Downright-Nobody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$0

Other

34% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	2	$169	170	0	+170	open	—	05-14 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$161	161	0	+161	No	+$0	05-11 10:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	2	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	05-08 07:36
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-29 09:42
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	2	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-10 02:36
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-02 06:56
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-11 05:38
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	06-15 03:47
bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	06-15 03:47
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 380 399	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	03-04 03:22
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	03-01 08:37
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 4	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	03-04 03:22
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-02 06:56
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	3	$132	830	700	+130	open	—	03-01 08:37
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	02-11 05:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	05-29 09:43
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-10 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	05-08 07:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	05-21 02:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	05-25 09:20
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	04-08 02:31
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	03-26 07:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	03-31 06:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	04-15 06:21
ethereum above 3400 on january 13	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	01-13 09:57
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 240 259	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	01-08 06:42
bitcoin above 84k on january 2	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	01-02 08:24
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-15 06:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-26 03:56
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	03-31 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:47:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x3da9eb…
06-15 03:47:03	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xda1134…
06-07 09:05:51	bitcoin above 72k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8b4ccd…
05-29 09:43:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x44f320…
05-29 09:42:50	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x2b3a61…
05-25 09:20:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1f4eef…
05-21 02:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2da956…
05-14 07:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x433b04…
05-14 06:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd323cb…
05-11 10:55:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8940dd…
05-11 10:52:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe6424f…
05-08 07:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xdaeb48…
05-08 07:36:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9e6649…
05-08 07:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2046b9…
04-30 07:20:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf8c861…
04-30 06:29:06	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf4660f…
04-30 06:28:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6bbb5f…
04-26 06:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc1db12…
04-26 06:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2316eb…
04-26 03:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x578f82…
04-21 06:45:16	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd3867d…
04-21 06:40:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x152429…
04-21 06:40:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3d320d…
04-15 09:58:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 480 499	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x584d49…
04-15 06:21:46	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x998460…
04-15 06:21:06	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe8fb12…
04-08 02:38:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x5cc934…
04-08 02:36:27	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0xf7a358…
04-08 02:32:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 400 419	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2e2b74…
04-08 02:31:45	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe4038c…
03-31 06:55:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x041155…
03-31 06:54:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x169f0c…
03-31 06:36:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4843b4…
03-26 07:29:31	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 27	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x78c489…
03-26 07:17:15	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x214d6a…
03-26 07:16:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 400 419	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8823ac…
03-18 09:17:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x0efb2b…
03-18 09:11:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd9e3f6…
03-18 09:10:25	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3772d8…
03-10 02:36:37	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x28fbff…
03-10 02:36:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb8a620…
03-10 02:36:07	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xed1a93…
03-04 03:22:41	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 380 399	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x774677…
03-04 03:22:23	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 4	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x77be2f…
03-01 08:37:49	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1b961…
03-01 08:37:41	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x306adc…
03-01 08:37:21	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x127f3b…
03-01 08:37:03	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x7a9136…
03-01 08:34:19	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0x668c73…
03-01 08:33:53	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xca63e2…
02-11 06:14:01	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4cfcd2…
02-11 06:11:55	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c3700…
02-11 05:38:49	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x9b14e7…
02-11 05:38:31	ethereum above 2300 on february 11	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x663fe3…
02-02 06:56:56	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x6f9c04…
02-02 06:56:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdd114d…
01-21 07:21:08	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x71f40e…
01-13 09:57:07	ethereum above 3400 on january 13	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x018bff…
01-08 06:42:43	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 240 259	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa86c7d…
01-02 08:24:05	bitcoin above 84k on january 2	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd634bb…