Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

547

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-06

last 11-08 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

80% 12% -$1,195

Politics

12% 8% -$224

Tech

5% 14% -$91

Crypto

2% 11% -$20

Sports

1% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

1% 14% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?	No	+25	$1	4¢	$1	$0	11-05 06:38
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	+2	$1	6¢	$0	$0	10-31 09:57
Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in?	Yes	+0	$0	15¢	$0	$0	11-05 13:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?	26	$259	228	228	+0	No	-$21	08-11 14:48
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	5	$163	172	172	+0	open	—	10-20 16:21
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$119	86	86	+0	No	-$7	09-30 15:01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	9	$119	77	77	+0	Yes	-$16	08-10 19:33
Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	4	$103	101	101	+0	open	—	08-14 00:51
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?	6	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-23 09:07
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	2	$97	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-30 04:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$96	56	56	+0	No	-$2	09-18 14:44
Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?	2	$95	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:23
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	4	$94	76	76	+0	Yes	-$2	08-25 20:33
Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	2	$94	57	57	+0	Yes	-$4	09-27 11:02
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	2	$90	74	74	+0	open	—	10-05 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 7?	2	$90	81	81	+0	No	-$9	10-05 13:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 11?	8	$87	143	143	+0	Yes	-$11	08-11 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 11?	4	$83	71	71	+0	No	-$5	08-11 05:51
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B?	2	$82	77	77	+0	Yes	-$12	10-11 00:07
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	4	$82	65	65	+0	Yes	-$8	08-11 19:45
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	2	$79	102	102	+0	Yes	-$19	09-29 19:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	2	$79	58	58	+0	No	-$20	09-17 19:00
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	2	$74	59	59	+0	Yes	-$6	09-26 03:47
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	4	$74	96	96	+0	No	-$17	08-21 08:44
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	4	$74	72	72	+0	Yes	-$9	08-13 09:49
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	5	$72	76	76	+0	Yes	-$2	08-11 15:43
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?	2	$71	38	38	+0	Yes	+$1	08-24 00:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	4	$71	83	83	+0	Yes	-$14	08-15 00:07
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$71	91	91	+0	Yes	-$13	10-05 21:19
ssi public model released by september 30 2026 20260810094604190	6	$70	63	63	+0	No	-$1	08-11 14:48
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?	3	$70	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 18:16
will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	4	$70	72	72	+0	Yes	-$5	08-09 04:54
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 in September?	2	$69	60	60	+0	Yes	-$29	09-18 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:49:18	Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x2b20e5…
11-08 03:48:43	Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x84f6f2…
11-07 19:47:25	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x0ab46d…
11-07 19:47:10	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x025604…
11-07 19:41:37	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xb0ffd2…
11-07 19:36:46	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc6cc0f…
11-07 17:18:33	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x441eb6…
11-07 15:18:40	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x3c4afd…
11-07 15:18:09	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xfffd87…
11-07 15:18:09	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf84619…
11-07 12:28:42	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?	No	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x34d605…
11-07 12:25:21	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x141e81…
11-05 22:13:01	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x22bada…
11-05 22:12:13	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xefa471…
11-05 21:54:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9?	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x4d3b13…
11-05 21:24:19	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9?	No	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xc86565…
11-05 21:23:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9?	Yes	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x28d567…
11-05 21:23:30	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x95e521…
11-05 13:26:16	Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x686e1a…
11-05 13:18:34	Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x8003b0…
11-05 12:34:04	Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x98d59c…
11-05 12:34:00	Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbfa353…
11-05 11:14:21	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xa8401e…
11-05 11:13:33	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0xa8d80d…
11-05 11:03:21	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x3ae1c6…
11-05 11:02:52	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x75c3b3…
11-05 08:30:48	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xd91eb7…
11-05 07:30:39	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x9dea75…
11-05 07:30:36	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x8fd806…
11-05 07:30:34	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x14c0cc…
11-05 06:52:01	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xce9a57…
11-05 06:52:01	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x370b17…
11-05 06:52:01	Will Thailand come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x33b39b…
11-05 06:38:55	Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x7bf8ee…
11-04 23:36:22	Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xe4e814…
11-04 23:35:36	Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xe73ae6…
11-04 23:34:48	Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd3f42d…
11-04 23:34:48	Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xb18638…
11-04 21:33:48	Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xa5d244…
11-04 16:09:15	Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x6b92fd…
11-04 16:09:06	Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x04ea73…
11-04 14:05:30	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	No	SELL	24	36¢	$8	0xd25326…
11-04 14:05:18	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x1d59e3…
11-04 13:33:40	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x934544…
11-04 13:33:31	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf1ef32…
11-04 13:13:06	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x487075…
11-04 13:12:36	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xa0c99d…
11-04 13:10:49	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xa80433…
11-04 12:48:28	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xbb12eb…
11-04 12:39:13	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xea4065…
11-04 12:39:13	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x8a6ab7…
11-04 12:39:13	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x0e4764…
11-04 11:36:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xdd4fe0…
11-04 11:34:16	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x83cb70…
11-04 10:01:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xac168d…
11-04 10:00:09	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x352c1a…
11-04 09:36:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x9ac54c…
11-04 09:35:57	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x2b6746…
11-04 08:35:12	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf4e4a1…
11-04 08:03:54	will washington nationals advance to the world series in the 2027 mlb playoffs	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x44616b…
11-04 08:03:22	will washington nationals advance to the world series in the 2027 mlb playoffs	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7c60ce…
11-03 23:32:58	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xc4ed15…
11-03 19:33:37	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x750b9a…
11-03 19:27:15	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x9135eb…
11-03 17:05:13	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x5fb9da…
11-03 15:29:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xf3ca3b…
11-03 15:22:22	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1a5837…
11-03 14:19:24	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x8e93fc…
11-03 14:12:52	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf61dcf…
11-03 14:12:42	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x3c69e0…
11-03 14:12:06	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4bcaf4…
11-03 14:12:04	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x9210ac…
11-03 12:17:12	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x670aef…
11-03 12:17:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2773b6…
11-03 11:32:22	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf0a9da…
11-03 11:32:15	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x90f5f2…
11-03 11:20:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8227d1…
11-03 11:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x35fe0c…
11-03 10:35:27	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xddedbd…
11-03 09:39:55	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xd68fa9…
11-03 09:38:48	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x770a0c…
11-03 09:38:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x12364d…
11-03 06:00:07	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x9f2f94…
11-03 05:59:52	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x29ba98…
11-03 04:55:58	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x5160e3…
11-03 04:55:33	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xce77d7…
11-03 02:10:28	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb1f5cf…
11-03 01:20:52	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xf75e0d…
11-03 00:53:04	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5be230…
11-03 00:04:16	Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xabfeaf…
11-03 00:03:54	Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x1715fd…
11-02 23:36:36	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x4c12d3…
11-02 22:25:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xdb4fdd…
11-02 22:16:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x6ffce0…
11-02 22:03:58	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xc60008…
11-02 21:54:45	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x738898…
11-02 18:49:06	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbb5be6…
11-02 18:49:06	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x713f92…
11-02 18:19:51	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x5d27dc…
11-02 18:13:54	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe13a5f…