Frozen-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$666

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 05-30 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$651

Sports

1% 50% +$23

Politics

1% 0% -$28

Other

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$2.3K	1,635	1,635	+0	Down	+$128	05-30 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	15	$1.8K	2,378	2,372	+7	Down	-$60	05-30 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$1.5K	944	944	+0	Down	+$308	05-23 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$633	387	387	+0	Down	+$33	05-22 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$594	675	535	+139	Up	-$6	05-23 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$516	1,010	7	+1,003	Up	-$504	05-30 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$468	818	818	+0	Up	+$18	05-22 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$440	364	364	+0	Down	+$40	05-24 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$409	447	447	+0	Up	+$9	05-30 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$340	848	0	+848	Up	-$340	05-24 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$324	206	206	+0	Down	+$24	05-22 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$312	244	244	+0	Down	+$112	05-22 22:25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$250	165	165	+0	Up	+$4	05-22 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$247	196	196	+0	Down	+$47	05-23 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$235	139	139	+0	Down	+$35	05-22 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$229	167	167	+0	Down	+$29	05-22 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$213	117	117	+0	Down	+$13	05-22 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$206	231	231	+0	Down	+$6	05-30 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$200	325	0	+325	Down	-$8	05-22 19:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$200	302	0	+302	Down	-$57	05-22 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$165	200	200	+0	Down	-$35	05-30 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$100	312	0	+312	Up	-$100	05-23 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	+$56	05-22 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Up	+$56	05-23 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$100	171	0	+171	Up	+$71	05-23 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$100	136	0	+136	Down	+$36	05-23 02:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$100	174	0	+174	Down	+$74	05-22 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Down	-$100	05-22 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Up	-$100	05-22 20:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$100	415	0	+415	Down	-$100	05-22 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 23:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6b13ab…
05-30 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xd8cf0e…
05-30 23:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfb7bac…
05-30 23:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf63547…
05-30 23:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	385	50¢	$192	0x852ef8…
05-30 23:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	582	53¢	$308	0x3855c6…
05-30 23:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	261	8¢	$20	0x2b394c…
05-30 23:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	825	15¢	$125	0x25bf8b…
05-30 23:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	529	19¢	$100	0x8931e0…
05-30 23:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	274	37¢	$100	0x34c890…
05-30 23:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x071a05…
05-30 23:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1,007	59¢	$594	0x9ec430…
05-30 23:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	279	54¢	$152	0x727bea…
05-30 23:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xff84fc…
05-30 23:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x63c00d…
05-30 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x9edd42…
05-30 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc46da4…
05-30 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x487796…
05-30 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x5cbbf7…
05-30 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5afe2b…
05-30 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x4bc618…
05-30 23:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	447	47¢	$209	0x196547…
05-30 23:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x19600c…
05-30 23:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x296dbb…
05-30 23:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	533	99¢	$528	0xb882ac…
05-30 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	533	94¢	$500	0xa0958c…
05-30 23:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1,102	61¢	$675	0x8bcc9a…
05-30 22:56:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe85be7…
05-30 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc31712…
05-30 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x82408f…
05-30 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x15a3a5…
05-30 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	200	33¢	$65	0x53ebda…
05-30 22:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	401	51¢	$203	0xa19b38…
05-30 22:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	559	53¢	$297	0x171fff…
05-30 22:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2114fc…
05-30 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xbf87e4…
05-30 22:44:22	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	48	41¢	$19	0x50d223…
05-30 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	231	46¢	$106	0x93e341…
05-30 22:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0xf5941c…
05-24 06:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	364	27¢	$100	0x6da369…
05-24 05:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	484	50¢	$240	0x981f16…
05-24 05:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	364	66¢	$240	0xca8edf…
05-24 05:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xbde994…
05-24 05:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x24be3d…
05-23 18:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x054e76…
05-23 18:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb3645a…
05-23 18:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x227075…
05-23 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xfc8e64…
05-23 18:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x8b9a89…
05-23 18:21:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xad8d0f…
05-23 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	131	77¢	$100	0x68836c…
05-23 16:47:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1c52d8…
05-23 11:23:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x54731a…
05-23 10:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x30a1f8…
05-23 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xa7278c…
05-23 08:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x947a75…
05-23 08:22:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd0a658…
05-23 08:13:26	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x596c66…
05-23 08:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6e4a9d…
05-23 08:02:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf9339…
05-23 08:02:12	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x64fbec…
05-23 07:53:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5cb598…
05-23 07:50:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1c5348…
05-23 07:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x212226…
05-23 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xa3ea48…
05-23 06:52:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6f0bbe…
05-23 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	307	96¢	$295	0xdef3ec…
05-23 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	637	94¢	$600	0xd59e2e…
05-23 06:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	371	64¢	$237	0x6dd0e5…
05-23 06:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0xe7ba1b…
05-23 06:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x875b5e…
05-23 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x8e8e91…
05-23 05:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	220	46¢	$100	0xa84ba9…
05-23 05:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x02e7ef…
05-23 04:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x167958…
05-23 03:04:58	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x995724…
05-23 02:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x9a22f2…
05-23 02:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xf159d5…
05-23 02:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x528374…
05-23 02:04:36	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xddc32b…
05-23 01:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa7a523…
05-23 01:16:05	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x7a7e68…
05-23 01:13:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xd34045…
05-23 01:12:06	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x97b8fb…
05-23 01:06:33	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcb18a3…
05-23 01:04:24	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x6fa7e7…
05-23 01:03:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x014932…
05-23 01:03:40	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xeb5bab…
05-23 01:03:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x51cf61…
05-23 00:54:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc505f1…
05-23 00:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x93f948…
05-23 00:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x38865b…
05-23 00:27:18	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x4c7e95…
05-23 00:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0xee502a…
05-23 00:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	144	69¢	$100	0x0ee03a…
05-23 00:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6a2e0a…
05-23 00:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdeaa9d…
05-23 00:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	279	48¢	$135	0x94c50c…
05-23 00:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0x9d2d8d…
05-23 00:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xdab426…