Assured-Bob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$392

Unrealized P&L

+$93

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

153

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

53% 25% +$311

Politics

35% 18% +$152

Crypto

11% 33% -$4

Sports

1% 0% -$58

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-200	-$83	6¢	$-12	+$71	05-14 11:24
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-434	-$26	1¢	$-4	+$22	06-11 13:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	4	$986	676	676	+0	Yes	+$366	01-09 19:25
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$606	600	600	+0	No	+$224	02-13 07:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$549	500	500	+0	Yes	+$257	02-28 17:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$438	300	300	+0	Yes	+$96	02-28 06:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$357	1,606	113	+1,493	No	-$291	01-09 20:31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$341	262	262	+0	Yes	+$145	02-28 19:39
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	3	$254	180	180	+0	Yes	+$56	03-11 17:45
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	2	$220	573	0	+573	No	-$220	01-09 16:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$205	700	200	+500	Yes	+$103	01-31 06:50
cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 game2	6	$193	162	162	+0	Natus Vincere	+$93	02-18 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$160	0	1,000	-1,000	No	+$160	01-09 20:19
cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 game1	2	$143	105	105	+0	Natus Vincere	+$43	02-18 16:48
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	6	$126	700	100	+600	Yes	-$12	02-23 19:05
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$121	100	100	+0	Yes	+$73	03-13 18:36
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	2	$95	89	89	+0	Yes	+$83	01-13 18:02
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	5	$90	1,495	0	+1,495	No	-$90	01-26 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$83	0	200	-200	open	—	05-14 11:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$82	300	0	+300	No	-$82	02-18 16:19
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$73	100	100	+0	No	-$5	01-14 20:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:15 UTC	17	$69	130	60	+70	Down	+$14	02-04 14:29
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1400plus	2	$67	38	38	+0	Yes	+$7	01-09 19:25
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$64	300	0	+300	No	-$64	02-11 20:12
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$50	4,500	0	+4,500	Yes	-$50	02-23 20:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$46	50	50	+0	No	+$26	03-11 17:46
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	3	$45	57	57	+0	No	-$6	01-05 16:06
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	2	$45	100	100	+0	No	+$15	03-02 15:34
will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the united states in 2025	2	$43	38	38	+0	No	+$33	01-13 18:03
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	2	$40	35	35	+0	Yes	+$20	01-12 08:16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	98	0	+98	No	-$40	07-19 15:47
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$40	88	0	+88	No	-$40	05-14 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:47:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x036e24…
06-11 13:33:28	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	434	6¢	$26	0x75dce0…
05-14 11:26:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0xb3a4df…
05-14 11:26:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7e55fc…
05-14 11:25:58	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x249e9e…
05-14 11:25:30	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xc30332…
05-14 11:25:21	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xa6102e…
05-14 11:24:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$83	0xc06afe…
05-14 11:22:56	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x66b534…
05-14 11:22:47	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xcf0bae…
05-14 11:22:38	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x649b28…
05-14 11:22:31	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3098c9…
05-14 11:22:15	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xee8118…
04-30 03:59:16	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xe3fcbb…
04-07 17:51:31	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x75a5af…
03-30 05:17:02	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	284	4¢	$12	0x7da33d…
03-29 19:14:24	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	284	7¢	$20	0x0ebf5d…
03-29 09:24:26	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xfbd9ab…
03-15 16:00:33	will cloud 9 by megan moroney be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	172	0¢	$1	0x00975d…
03-15 09:23:05	will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xa9dec9…
03-15 09:23:01	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xfd4e4e…
03-15 09:22:37	will the romantic by bruno mars be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe89a6e…
03-15 09:10:49	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0fa212…
03-15 09:10:39	will the romantic by bruno mars be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x35feb0…
03-15 08:40:41	will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x400dd3…
03-15 06:53:09	will cloud 9 by megan moroney be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x926bc4…
03-15 06:53:01	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xb059d3…
03-15 06:52:55	will the art of loving by olivia dean be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc3d0f9…
03-15 06:52:51	will the life of a showgirl by taylor swift be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x736a06…
03-15 06:52:43	will the mountain by gorillaz be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x39ebdd…
03-15 06:52:33	will octane by don toliver be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xd06f33…
03-15 06:52:25	will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$1	0xbe02c3…
03-15 06:52:15	will the art of loving by olivia dean be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x035eb2…
03-15 06:52:05	will im the problem by morgan wallen be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fd0d8…
03-15 06:51:53	will the romantic by bruno mars be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xef642c…
03-14 06:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x70717f…
03-13 18:36:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x1c5c9d…
03-12 20:54:25	will trump say kristi or noem during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x5cbb3e…
03-12 20:54:19	will trump say kristi or noem during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xca4432…
03-12 20:53:39	will trump say kristi or noem during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1c6473…
03-12 05:22:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0x5194a5…
03-12 05:21:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa8b1d1…
03-12 03:50:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x1cf338…
03-11 17:47:45	will trump say kurd or kurdish during kentucky visit	Yes	BUY	192	6¢	$11	0x41b7a3…
03-11 17:46:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x902eb0…
03-11 17:45:27	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	86¢	$155	0x68be14…
03-05 06:16:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xf3bcb2…
03-05 05:54:17	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xf623d2…
03-05 05:28:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x2ee050…
03-05 05:28:29	Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc9c2d2…
03-05 05:24:47	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xe0c1fc…
03-05 05:22:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xf0aca0…
03-03 22:22:23	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x3865ad…
03-03 17:19:59	will trump say too late during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcc6961…
03-03 04:31:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x5b97f3…
03-02 17:47:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	106	11¢	$11	0x3364bc…
03-02 17:46:49	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xfbb4c5…
03-02 15:34:41	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x7cc8c5…
03-02 12:38:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x443851…
03-01 14:06:21	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x32c9c1…
03-01 13:40:11	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf765df…
03-01 11:17:59	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x669edb…
03-01 06:28:29	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x70646c…
03-01 05:59:45	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x55265b…
02-28 19:58:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x08034c…
02-28 19:54:59	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x1d59b2…
02-28 19:52:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5986ae…
02-28 19:50:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x90ce5f…
02-28 19:50:01	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x1ae897…
02-28 19:46:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x348056…
02-28 19:44:53	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xd937f9…
02-28 19:41:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x248c75…
02-28 19:39:37	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xef1a8b…
02-28 17:41:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x9a94ff…
02-28 13:45:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x61d72c…
02-28 13:44:09	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	78¢	$49	0x034a3b…
02-28 06:29:05	US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6b81cf…
02-28 06:25:01	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd6c86b…
02-28 06:23:13	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x72eec8…
02-28 06:21:41	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	89¢	$267	0x5c05ca…
02-27 13:52:55	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1e0a52…
02-27 13:51:51	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7acc88…
02-27 13:51:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	171	39¢	$67	0x17f820…
02-26 21:16:02	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x8d3247…
02-23 20:21:14	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,358	1¢	$15	0xc05a71…
02-23 20:17:46	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0x0de851…
02-23 20:15:22	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x459bd7…
02-23 20:15:14	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,536	1¢	$17	0x1218bd…
02-23 19:56:44	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,458	1¢	$16	0x7fda46…
02-23 19:05:54	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0x5dc47b…
02-23 18:33:20	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x731ad9…
02-23 18:01:56	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	477	8¢	$38	0x11dad9…
02-23 17:59:20	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaa1ce9…
02-23 13:28:44	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	55¢	$47	0xb3a4e7…
02-23 06:00:22	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	55¢	$52	0x7bd7e4…
02-19 05:17:02	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x27473a…
02-18 17:57:06	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 map handicap away 1pt5	Natus Vincere	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x4b4ac5…
02-18 17:57:06	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 map handicap away 1pt5	Natus Vincere	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x2051f6…
02-18 17:55:54	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 map handicap away 1pt5	Natus Vincere	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x662c31…
02-18 17:52:30	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	162	88¢	$143	0x3a655b…