Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$790

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$264

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-30 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 30% -$408

Sports

10% 50% +$1,489

Other

4% 0% -$210

Politics

2% 0% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-300	-$258	88¢	$-264	-$6	10-30 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	1,817	1,817	+0	No	-$316	03-11 14:18
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	19	$1.2K	5,600	5,600	+0	Yes	+$198	03-23 05:52
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$750	500	500	+0	No	+$180	03-27 13:48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$305	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$1,695	06-22 19:48
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$258	0	300	-300	open	—	10-30 00:03
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$206	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$206	06-14 15:37
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	6	$205	565	130	+435	Yes	-$191	03-12 02:58
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$160	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$160	06-30 03:12
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$126	600	600	+0	No	-$54	03-12 05:14
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	11	$120	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$120	02-10 17:11
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$90	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$90	03-13 01:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$87	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$81	03-02 08:57
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$80	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$80	02-11 17:09
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$45	0	2,000	-2,000	Yes	+$45	06-14 21:56
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$12	33	0	+33	Yes	-$12	03-19 11:55
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$11	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$11	03-27 13:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$6	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$6	01-31 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:03:42	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0xa147a4…
06-30 03:12:01	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x80a379…
06-30 02:09:31	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xbb39ba…
06-22 19:48:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$138	0xef9215…
06-14 21:56:22	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,000	2¢	$45	0x324887…
06-14 15:37:09	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$102	0x045eca…
06-14 15:24:43	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$104	0xb7af05…
06-14 07:36:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$167	0x08c287…
03-27 13:49:37	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x0dec79…
03-27 13:48:57	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xf19257…
03-27 13:48:55	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xe9832f…
03-27 13:48:49	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	842	1¢	$9	0x005a41…
03-27 13:48:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x7e6e6f…
03-23 05:52:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,256	14¢	$309	0xbda054…
03-22 15:59:53	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x2f7043…
03-22 15:59:29	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	884	11¢	$100	0xc0f268…
03-22 15:56:35	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	218	11¢	$25	0xbc32c5…
03-22 15:52:11	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	460	11¢	$52	0x7a5142…
03-22 15:40:05	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,679	11¢	$190	0x79af90…
03-22 09:56:57	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	13¢	$7	0x733f76…
03-19 11:55:49	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	38¢	$12	0xd2d570…
03-17 05:46:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x98c2d4…
03-16 12:24:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x7d243d…
03-16 10:40:51	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe0474f…
03-16 09:52:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	210	57¢	$120	0xcf7a53…
03-16 09:32:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	233	57¢	$133	0x8729ea…
03-16 09:27:05	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa91931…
03-16 09:26:05	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc1f1b0…
03-13 01:06:35	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,858	3¢	$86	0x20b844…
03-12 05:14:27	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	6¢	$36	0x365e0d…
03-12 03:49:05	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4fd4f9…
03-12 03:44:37	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x09ccf0…
03-12 03:43:07	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf89297…
03-12 03:39:51	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x724b45…
03-12 03:35:19	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa23d29…
03-12 03:28:17	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xca3dd9…
03-12 03:26:15	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x214041…
03-12 03:23:33	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x6669fb…
03-12 03:23:33	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x416ecf…
03-12 03:20:13	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4b3a9e…
03-12 03:00:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0xba5265…
03-12 02:59:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2649b1…
03-12 02:58:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	333	10¢	$33	0xe9f065…
03-12 02:58:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0xedde5d…
03-12 02:57:37	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x470d40…
03-12 02:56:35	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	556	10¢	$56	0xa2650b…
03-12 02:53:25	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x67f9fd…
03-12 02:53:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x36adde…
03-12 02:52:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x397508…
03-12 02:51:53	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,833	10¢	$183	0x961a77…
03-11 20:37:41	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	597	15¢	$90	0x492884…
03-11 14:36:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x96233f…
03-11 14:36:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa3d947…
03-11 14:18:01	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,817	34¢	$610	0x034971…
03-11 13:15:57	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	315	35¢	$110	0xc114d1…
03-11 13:15:57	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	127	35¢	$44	0x119e97…
03-11 11:58:45	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0x06c341…
03-11 11:55:41	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0xed2b3b…
03-06 02:13:39	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0xefb6e3…
03-02 10:17:57	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xb9652c…
03-02 10:17:53	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	588	15¢	$88	0x11a1cd…
03-02 09:55:23	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,317	54¢	$711	0xc02470…
03-02 08:57:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x6c4309…
03-01 00:22:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,000	3¢	$84	0x19b15b…
02-11 17:09:53	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0x8b101e…
02-11 14:57:15	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	898	8¢	$72	0x2964cc…
02-10 17:11:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	198	6¢	$12	0xeadfb2…
02-10 16:33:31	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x937afb…
02-10 16:25:31	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x41a3d2…
02-10 14:55:43	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x32df9f…
02-10 13:22:33	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x5aa7b6…
02-10 12:35:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x505b4d…
02-10 11:30:39	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x7a7be8…
02-10 10:22:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x7f667e…
02-10 05:39:17	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xc4bdc6…
02-10 04:52:27	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x302091…
02-10 02:58:45	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xaa8670…
01-31 12:20:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0xe7a6cc…