Cumbersome-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$462

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

122

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$7.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

92% 52% -$391

Politics

7% 60% -$11

Sports

1% 80% -$5

Tech

1% 0% -$50

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-98	-$92	98¢	$-96	-$4	07-05 23:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$752	502	502	+0	Yes	+$152	07-10 20:51
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$586	397	397	+0	Yes	+$86	07-09 21:27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$543	627	627	+0	No	-$144	07-12 02:48
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	5	$503	577	395	+182	Yes	+$145	07-06 02:38
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$300	583	0	+583	No	-$300	07-10 21:03
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$291	541	541	+0	No	-$109	07-14 20:12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$250	347	0	+347	Yes	+$97	07-07 02:59
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$249	143	143	+0	Yes	+$29	01-24 16:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$200	369	0	+369	Argentina	-$200	07-15 16:41
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	1	$190	291	0	+291	Yes	+$101	07-12 02:49
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$176	1,238	135	+1,103	No	-$6	06-27 05:03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	1	$150	267	0	+267	Yes	+$117	07-14 20:13
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	3	$120	381	0	+381	No	-$120	07-07 01:10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	3	$112	84	84	+0	Yes	+$32	06-19 02:47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	2	$100	145	0	+145	No	-$100	06-21 19:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$94	55	55	+0	No	+$4	01-26 21:15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	3	$92	53	53	+0	Yes	+$12	06-18 22:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$92	0	98	-98	open	—	07-05 23:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$84	48	48	-0	Yes	+$4	01-20 15:52
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	2	$70	100	0	+100	No	-$70	06-21 21:18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	2	$70	180	0	+180	No	-$70	06-28 01:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$70	103	103	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 06:49
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	2	$65	45	45	+0	No	-$15	06-21 01:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$64	36	36	+0	No	+$4	05-08 17:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	04-23 22:45
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$60	101	0	+101	Yes	+$41	06-19 20:48
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	2	$60	156	0	+156	No	-$60	07-07 20:47
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?	2	$60	94	0	+94	Yes	+$34	06-21 01:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	3	$55	85	0	+85	Yes	+$30	06-20 20:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$55	86	86	+0	No	-$5	03-09 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:21:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x57ed75…
07-19 21:21:00	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	76	40¢	$31	0x049ac7…
07-15 16:41:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	369	54¢	$200	0x14995d…
07-15 16:41:49	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xf26b25…
07-14 20:13:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	267	56¢	$150	0xeaceda…
07-14 20:12:40	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	541	17¢	$91	0x55454c…
07-14 18:45:25	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0xbbef69…
07-12 02:49:44	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	291	65¢	$190	0xb501ba…
07-12 02:48:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	627	32¢	$199	0x96263b…
07-12 01:05:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	627	55¢	$343	0x4e4d7e…
07-10 21:47:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x178115…
07-10 21:03:31	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	583	51¢	$300	0xfd5ecb…
07-10 20:51:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	502	90¢	$452	0x91a5e3…
07-10 07:52:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	502	60¢	$300	0x19cd9f…
07-09 21:27:47	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	397	85¢	$336	0x472ba6…
07-08 04:06:44	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	397	63¢	$250	0xa189a9…
07-07 20:47:11	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x6cfac5…
07-07 03:03:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x48ff5b…
07-07 02:59:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	347	72¢	$250	0x6f612c…
07-07 01:10:02	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x129e41…
07-06 22:18:08	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xb95e8e…
07-06 03:11:17	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xfc0e61…
07-06 03:10:17	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa8dcaa…
07-06 02:38:01	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x1d1d3f…
07-06 02:20:43	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x3734d7…
07-06 02:19:44	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x37b8f7…
07-06 01:47:01	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	395	59¢	$233	0x3b512d…
07-06 01:37:31	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0x99e2b2…
07-06 00:17:38	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x45e03e…
07-05 23:59:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0x87bdce…
07-05 23:29:46	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0xaf6f66…
07-02 19:01:25	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x953d54…
07-02 19:01:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x3a6f2c…
07-02 19:01:07	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x99fc36…
07-01 19:39:02	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc13d8c…
07-01 19:08:20	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x949646…
06-29 20:37:23	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb81da4…
06-29 20:37:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x903f80…
06-28 02:31:14	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	111	12¢	$13	0x271d42…
06-28 01:32:44	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x4d6130…
06-28 01:09:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x413b29…
06-28 01:01:59	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0x4c6ad8…
06-27 22:56:20	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x52f98d…
06-27 22:56:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x128bd8…
06-27 22:52:40	Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x291ced…
06-27 22:46:55	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x24be88…
06-27 22:27:35	Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0xcea63f…
06-27 22:27:16	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x296ba0…
06-27 22:23:13	Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x264055…
06-27 22:06:53	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xdb6f40…
06-27 22:06:01	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x356183…
06-27 22:05:46	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x607612…
06-27 05:03:41	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f3aed…
06-27 05:03:32	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93183f…
06-27 04:13:02	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x76c60e…
06-27 03:18:13	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x8581f9…
06-27 03:08:40	Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x54fa51…
06-27 03:08:20	Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?	Yes	SELL	108	10¢	$11	0xed2ddb…
06-27 03:07:19	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	135	63¢	$85	0xc9c76c…
06-27 03:04:50	Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc6516e…
06-27 02:58:55	Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xa135a6…
06-27 02:42:01	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x8d8c49…
06-27 02:40:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x45c3e1…
06-27 01:56:46	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x091f7d…
06-27 01:41:05	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb7f636…
06-27 01:09:58	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x96b717…
06-25 03:27:59	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x28fc1f…
06-25 03:27:47	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xbd6173…
06-25 03:26:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x41d855…
06-25 03:26:35	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x3b2280…
06-25 02:52:26	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb55fcb…
06-25 02:35:59	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x753caf…
06-25 02:25:43	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x175ca7…
06-25 02:24:19	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x2ef080…
06-24 20:52:53	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x2ef9be…
06-24 20:22:43	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x11e957…
06-24 06:42:59	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe4f31f…
06-24 06:22:23	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6d6010…
06-24 06:22:07	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2325f6…
06-24 06:21:44	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x93506b…
06-24 06:21:26	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xecd661…
06-24 06:21:17	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xdf248f…
06-24 06:20:58	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xdf9151…
06-23 06:12:29	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3b478f…
06-23 06:12:20	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x807862…
06-23 06:12:01	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb9ded5…
06-23 06:11:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x86458d…
06-23 02:06:58	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xef9042…
06-22 16:36:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xb46acf…
06-22 01:20:58	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xedbaeb…
06-21 22:45:47	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x00402c…
06-21 21:18:34	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xe81006…
06-21 19:17:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xbe7217…
06-21 05:58:52	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0fde3b…
06-21 05:58:32	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x0e3ca9…
06-21 05:58:25	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x9c0083…
06-21 05:34:49	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd833b0…
06-21 05:15:59	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x2015d8…
06-21 04:35:43	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb275a3…
06-21 04:33:49	Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xeef989…