Empty-Headache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

331

Trades

438

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-03 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

75% 65% -$460

Sports

14% 88% +$172

Tech

8% 100% +$97

Politics

2% 100% +$19

Crypto

1% 50% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes		+141	$120	66¢	$92	-$28	09-14 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.3K	735	735	+0	Yes	+$119	06-26 00:10
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.2K	1,167	827	+340	Paraguay	-$777	06-29 23:23
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$940	954	0	+954	Yes	+$13	03-30 11:50
dota2 xtreme pari 2026 03 28 game2	2	$672	757	0	+757	Xtreme Gaming	-$55	03-28 20:53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$500	531	0	+531	No	+$31	07-06 10:20
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27 game2	2	$448	454	0	+454	Xtreme Gaming	-$4	03-27 21:11
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$421	254	254	+0	Yes	+$21	06-27 00:42
dota2 ty xtreme 2026 03 29	2	$410	426	0	+426	Team Yandex	+$0	03-29 14:11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$400	425	0	+425	Yes	+$25	06-14 16:57
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28	2	$368	473	0	+473	Tundra Esports	+$104	03-28 16:22
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$333	384	0	+384	No	-$333	06-15 16:55
dota2 aur1 pari 2026 03 28 game1	3	$312	325	20	+306	PARIVISION	-$2	03-28 12:59
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$308	311	0	+311	No	+$3	02-12 16:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$300	333	0	+333	Yes	+$33	04-26 07:14
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	11	$273	637	637	+0	No	+$73	06-20 16:04
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	1	$250	271	0	+271	Yes	+$21	06-12 20:21
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	2	$243	145	145	+0	TEAM VISION	+$43	08-21 13:44
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$240	149	149	+0	Yes	+$40	03-27 09:02
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$234	143	143	+0	Yes	+$34	06-20 22:19
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$224	125	125	+0	Yes	+$24	06-23 17:31
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$213	119	119	+0	No	+$13	06-27 22:04
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	2	$210	110	110	+0	Vici Gaming	+$10	06-15 12:55
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$200	222	0	+222	No	+$22	03-22 15:51
dota2 xtreme pari 2026 03 28 game1	1	$200	208	0	+208	PARIVISION	+$8	03-28 19:36
dota2 ngx liquid 2026 04 10	4	$195	165	164	+1	Nigma Galaxy	-$55	04-10 12:22
dota2 aur1 pari 2026 03 28 game2	2	$160	172	0	+172	PARIVISION	+$13	03-28 13:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$150	270	270	+0	No	+$50	07-14 19:19
dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game3	1	$150	244	0	+244	Tundra Esports	+$94	03-29 18:22
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$150	162	0	+162	Yes	+$12	05-18 08:06
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	4	$145	246	0	+246	Yes	+$101	06-28 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:29:48	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xff12cd…
10-10 13:34:51	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xada913…
10-10 13:34:06	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xf8e362…
10-09 14:32:13	dota2 1win pari 2026 10 09 game handicap home 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x1d7ec6…
10-09 14:10:27	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x93f4a9…
10-08 21:38:41	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x32617d…
10-08 16:23:44	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xb3c71e…
10-08 13:29:51	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x0d13ae…
10-08 09:17:26	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x8dc381…
10-06 17:38:45	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xb1f3a0…
10-06 17:25:53	Argentina vs. Benin: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc71ea4…
10-06 11:19:07	Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)	Kazakhstan	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xeb1999…
10-06 09:01:24	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd781ef…
10-05 11:18:26	cs2 m80 tyloo 2026 10 05	TYLOO	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf27b4a…
10-03 11:07:35	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches	PARIVISION	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x0fc6f3…
10-02 15:45:35	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A	LGD Gaming	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xcb1aec…
10-02 13:13:08	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	SELL	44	64¢	$28	0x91446c…
10-02 06:50:56	cs2 faze ast10 2026 10 02	Astralis	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc4ceb8…
09-30 14:42:38	dota2 pari lgd 2026 09 30 game handicap away 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0xe11e09…
09-15 20:19:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xaa5d26…
09-14 12:36:10	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	85¢	$120	0x1d2a8a…
08-22 10:35:30	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x880437…
08-22 09:29:19	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x251762…
08-22 09:22:00	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	TEAM VISION	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x875241…
08-22 09:10:18	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	TEAM VISION	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xc4a05a…
08-21 13:44:54	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	TEAM VISION	SELL	145	99¢	$143	0x2171ed…
08-21 10:43:07	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	TEAM VISION	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x8cada9…
08-20 16:21:15	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20	Team Falcons	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xb56731…
08-20 14:54:34	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x722203…
08-18 07:06:58	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	170	78¢	$133	0xf3bc60…
07-29 21:44:30	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x613121…
07-26 11:15:10	cs2 100t ts7 2026 07 26 map handicap home 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x256207…
07-23 10:59:00	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	Aurora Gaming	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x42b331…
07-20 11:17:36	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	Astralis	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5af1e3…
07-20 11:17:15	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B	Heroic	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x1c46ae…
07-20 11:16:21	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	G2	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x703835…
07-20 11:15:51	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	GamerLegion	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x7f532b…
07-20 11:15:15	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9cc829…
07-19 14:24:40	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8e8256…
07-19 14:21:54	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9e94d9…
07-19 10:26:57	dota2 vg ty 2026 07 19 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xfe7a56…
07-17 20:01:30	dota2 bb4 vg 2026 07 18 game handicap away 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x25ee7d…
07-17 12:10:36	dota2 flc vg 2026 07 16 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x8399fb…
07-17 11:50:57	dota2 flc vg 2026 07 16 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9939ea…
07-16 13:46:19	dota2 pari re 2026 07 17 game handicap away 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf00a22…
07-16 13:22:32	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x45ce1d…
07-16 11:50:04	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17	Team Yandex	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x3e62df…
07-16 10:50:25	dota2 pari re 2026 07 17 game handicap away 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x372ad7…
07-16 09:36:28	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17	Team Yandex	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x1b74dc…
07-15 15:34:50	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15 game2	1win	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x14f103…
07-15 12:55:26	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 07 15 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf568a1…
07-15 12:36:05	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15	1win	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7cbedd…
07-15 09:13:37	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15	1win	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x86056e…
07-15 09:13:16	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 07 15	Team Spirit	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xa4a843…
07-15 07:32:16	dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14 game handicap away 1pt5	PlayTime	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x275fc3…
07-14 19:19:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	270	37¢	$100	0x089cd4…
07-14 16:03:31	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x4f4908…
07-14 15:17:55	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Team Liquid	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x3057b5…
07-14 13:26:02	dota2 re vp 2026 07 14 game2	Rune Eaters	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0xa691a0…
07-14 13:04:55	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x98e343…
07-14 12:44:41	dota2 re vp 2026 07 14 game2	Rune Eaters	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x01af2e…
07-14 12:20:52	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game1	Team Liquid	SELL	26	75¢	$19	0x17cc00…
07-14 11:24:29	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x326ff7…
07-13 13:24:08	dota2 lgd mouz 2026 07 14	LGD Gaming	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x397b5e…
07-13 13:23:31	dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14 game handicap away 1pt5	PlayTime	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xaaf133…
07-13 13:22:47	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Team Liquid	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1266e2…
07-12 13:13:32	dota2 1win ty 2026 07 12 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x363e94…
07-12 09:57:47	PARIVISION to win 2-0?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x6ad636…
07-12 08:50:32	LGD Gaming to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xd0288b…
07-12 08:50:13	Team Yandex to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xea10d5…
07-12 08:49:31	PARIVISION to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xcdda6f…
07-11 11:10:02	dota2 xtreme flc 2026 07 11 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xef25f2…
07-11 10:20:02	dota2 bb4 gl 2026 07 11 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0x70970d…
07-11 09:47:53	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf696ae…
07-11 09:47:20	cs2 pain shk 2026 07 11	paiN	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x68e6f3…
07-11 09:38:52	dota2 bb4 gl 2026 07 11 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf0c1eb…
07-11 09:30:46	dota2 xtreme flc 2026 07 11 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x65b1bd…
07-10 11:57:44	Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xcccb9c…
07-10 09:16:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xd5f730…
07-10 08:54:44	BetBoom Team to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc34c4f…
07-10 08:53:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9f09bd…
07-09 21:08:46	PARIVISION to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x36286a…
07-09 14:09:19	dota2 ngx liquid 2026 07 09 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xb8e6b5…
07-09 11:09:46	PlayTime to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x255d3a…
07-09 10:12:25	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	60	89¢	$54	0xdb857b…
07-09 09:30:59	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd42849…
07-09 09:20:25	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x02423f…
07-09 09:06:46	dota2 lgd 1win 2026 07 09 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xfe8398…
07-09 07:43:04	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xd34ecf…
07-08 14:37:28	dota2 ngx aur1 2026 07 08 game2	Aurora	SELL	29	78¢	$22	0xf58295…
07-08 13:11:19	dota2 ngx aur1 2026 07 08 game2	Aurora	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x81cf06…
07-08 09:36:01	dota2 poorra bb4 2026 07 08 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x304395…
07-08 09:22:53	Team Falcons to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2acdfc…
07-08 06:44:02	PARIVISION to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x07705e…
07-08 06:42:53	PlayTime to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xd2d31b…
07-08 06:42:26	Team Liquid to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x186f44…
07-08 06:41:10	BetBoom Team to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xd8f78f…
07-08 06:38:58	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x962855…
07-07 20:38:37	Team Yandex to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x760ac7…
07-07 15:24:23	LGD Gaming to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x365a73…