Acidic-Tweezers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$348

Unrealized P&L

+$191

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

169

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$893

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

41% 85% -$38

Other

32% 69% +$152

Crypto

18% 69% -$15

Tech

5% 83% +$1

Sports

4% 40% -$448

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	+893	$592	96¢	$861	+$269	06-14 14:33
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+893	$124	4¢	$32	-$92	06-14 14:37
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	+2	-$15	15¢	$0	+$15	09-23 03:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	18	$3.8K	1,883	1,883	+0	No	+$2	01-09 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	9	$2.9K	1,725	1,225	+500	No	+$9	04-19 22:15
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?	14	$2.5K	3,184	541	+2,642	Yes	+$27	06-15 10:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	15	$2.3K	1,365	1,023	+341	No	+$5	01-24 01:32
will trump say deficit during no tax on tips roundtable	13	$1.5K	630	860	-230	No	+$13	04-17 05:26
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	14	$1.4K	2,783	998	+1,785	open	—	06-14 14:37
trump out as president by march 31	11	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$1	03-02 13:16
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.3K	672	672	+0	No	+$1	01-20 05:13
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.3K	665	665	+0	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	8	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	$0	01-07 12:56
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	4	$1.3K	648	648	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 11:08
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	14	$1.2K	628	628	+0	No	+$2	02-06 17:40
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	11	$1.1K	1,244	1,244	+0	No	-$244	03-16 10:38
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	6	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 03:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.0K	695	358	+337	Yes	+$3	01-25 12:08
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	12	$963	1,402	198	+1,204	No	+$16	06-15 06:07
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$857	434	434	+0	No	+$2	04-22 04:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	7	$828	421	421	+0	No	+$4	04-25 08:00
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	4	$812	407	407	+0	No	+$0	02-19 10:11
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027	2	$744	400	400	+0	open	—	09-18 02:07
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	4	$739	376	376	+0	No	+$4	07-24 09:20
will trump say job 12 times during no tax on tips roundtable	5	$701	661	44	+617	No	+$4	04-17 08:06
will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	6	$692	519	175	+344	No	+$1	04-17 05:57
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$677	340	340	+0	No	+$1	02-03 05:27
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$668	335	335	+0	No	+$0	01-09 05:38
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$667	334	334	+0	Yes	$0	01-03 14:11
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$666	336	336	+0	No	$0	01-12 08:17
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$663	332	332	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 03:24
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$651	342	342	+0	No	-$21	02-06 02:08
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$649	325	325	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:28:24	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0x97ff20…
09-24 03:10:50	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x7d5907…
09-24 03:10:20	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x334435…
09-23 03:51:37	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	225	12¢	$28	0xa18045…
09-23 03:49:26	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe702de…
09-23 03:46:46	Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xdf71ed…
09-23 03:40:29	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0x114a0d…
09-23 03:40:28	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x34571e…
09-23 03:40:28	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	503	17¢	$86	0x09cad2…
09-23 03:28:28	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xce5b3a…
09-23 03:24:32	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xbee40c…
09-23 03:17:22	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x20f8fe…
09-23 03:17:20	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xaf4dc6…
09-23 03:17:20	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x8c6fdf…
09-23 03:17:17	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc5be27…
09-23 03:17:17	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	574	11¢	$65	0x342bcf…
09-23 03:05:50	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0xd58736…
09-23 03:05:23	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0xb74e6a…
09-23 03:05:23	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xb58b6e…
09-23 03:05:05	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xede980…
09-23 03:05:05	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x27b9d0…
09-23 03:05:05	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	141	28¢	$39	0x232c5f…
09-23 02:12:23	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5d4933…
09-23 02:07:25	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0x99f63a…
09-23 01:56:34	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x61e372…
09-23 01:51:41	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	141	16¢	$23	0xb57715…
09-23 01:51:29	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0xcb05a5…
09-22 13:36:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x77c0b1…
09-22 13:35:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xba3125…
09-22 11:05:07	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x47edea…
09-22 09:32:21	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	SELL	162	36¢	$57	0xac0abd…
09-22 09:12:10	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x785dc7…
09-22 09:08:07	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x06ea24…
09-22 09:03:37	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	BUY	198	22¢	$43	0xe5cbd8…
09-22 02:24:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	186	21¢	$39	0x1c93c3…
09-22 02:18:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc798a0…
09-22 02:18:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xcdeac6…
09-22 02:13:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	130	30¢	$39	0x57f5fa…
09-22 02:12:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcd8fd1…
09-22 02:11:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	151	26¢	$39	0xb01c88…
09-22 02:11:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9891de…
09-22 02:04:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x447689…
09-22 01:44:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x71bcbb…
09-22 01:42:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	288	22¢	$64	0xcf6f22…
09-22 01:40:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	131	21¢	$28	0xf0e8b5…
09-22 01:31:06	will the joint list be in the next israeli government	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xf55f0e…
09-22 01:30:52	will noam be in the next israeli government	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3c1d1e…
09-22 01:07:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	77	19¢	$15	0xc49a66…
09-22 01:06:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	160	23¢	$37	0x8b93e1…
09-22 01:06:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x218dcf…
09-22 01:06:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x89e5de…
09-22 01:05:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x54a91e…
09-22 00:47:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb4d9cb…
09-22 00:01:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x0fae23…
09-21 23:59:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x28046a…
09-21 23:59:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	117	25¢	$29	0xa79595…
09-21 23:47:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	228	24¢	$54	0xd6c50b…
09-21 23:46:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	157	29¢	$46	0x83836d…
09-21 23:46:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x592d6e…
09-21 23:46:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3e2df4…
09-21 23:46:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	197	26¢	$51	0x29f5f9…
09-21 23:45:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x00de32…
09-21 23:45:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	186	30¢	$56	0x0f3202…
09-21 23:44:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	170	26¢	$44	0xbdef90…
09-21 20:24:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x82abb4…
09-21 20:23:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xea8d57…
09-21 19:08:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x148b00…
09-21 16:57:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb1201a…
09-21 16:47:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xffcf23…
09-21 16:25:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x063fb9…
09-21 16:20:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x972709…
09-21 16:13:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe87eb4…
09-21 16:11:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa29024…
09-21 15:56:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	327	23¢	$74	0x4d325a…
09-21 15:56:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	254	20¢	$52	0xb4c616…
09-21 15:55:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	329	18¢	$60	0x079b9c…
09-21 15:55:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	170	20¢	$33	0xf1abc8…
09-21 15:53:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	276	18¢	$50	0x21e7aa…
09-19 07:38:30	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xc2cf8f…
09-19 04:12:15	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0540d0…
09-19 03:54:03	greenland snap election called by december 31	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xf0b6a4…
09-19 03:40:33	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	SELL	472	11¢	$50	0xe09305…
09-19 03:40:33	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x60e6f0…
09-19 03:23:28	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc1dbd0…
09-19 03:23:25	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x1a9f9c…
09-19 03:23:10	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x7d1e66…
09-19 03:22:54	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xeaf021…
09-19 03:22:54	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x29ad71…
09-19 03:22:51	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x8b280b…
09-19 03:22:51	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x41c286…
09-19 03:21:16	greenland snap election called by december 31	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xa6c8a7…
09-19 03:19:42	greenland snap election called by december 31	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x904c30…
09-19 03:17:07	greenland snap election called by december 31	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x4e311f…
09-19 03:14:15	greenland snap election called by december 31	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xde8063…
09-19 02:18:04	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	SELL	228	16¢	$37	0x1dda8e…
09-19 02:10:40	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x94a12b…
09-19 02:03:24	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0x0c0d60…
09-19 02:00:39	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfa808c…
09-19 02:00:33	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$34	0x1aad13…
09-19 01:58:42	denmark snap election called by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x61ef4b…