Realized P&L
-$885
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
31.8%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,074
lifetime
Volume
$68.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$57.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
57% — —
Sports
25% 52% -$869
Other
18% 0% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +17,511 $16,787 98¢ $17.1K +$356 10-19 13:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10,129 $9,357 88¢ $9.0K -$393 10-11 10:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,209 $6,476 92¢ $6.6K +$120 10-08 04:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,056 $4,889 96¢ $4.9K -$12 10-26 18:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,911 $2,845 97¢ $2.8K -$13 10-14 18:06
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,135 $2,061 96¢ $2.0K -$12 09-25 02:23
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,028 $1,975 97¢ $2.0K +$2 10-26 14:43
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,919 $1,594 94¢ $1.8K +$200 09-03 14:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,574 $1,491 97¢ $1.5K +$33 09-20 00:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,269 $1,168 92¢ $1.2K +$6 10-22 02:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,129 $798 12¢ $1.2K +$367 10-19 11:59
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,312 $1,149 88¢ $1.2K +$12 10-19 11:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,078 $942 86¢ $922 -$20 10-21 19:38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +883 $858 97¢ $853 -$5 10-11 07:14
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +871 $852 98¢ $853 +$1 10-26 20:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,209 $761 8¢ $613 -$148 10-19 16:04
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +499 $472 95¢ $474 +$2 09-02 13:56
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +471 $453 97¢ $454 +$1 10-24 14:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,511 $717 2¢ $368 -$349 10-10 21:44
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +357 $346 97¢ $346 +$0 10-26 13:12
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +311 $242 82¢ $256 +$14 10-21 22:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +5,249 $189 4¢ $186 -$2 10-26 19:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,078 $143 15¢ $156 +$13 10-22 23:45
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,312 $167 12¢ $151 -$16 10-06 19:54
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,919 $329 6¢ $125 -$204 09-02 18:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,269 $102 8¢ $95 -$6 10-22 06:18
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,135 $83 4¢ $86 +$3 09-26 02:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,911 $69 3¢ $79 +$10 10-19 14:12
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +311 $69 18¢ $54 -$15 10-23 01:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,574 $95 3¢ $50 -$45 09-26 03:48