Definitive-Hearsay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

214

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 14:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 01:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 20:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-11 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 06:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-10 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 00:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-09 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-12 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-12 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-10 21:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 16:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-11 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 11:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 16:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 21:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-11 09:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4de00d…
05-12 12:27:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50edaf…
05-12 12:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcdb930…
05-12 11:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde53b2…
05-12 11:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f5ae7…
05-12 10:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7210eb…
05-12 10:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x044278…
05-12 09:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9848f4…
05-12 08:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3d455c…
05-12 08:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd05afc…
05-12 08:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7fdd93…
05-12 07:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb017dd…
05-12 07:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x98ee16…
05-12 07:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x94edfe…
05-12 07:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc417c…
05-12 06:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd11044…
05-12 06:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb12aaa…
05-12 06:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x64a4df…
05-12 06:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0686be…
05-12 06:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf4148…
05-12 05:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb6999b…
05-12 05:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe66cb8…
05-12 05:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xebe51f…
05-12 04:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0fd17f…
05-12 03:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5a5b1d…
05-12 03:42:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x566e35…
05-12 03:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a3e0d…
05-12 03:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc619ee…
05-12 02:38:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x73d21a…
05-12 02:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe357bf…
05-12 02:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa08458…
05-12 01:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfcf992…
05-12 01:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x2d4239…
05-12 01:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad2497…
05-12 01:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x07a24d…
05-12 00:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xac33d6…
05-12 00:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x730056…
05-12 00:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x99f941…
05-12 00:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x814ba4…
05-11 23:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x130715…
05-11 23:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x968777…
05-11 23:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa9a0be…
05-11 22:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2887c…
05-11 22:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf08c79…
05-11 22:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa86bb9…
05-11 21:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3698a6…
05-11 21:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc929ec…
05-11 21:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x932cdb…
05-11 21:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf66d76…
05-11 21:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xbf0638…
05-11 20:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb15a2d…
05-11 20:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xc6a4de…
05-11 20:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x2cf581…
05-11 20:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x313ead…
05-11 19:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebb5cd…
05-11 19:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf3129…
05-11 19:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x947efc…
05-11 19:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x38b8ea…
05-11 19:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6601b7…
05-11 18:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x654c94…
05-11 18:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc9ac8e…
05-11 18:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xbd3720…
05-11 18:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdbd4f9…
05-11 17:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7cb31…
05-11 17:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd0bc0e…
05-11 17:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x228543…
05-11 17:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e37a0…
05-11 16:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7ee0b3…
05-11 16:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa08d32…
05-11 16:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e70bf…
05-11 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3d6d31…
05-11 15:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2704a…
05-11 15:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd5ff3b…
05-11 15:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa941df…
05-11 15:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x86f678…
05-11 14:55:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19438a…
05-11 14:23:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x205d85…
05-11 14:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1cf7f3…
05-11 13:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x323cfa…
05-11 13:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x1a820f…
05-11 13:38:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x395909…
05-11 13:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xddbcb8…
05-11 13:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7d621…
05-11 12:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7d99e1…
05-11 12:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3be45…
05-11 12:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8d6ef3…
05-11 12:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x49e1f0…
05-11 11:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x57883a…
05-11 11:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd6ae34…
05-11 11:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3f10e0…
05-11 11:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d53e7…
05-11 10:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x814fe6…
05-11 10:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe58ed6…
05-11 10:26:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb49f3…
05-11 10:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf7a957…
05-11 09:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc3731…
05-11 09:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x58827c…
05-11 09:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x32a07e…
05-11 08:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4058d8…
05-11 08:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb37ac5…