Realized P&L (7d)
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved (7d)
34
Trades (7d)
210
7,078 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.16K
$27.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$589
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 11-05 19:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
93% 57% -$245
Politics
3% 69% -$6
Crypto
2% 55% -$10
Tech
1% 61% +$2
Sports
1% 65% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 1002 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 5? No +53 $53 100¢ $53 $0 11-05 18:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 5? No +42 $40 100¢ $42 +$2 11-05 18:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on November 5? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 +$0 11-05 18:53
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +55 $44 67¢ $37 -$7 09-02 23:58
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +39 $25 85¢ $33 +$8 09-01 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 5? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 11-05 19:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on November 5? No +27 $16 99¢ $27 +$11 11-05 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on November 5? No — +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 11-05 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 5? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 11-05 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 5? No +22 $13 100¢ $22 +$9 11-05 18:55
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +55 $16 33¢ $18 +$2 09-03 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on November 5? No +17 $9 100¢ $17 +$8 11-05 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 11-05 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 5? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 11-05 18:55
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$1 09-01 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 5? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$0 11-05 18:05
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 6? No +14 $4 100¢ $14 +$10 11-05 17:06
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 6? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 11-05 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 5? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$1 11-05 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 11-05 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 11-05 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 5? No — +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 11-05 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 5? No — +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 11-05 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 5? No +10 $5 100¢ $10 +$6 11-05 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 10°C on November 7? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 11-05 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C or higher on November 7? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 11-05 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 5? Yes -10 -$4 100¢ $-10 -$6 11-05 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-05 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-05 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 5? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-05 17:02