Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

247

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 11-04 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 46% -$169

Other

9% 8% -$3

Politics

3% 100% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Up	—	+5	$3	78¢	$4	+$1	11-03 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	—	+17	$4	14¢	$2	-$1	11-04 14:04
GTA VI released by November 30?	No		+61	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	11-03 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$43	59	0	+59	Down	-$43	11-02 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	5	$38	37	30	+7	Up	+$6	10-17 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$32	69	69	+0	Up	+$14	10-17 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$5	10-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$29	45	0	+45	Down	+$17	11-02 18:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	4	$27	30	30	+0	Up	-$1	10-15 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$26	33	22	+11	Up	-$2	10-15 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$25	36	31	+5	Down	+$7	11-03 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$22	32	0	+32	Up	-$22	11-03 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC	3	$21	32	12	+20	Down	-$1	10-17 23:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	4	$21	23	23	+0	Up	$0	10-14 23:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	10-10 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$12	11-03 20:40
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$19	24	7	+17	Down	-$5	11-03 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$19	30	0	+30	Down	+$12	11-02 18:11
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	6	$19	27	27	+0	open	—	10-07 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$18	54	0	+54	Up	-$18	11-03 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$18	53	8	+45	Down	-$4	10-23 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$17	27	27	+0	Down	+$15	10-23 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$17	21	0	+21	Up	+$3	11-02 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$17	28	0	+28	Down	-$17	11-02 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	Down	+$7	10-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	10-24 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	2	$16	13	13	+0	Down	+$7	10-17 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	4	$16	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	10-23 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	10-17 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:50 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	2	$15	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	10-05 02:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	4	$15	14	14	+0	Down	$0	10-16 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xc296e5…
11-04 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbf3611…
11-04 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0xd995c7…
11-04 13:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xca8324…
11-04 10:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5f0048…
11-04 10:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x47552b…
11-04 00:17:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd6bf32…
11-04 00:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x44a6cf…
11-04 00:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xae6f8d…
11-04 00:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdad8b7…
11-04 00:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4fd05b…
11-03 23:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2cbfe3…
11-03 23:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x572df0…
11-03 23:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa5a0b2…
11-03 23:51:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0xd6aadb…
11-03 23:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x7286bf…
11-03 23:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa4f5ec…
11-03 23:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x87ca4e…
11-03 23:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8e66b5…
11-03 23:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5c6e0b…
11-03 23:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2babb0…
11-03 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x909c9a…
11-03 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xfea176…
11-03 23:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8c1385…
11-03 23:31:40	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xdf0a38…
11-03 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0xe4074e…
11-03 23:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x917a6f…
11-03 23:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf989e4…
11-03 23:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd07ce1…
11-03 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcbcc8d…
11-03 23:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbed911…
11-03 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe5e68b…
11-03 23:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0x36aa75…
11-03 23:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xd6fa01…
11-03 23:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x4f686c…
11-03 23:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x1d4067…
11-03 23:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x6722f3…
11-03 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x928be8…
11-03 22:58:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x64e150…
11-03 22:56:39	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8bdbd8…
11-03 22:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x8c5219…
11-03 22:56:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x888eb2…
11-03 22:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xd69326…
11-03 22:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x1579e9…
11-03 22:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xa94a53…
11-03 22:48:18	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0x85d73c…
11-03 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9eeea6…
11-03 22:47:30	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x1cbc62…
11-03 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0382c3…
11-03 22:36:49	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x863c00…
11-03 22:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x2f009d…
11-03 22:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb80331…
11-03 21:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x68b144…
11-03 21:50:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x0d1cc1…
11-03 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9ed8d0…
11-03 20:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x129618…
11-03 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x858063…
11-03 20:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x45046b…
11-03 20:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8ca3c0…
11-03 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x04cf22…
11-03 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x3fedda…
11-03 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x04bc3e…
11-03 20:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xabd3d1…
11-03 20:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6e50e6…
11-03 16:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc6e723…
11-03 16:01:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xd6542f…
11-03 15:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf52277…
11-03 15:47:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x6028ca…
11-03 15:45:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x105e41…
11-03 15:42:55	Will Solana dip to $75 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xc79acc…
11-03 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x56f1a4…
11-03 15:34:31	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3a53f…
11-03 15:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf04a5b…
11-03 15:33:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcd43d3…
11-03 15:32:21	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x69530a…
11-03 15:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc42e3c…
11-03 15:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6c8e0f…
11-03 15:30:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa12375…
11-03 15:13:28	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x456c0e…
11-03 15:12:58	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x81bc19…
11-03 15:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb8b54a…
11-03 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xbfa3a9…
11-03 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x359db1…
11-03 15:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfa250c…
11-03 14:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8246b4…
11-03 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x751d85…
11-03 14:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x53bcb7…
11-03 14:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0947c7…
11-03 14:45:42	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x209c30…
11-03 14:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4eb333…
11-03 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc21041…
11-03 14:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebdf24…
11-03 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe57d89…
11-03 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e6805…
11-03 14:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xb98db5…
11-03 14:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x984c62…
11-03 14:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b3292…
11-03 14:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbd2a8f…
11-03 14:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaa3af4…
11-03 14:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0xf8c8f8…