Critical-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-09 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$4	12	+12	Up	$-4	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-07 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-09 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-07 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-09 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	$-4	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	$-4	05-08 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	open	—	05-09 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$4	12	+12	Up	$-4	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	$-4	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-06 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	$-4	05-06 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-09 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-07 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-06 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-09 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-05 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-05 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-05 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-07 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xe93fb0…
05-09 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x77c0b2…
05-09 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x9a50e8…
05-09 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x427fc0…
05-09 10:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5af80c…
05-09 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xcd8848…
05-09 07:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3d4858…
05-08 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x96898d…
05-08 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x55103f…
05-08 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9ca912…
05-07 22:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x945dc9…
05-07 22:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd37532…
05-07 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd197b7…
05-07 10:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x391748…
05-07 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0fb6e4…
05-07 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x308a22…
05-07 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe8aae5…
05-07 09:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2f72ef…
05-06 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x117445…
05-06 19:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x42682e…
05-06 19:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x61066e…
05-06 19:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa7609d…
05-06 10:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xafa0c8…
05-06 09:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd07253…
05-05 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xcfc41d…
05-05 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x095186…
05-05 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x86fc0e…
05-05 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x383563…
05-05 09:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6a5d24…
05-05 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3a70ed…
05-05 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1d442c…
05-05 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4acdc9…
05-05 09:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa8e3d2…
05-05 08:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x11a1f7…
05-05 08:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xfc3d9a…
05-05 08:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x23ddd1…
05-05 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6fe401…
05-05 07:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x39ca65…
05-05 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x520dd3…
05-05 07:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x660964…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x3669e5…
05-05 05:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x067a86…
05-05 04:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf1533c…
05-05 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf98af5…
05-05 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdd2cbf…
05-05 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf97f82…
05-05 01:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb10f93…
05-05 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x97d3e2…
05-05 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xc28082…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	49	$13.7K	371	05-09 23:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	44	$3.73K	323	05-09 23:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	43	$2.65K	165	05-09 23:45
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	43	$2.50K	155	05-09 23:45
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	42	$2.54K	213	05-09 23:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	41	$12.2K	323	05-09 23:49
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	41	$674	154	05-09 23:45
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	40	$735	172	05-09 23:45