64…
08-19 08:03:03	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x1433c7…
08-16 10:34:46	mlbb geek btr1 2026 08 16	Bigetron by Vitality	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xa14582…
08-14 07:56:27	mlbb evos rrq 2026 08 14	EVOS	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x3ac38a…
08-12 22:04:37	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59100b…
08-12 22:04:31	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7842a9…
08-12 21:58:01	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xec88c1…
07-26 17:13:15	Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	Yes	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x865667…
07-26 09:35:28	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x871eab…
07-23 10:51:01	mlbb srg1 pro 2026 07 23 game2	Selangor Red Giants	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xda1f84…
07-23 10:50:48	mlbb srg1 pro 2026 07 23 game2	Selangor Red Giants	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6b530d…
07-21 07:05:01	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x1fa716…
07-20 20:14:30	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x61e7e8…
07-18 13:44:12	lol gen dk 2026 07 18	Gen.G	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x4de887…
07-18 13:43:49	Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	Yes	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x8b26f0…
07-18 13:39:06	Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x386ba8…
07-18 13:37:58	Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb9f1a6…
07-16 10:20:25	lol hle1 jdg 2026 07 16	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x39a86f…
07-13 15:04:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa1f0d0…
07-13 14:56:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	95	21¢	$20	0x58fa9a…
07-10 13:29:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	38¢	$17	0xaef551…
07-05 21:45:32	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$4	0x5bc5eb…
07-04 12:25:53	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x9735d2…
07-04 12:25:31	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x635524…
07-04 06:16:29	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x03d3f8…
07-03 13:02:37	mlbb fal nme 2026 07 03	Team Falcons	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ce1bf…
07-02 20:31:44	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe0427e…
07-02 02:55:53	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x8b1128…
07-01 16:24:14	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x36b2bf…
07-01 16:23:31	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa34634…
06-30 15:36:22	mlbb mnz fut 2026 07 01	FUT Esports	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4466f2…
06-29 06:37:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf0ed2c…
06-29 06:37:02	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x89c299…
06-29 06:32:58	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	263	6¢	$15	0xba28f3…
06-27 00:34:52	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe55b13…
06-27 00:27:07	Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x92d910…
05-16 09:19:16	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Team Rey	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x6f08f5…
05-16 09:19:12	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0xb60b04…
05-16 09:19:12	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Tora vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Invictus Gaming	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x01f328…
05-15 06:10:45	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs TNC Pro Team (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Team Falcons PH	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x247eed…
05-15 06:06:41	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Team Liquid PH	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0x9a073c…
05-15 06:06:29	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xd497d0…
05-13 22:18:33	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xce63ce…
05-13 22:18:12	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x760e43…
05-13 22:17:47	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Team Liquid PH	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf9b8ed…
05-13 18:24:03	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Team Rey	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xae5d36…