Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

100 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$159 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 11-14 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

66% 55% -$8

Politics

30% 57% -$1

Tech

5% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	24¢	$1	+$0	11-14 13:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	+2	$1	45¢	$1	$0	11-11 00:22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	+1	$1	66¢	$1	$0	11-11 08:22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+4	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	10-25 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$5	10	+10	Yes	-$1	08-03 18:19
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 03:57
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-16 02:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-02 10:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-04 02:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-20 21:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-21 14:26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 14:32
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 07:26
will spy reach 790 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 11:09
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 20:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 14:18
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 15:21
spy up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$3	08-06 14:32
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 10:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	08-23 08:18
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-13 15:45
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 01:09
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-12 23:26
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-22 14:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-06 22:33
will pltr dip to 114 by august 3 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-03 10:07
will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-04 22:26
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 10:46
spy up or down on august 19 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-19 03:33
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-07 15:23
amzn up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-17 02:50
spy closes above 770 on august 19 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-19 18:09
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-07 06:43
spy up or down on september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-02 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 13:57:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85e198…
11-11 16:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1fc259…
11-11 08:22:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x86e6ad…
11-11 00:22:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x834b11…
11-07 16:05:04	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0f92ab…
11-07 08:04:33	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x355b5c…
11-06 22:46:03	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94f56e…
11-06 12:52:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0ba5a5…
11-06 01:24:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa6be4b…
11-05 13:21:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb62b31…
11-05 02:53:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc1d7f3…
11-03 13:59:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $205?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7e5b0…
11-03 05:59:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa5d93a…
11-02 21:59:22	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf104ce…
11-02 13:58:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03eb07…
11-02 05:58:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5d8a30…
11-01 21:58:00	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c9df9…
11-01 05:08:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x977275…
10-28 12:19:35	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xffbbaa…
10-28 03:59:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfc4b46…
10-27 19:47:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9060e3…
10-27 11:38:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4376bd…
10-27 03:17:20	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ef0f2…
10-25 14:34:14	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe3fb73…
10-25 05:36:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa2eac8…
10-25 04:00:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa87629…
10-23 07:16:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x551252…
10-22 23:13:53	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0b1fd3…
10-22 12:19:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3f454a…
10-21 12:27:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb01367…
10-21 04:03:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe677bc…
10-20 19:57:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0c53a0…
10-20 11:50:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcd9113…
10-20 03:45:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x743d64…
10-20 03:45:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x850aeb…
10-18 07:43:02	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2d5b90…
10-17 23:30:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1c06f…
10-17 15:00:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x86b488…
10-15 14:07:23	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x52f785…
10-15 05:42:37	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb7e730…
10-13 21:35:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xef020b…
10-13 21:23:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xba7fd5…
10-09 23:07:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27d19b…
10-05 00:20:49	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb9da94…
09-28 18:03:02	will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb1a77a…
09-28 17:59:29	will hood reach 127 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x50dc7d…
09-27 21:45:45	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4794df…
09-27 05:58:42	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x080fc0…
09-26 07:53:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x23801b…
09-25 17:23:59	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd8a515…
09-25 08:46:51	will xauusd dip to 4250 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdbc209…
09-24 11:46:33	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa4fd0a…
09-22 23:43:50	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3d5c65…
09-21 14:26:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x906754…
09-21 06:00:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc8ed31…
09-20 21:55:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xb2ae4d…
09-19 15:21:32	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdb7220…
09-19 03:57:34	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9fbaa7…
09-16 02:23:54	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9aa922…
09-07 14:18:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4b8273…
09-03 14:32:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1625b9…
09-02 01:23:22	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x28d490…
09-01 10:40:13	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x98620a…
08-23 08:18:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x11ee96…
08-22 14:11:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x4699e2…
08-20 22:12:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xc09be4…
08-20 06:18:40	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x361648…
08-19 18:09:10	spy closes above 770 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x50a899…
08-19 03:33:34	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8e9632…
08-18 12:48:19	will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x49438a…
08-18 04:40:00	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3a2d1f…
08-17 20:39:31	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xecdffe…
08-17 11:09:24	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc223b3…
08-17 02:50:36	amzn up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x32dbc5…
08-13 15:45:45	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x80d8b3…
08-13 07:26:57	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd79cd7…
08-12 23:26:15	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xda2523…
08-11 10:46:40	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9e66a6…
08-08 01:09:45	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x98b2f5…
08-07 15:23:55	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xd9f49b…
08-07 06:43:28	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x26fd1d…
08-06 22:33:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x38fac7…
08-06 14:32:57	spy up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xbe118a…
08-06 06:31:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x08e513…
08-04 22:26:24	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x8fd7d3…
08-04 02:25:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xceafce…
08-03 18:19:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xab0035…
08-03 10:07:39	will pltr dip to 114 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0c3b39…
08-03 10:07:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x80a39d…
08-03 10:07:09	will pltr reach 132 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xaa89c4…
08-02 21:17:08	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x49c5e7…
08-02 10:56:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xf580e3…
08-01 22:53:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x22c8fb…
08-01 14:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8e9cd8…
08-01 03:21:50	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6af530…
07-31 19:21:32	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x168eb8…
07-31 11:20:59	wti closes above 84 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x309f94…
07-30 16:00:15	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3e38e4…
07-29 14:52:23	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2fd2ed…
07-29 05:59:38	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2d8821…