Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$5.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 04-10 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

83% 24% -$3,852

Crypto

10% 5% -$580

Politics

6% 20% -$215

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	38	$2.8K	2,325,260	0	+2,325,260	No	-$2,828	03-18 11:57
will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	5	$221	33,432	0	+33,432	No	-$221	04-10 05:29
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$213	26,891	10,001	+16,890	No	-$73	03-28 08:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$200	10,105	0	+10,105	No	-$200	03-28 17:08
bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	11	$189	16,210	0	+16,210	No	-$189	03-14 13:09
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	7	$175	16,584	0	+16,584	No	-$175	03-14 13:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$164	3,780	3,780	+0	No	-$35	04-04 22:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$151	424	424	+0	No	+$51	03-28 07:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$136	913	913	+0	No	+$56	03-28 07:01
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$125	152	152	+0	No	+$45	03-28 07:01
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$120	1,307	0	+1,307	No	-$120	03-27 09:15
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$110	4,671	0	+4,671	No	-$110	03-07 16:11
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	5	$110	3,099	0	+3,099	No	-$110	03-09 03:21
bitcoin above 70k on march 7	3	$96	4,940	0	+4,940	No	-$96	03-07 15:15
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	3	$80	40,000	0	+40,000	No	-$80	03-07 11:17
bitcoin above 74k on march 8	2	$80	5,981	0	+5,981	No	-$80	03-07 15:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	2	$60	6,339	0	+6,339	No	-$60	03-07 10:25
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	1	$60	667	0	+667	No	-$60	03-07 15:12
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$51	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$11	03-28 07:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$50	2,533	0	+2,533	No	-$50	03-07 15:12
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$50	505	0	+505	No	-$50	03-07 18:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 10	5	$32	2,788	0	+2,788	No	-$32	03-10 00:48
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$30	456	0	+456	No	-$30	04-09 22:10
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	4	$30	553	0	+553	No	-$30	03-09 21:33
bitcoin above 76k on march 7	2	$20	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$20	03-07 11:17
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	1	$20	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$20	03-11 11:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$20	1,635	0	+1,635	No	-$20	03-09 00:47
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$20	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$20	03-07 18:35
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	1	$20	74	0	+74	No	-$20	03-06 11:57
trump out as president by march 31	2	$16	443	443	+0	No	+$0	03-06 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-10 05:29:39	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	26,960	0¢	$27	0xa66cc9…
04-09 22:10:09	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x1b4268…
04-09 22:09:53	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,193	1¢	$10	0x88d5d7…
04-06 12:03:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	366	5¢	$20	0xb917ef…
04-06 12:02:51	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,656	1¢	$20	0x539b99…
04-04 22:30:03	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,589	4¢	$64	0xb361fa…
04-04 22:29:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,780	2¢	$64	0xe6ed98…
04-04 21:26:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,780	3¢	$100	0xdf1776…
04-04 19:49:43	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	2,034	5¢	$100	0x6c8b4d…
03-28 17:08:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,842	2¢	$100	0x685087…
03-28 17:06:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,263	2¢	$100	0xa6709b…
03-28 08:46:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$14	0x68967b…
03-28 07:01:35	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	1,007	3¢	$31	0x5b31a9…
03-28 07:01:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	152	56¢	$85	0xa1dfe2…
03-28 07:01:21	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	913	11¢	$96	0x739f6f…
03-28 07:01:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	424	24¢	$101	0x19bc1c…
03-27 09:20:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9,890	0¢	$30	0xfa4bd7…
03-27 09:19:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	169	12¢	$20	0xae0dac…
03-27 09:19:29	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	423	5¢	$20	0xb0ab44…
03-27 09:18:49	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	1,007	2¢	$20	0x9ec448…
03-27 09:18:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	490	4¢	$20	0x1fa32d…
03-27 09:18:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	254	12¢	$30	0x19d048…
03-27 09:17:39	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	152	26¢	$40	0x4315f5…
03-27 09:15:49	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xf3150d…
03-27 00:12:23	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	907	11¢	$100	0xfa6e18…
03-18 11:57:43	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	149,650	0¢	$150	0x424b39…
03-18 08:37:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	199,990	0¢	$200	0x28b4ed…
03-16 22:07:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,100	0¢	$4	0x0110b8…
03-16 10:06:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	203,900	0¢	$204	0x6b43b1…
03-16 10:06:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200,000	0¢	$200	0xc26bbd…
03-16 10:06:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x5f3888…
03-15 09:17:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	278,910	0¢	$279	0xd05a55…
03-15 09:16:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	300,000	0¢	$300	0x8ab42c…
03-15 09:16:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	300,000	0¢	$300	0xe7dd30…
03-15 09:16:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	110,000	0¢	$110	0x5f80ab…
03-14 13:09:07	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	3,327	1¢	$40	0xbf21d4…
03-14 13:08:29	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,954	2¢	$30	0x4fe458…
03-14 13:07:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10,001	1¢	$70	0xb63d08…
03-14 13:07:09	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,314	1¢	$25	0x675ba3…
03-14 13:06:53	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	2,106	1¢	$24	0x67a6a6…
03-14 09:02:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0xf06667…
03-14 09:01:43	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x135396…
03-14 08:48:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	24,880	0¢	$50	0x671fa1…
03-14 08:47:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0xbbf455…
03-14 08:46:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	55,000	0¢	$110	0xf45c42…
03-14 08:44:25	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	1,026	2¢	$20	0x3dbd7c…
03-14 08:43:41	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,187	2¢	$20	0x12974a…
03-13 18:01:13	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,001	1¢	$100	0x87ba05…
03-12 22:33:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x065c19…
03-11 22:10:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	99,760	0¢	$100	0x2ad7be…
03-11 12:13:23	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,317	1¢	$13	0x7a7284…
03-11 11:50:09	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	862	1¢	$10	0x6ee9d9…
03-11 11:49:29	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	3,131	1¢	$20	0x6783e6…
03-11 11:48:59	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,327	1¢	$30	0xe12a50…
03-11 11:48:35	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x0012e2…
03-11 11:47:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xee86da…
03-11 11:47:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xa0bd97…
03-11 11:47:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	13,333	0¢	$40	0x7bd752…
03-10 00:48:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,235	0¢	$2	0xbfe17c…
03-10 00:48:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x257fa8…
03-09 21:40:11	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	457	1¢	$5	0x94058c…
03-09 21:39:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x0b6c0f…
03-09 21:38:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x243d65…
03-09 21:38:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xfae0ae…
03-09 21:38:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x1bc274…
03-09 21:33:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 10	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x5ed8b9…
03-09 21:32:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,071	1¢	$15	0xbddcf8…
03-09 21:28:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd565b4…
03-09 21:27:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 10	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x9848cb…
03-09 21:26:27	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	573	1¢	$5	0x84d640…
03-09 21:25:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 10	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xff4fd1…
03-09 21:24:39	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	1,723	1¢	$10	0x10df8b…
03-09 21:20:23	bitcoin above 72k on march 10	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xe44294…
03-09 21:20:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	Yes	BUY	594	1¢	$5	0x3d3560…
03-09 03:31:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,185	0¢	$5	0xe6381e…
03-09 03:30:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,156	1¢	$10	0xa19b1b…
03-09 03:30:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x4b7484…
03-09 03:27:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x4d7ebc…
03-09 03:27:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xc182c6…
03-09 03:26:45	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x2fe054…
03-09 03:22:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x640bfb…
03-09 03:21:39	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	460	4¢	$20	0xd14b77…
03-09 03:20:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,785	0¢	$11	0x3efdac…
03-09 03:03:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$4	0xc569a5…
03-09 02:25:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	Yes	BUY	416	1¢	$5	0x655ec6…
03-09 02:24:19	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	240	4¢	$10	0xfa57c5…
03-09 01:04:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 10	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1db70b…
03-09 01:04:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x960686…
03-09 01:03:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	Yes	BUY	456	1¢	$5	0x0b8a3d…
03-09 00:58:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x11ed62…
03-09 00:56:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 9	Yes	BUY	776	0¢	$4	0x84eeab…
03-09 00:55:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 9	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf34392…
03-09 00:48:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xfb2352…
03-09 00:47:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xa506f0…
03-08 23:43:17	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1,481	0¢	$5	0x361feb…
03-08 23:11:29	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	1,207	2¢	$20	0xe5e405…
03-08 23:10:49	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x5aaf12…
03-08 23:09:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0x453b34…
03-08 23:07:37	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$10	0xe61f59…
03-08 23:06:21	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,782	3¢	$60	0xc7e2f5…