Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-21 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

91% 64% +$367

Other

8% 22% -$281

Crypto

1% 50% -$20

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		-25	-$21	8¢	$-2	+$20	05-21 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$15.9K	8,154	8,154	+0	Yes	+$327	03-01 03:58
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	13	$591	1,930	0	+1,930	No	-$591	01-29 11:58
expe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 3pt29	2	$199	108	108	+0	Yes	+$17	02-12 21:30
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$81	75	75	+0	No	+$30	02-13 12:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$67	62	87	-25	open	—	05-21 16:11
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	8	$62	458	458	+0	No	-$52	02-28 20:00
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	3	$60	11,500	11,500	+0	No	+$14	02-28 20:01
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	1	$50	500	0	+500	No	+$450	01-29 02:23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	3	$47	8,167	8,167	+0	No	+$1	02-28 20:01
mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	3	$45	26	26	+0	Yes	+$7	02-13 12:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$43	520	520	+0	No	+$4	02-28 20:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$38	7,667	7,667	+0	No	-$8	02-28 20:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$31	75	0	+75	Yes	+$44	02-18 02:34
aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	6	$30	422	422	+0	Yes	-$29	01-29 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:55 UTC	1	$25	32	0	+32	Down	-$25	04-06 02:59
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$24	0	84	-84	No	+$24	05-07 15:31
mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	4	$23	156	0	+156	Yes	-$23	02-18 03:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$23	133	202	-69	Yes	+$8	03-01 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:50 UTC	1	$22	25	0	+25	Down	+$3	04-06 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:45 UTC	2	$22	28	0	+28	Down	+$6	02-13 15:47
cboe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 06 2026 2pt95	7	$22	136	0	+136	Yes	-$22	02-06 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:45 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	04-06 02:49
cvx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 30 2026 1pt48	2	$20	50	0	+50	Yes	-$20	01-29 17:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$20	61	0	+61	Yes	+$41	02-18 21:06
ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	5	$19	170	0	+170	Yes	-$19	02-18 05:34
kkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt14	1	$18	95	0	+95	No	+$77	02-05 02:27
rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	1	$18	225	0	+225	Yes	-$18	02-05 02:28
amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	4	$16	132	0	+132	Yes	-$16	02-12 09:57
roku quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt28	1	$16	80	0	+80	Yes	-$16	02-12 09:58
csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 1pt02	1	$15	220	0	+220	Yes	-$15	02-06 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:11:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	51¢	$44	0xdf2da4…
05-07 15:33:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xd73544…
05-07 15:31:19	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	29¢	$24	0x324177…
04-16 20:03:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd0cf12…
04-06 02:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0aa9ef…
04-06 02:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1744b4…
04-06 02:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$21	0xe86698…
04-06 02:47:53	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xb1892b…
03-30 08:48:02	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x20415f…
03-26 19:26:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x513476…
03-01 04:05:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0xaa32a3…
03-01 03:58:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8,154	100¢	$8,121	0xd63915…
02-28 21:46:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf7e3c1…
02-28 21:46:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,690	98¢	$3,634	0x3c9ac0…
02-28 20:18:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xde6ad2…
02-28 20:17:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,587	97¢	$1,531	0x7dac08…
02-28 20:17:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0xfae4c3…
02-28 20:17:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x8cae8d…
02-28 20:17:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0xec1f7a…
02-28 20:17:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xc5941b…
02-28 20:16:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,300	97¢	$1,261	0xeaafc1…
02-28 20:08:53	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6b83d8…
02-28 20:08:29	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x86f9ea…
02-28 20:03:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x7bae29…
02-28 20:01:41	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11,500	0¢	$37	0xe24ce3…
02-28 20:01:39	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8,167	0¢	$24	0x3fc6b8…
02-28 20:01:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	520	4¢	$23	0xd47682…
02-28 20:01:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	202	8¢	$15	0x2fd4ce…
02-28 20:01:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,667	0¢	$15	0xf109bb…
02-28 20:01:21	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$6	0xf83b05…
02-28 20:01:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc9a3d5…
02-28 20:00:41	will khamenei leave iran by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xeace11…
02-28 20:00:39	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	SELL	458	1¢	$5	0x816af3…
02-28 15:49:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xb69134…
02-28 15:16:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	70¢	$211	0x6171d2…
02-28 15:11:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x3033f1…
02-28 15:10:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x047ea5…
02-28 15:09:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x853754…
02-28 15:07:55	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x196ca7…
02-28 15:07:53	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x420b64…
02-28 15:07:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x69366e…
02-28 13:40:55	will khamenei leave iran by december 31	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0xcc6efb…
02-28 10:35:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x2c8389…
02-28 10:33:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x48bbe9…
02-28 10:33:25	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x1f54e5…
02-28 10:32:23	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xefbb59…
02-19 06:53:50	will khamenei leave iran by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xe9c307…
02-19 01:56:48	open quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 neg0pt11	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x911448…
02-19 01:52:24	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xeb68f6…
02-19 01:52:02	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbd7412…
02-19 01:51:32	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfdff1e…
02-19 01:49:54	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x6b5d59…
02-18 22:08:52	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x121ce6…
02-18 22:04:28	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7d2bea…
02-18 21:42:48	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xc8c8ca…
02-18 21:06:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x129e99…
02-18 21:05:06	dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x689b9f…
02-18 20:06:40	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xed39c4…
02-18 18:42:44	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4f151e…
02-18 17:57:44	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xa76027…
02-18 17:53:12	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x30eab0…
02-18 17:50:20	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x30b653…
02-18 17:22:16	dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x07eced…
02-18 16:06:12	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x4e0947…
02-18 15:54:40	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xd825c7…
02-18 15:02:30	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd59c0a…
02-18 13:00:32	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x85680c…
02-18 12:49:06	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6e3b26…
02-18 11:53:40	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x304d85…
02-18 08:09:58	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x2f1664…
02-18 07:40:52	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x29fab4…
02-18 07:40:40	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xabf6c7…
02-18 06:28:56	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb9d397…
02-18 05:34:22	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x484dd7…
02-18 05:08:54	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xf15dd4…
02-18 05:08:20	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt69	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x6d0cb7…
02-18 04:48:58	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x9eaf94…
02-18 03:48:38	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	No	BUY	112	15¢	$17	0xcc3b1a…
02-18 03:47:38	grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xe29d28…
02-18 02:42:25	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xa58d7a…
02-18 02:40:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbe69e3…
02-18 02:37:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x81b5bc…
02-18 02:37:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe09104…
02-18 02:34:09	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe24803…
02-18 02:33:15	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x854d9d…
02-18 02:31:13	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1a2c9b…
02-18 02:29:55	wing quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt84	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x114dfc…
02-18 02:21:37	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	No	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0xe9be62…
02-18 02:18:15	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x4a1c0b…
02-18 02:15:09	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb5d878…
02-18 02:09:39	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xebed72…
02-18 02:02:35	bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 48pt5	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x88bf85…
02-18 01:11:47	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x44cf32…
02-18 01:08:11	adi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt3	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8a981d…
02-18 01:07:21	grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x73a51e…
02-18 01:01:41	wing quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt84	No	BUY	32	14¢	$5	0x9c6a78…
02-16 04:13:55	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x469d1b…
02-16 04:13:37	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xf37528…
02-16 04:13:19	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1cd858…
02-16 04:13:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x87a765…