Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

127

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-20

last 11-06 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

84% 56% +$4

Politics

15% 56% +$4

Tech

2% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No		+2	$1	90¢	$2	+$1	11-04 05:30
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No		+4	$1	18¢	$1	$0	11-06 00:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on october 16 2026	2	$2	5	+5	Down	+$1	10-16 05:02
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-12 02:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-07 04:50
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-20 04:11
will googl dip to 345 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-14 21:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 16:00
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 01:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:54
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 08:33
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 07:49
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:10
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 15:57
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-23 23:57
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-27 12:11
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	11-01 19:37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 16:28
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-16 15:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-02 03:48
will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-26 18:38
Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 07:57
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 09:45
will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-30 17:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	10-02 09:55
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:14
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-24 16:10
Trump renames AI by September 30?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-25 04:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-08 04:15
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-15 00:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-15 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 00:31:40	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd957ae…
11-05 13:19:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd398a4…
11-05 02:54:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1d2f4e…
11-04 05:30:34	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f2928…
11-03 18:19:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xda25f2…
11-03 07:49:37	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7f434b…
11-02 19:49:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x093d26…
11-02 11:48:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x32ba61…
11-02 03:48:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa36dfc…
11-01 19:37:52	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf8ed14…
10-27 12:11:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x810f79…
10-27 03:32:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3655f9…
10-25 04:00:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd1aad6…
10-24 16:10:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31ec0c…
10-22 23:19:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa8d1f6…
10-22 13:18:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbf8079…
10-20 04:11:48	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2d6b6…
10-19 20:11:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x01720b…
10-19 12:05:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb02bd…
10-19 04:05:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdda95b…
10-18 20:04:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcd3946…
10-18 12:00:35	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x152288…
10-18 01:56:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28ce2f…
10-18 01:04:03	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4de440…
10-17 16:00:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc7b2bb…
10-16 13:03:25	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf8670e…
10-16 05:02:19	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbbaf70…
10-16 01:52:07	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x83fc5b…
10-15 16:42:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x059247…
10-15 08:33:40	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd1b2c2…
10-15 00:29:32	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa6a650…
10-14 15:36:57	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x84089d…
10-14 07:34:19	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa88d82…
10-13 22:50:01	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd1f72e…
10-12 02:30:41	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x12edb6…
10-11 18:26:04	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf5d2a0…
10-11 09:45:39	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcd59ac…
10-10 21:13:15	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6f07aa…
10-10 12:48:45	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5c57ea…
10-09 12:59:22	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5fc6f4…
10-09 04:44:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1156c3…
10-08 20:25:26	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3c4ff…
10-08 04:15:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x293a1d…
10-07 04:50:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4383b0…
10-06 20:44:48	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c861b…
10-06 12:27:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3f4d0b…
10-06 04:27:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x94822b…
10-05 17:57:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb6f217…
10-05 00:39:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1b60a4…
10-02 09:55:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb978d5…
10-02 01:36:53	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x846538…
10-01 11:49:06	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x282476…
10-01 03:47:41	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x121c28…
09-30 17:21:30	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x694221…
09-29 19:55:15	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x806818…
09-28 10:49:41	will meta reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc074e3…
09-28 10:49:33	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x370061…
09-28 00:59:11	will aapl dip to 336 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb1e73a…
09-27 16:44:59	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd28581…
09-27 05:58:41	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x293fbd…
09-26 18:38:05	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb2743b…
09-26 07:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8fe964…
09-25 04:47:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x39e71d…
09-24 15:57:41	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6203f8…
09-24 07:57:09	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb097be…
09-23 23:57:02	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec982c…
09-23 15:56:50	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x97dfd7…
09-23 07:53:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x768517…
09-22 23:45:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x841fc7…
09-22 14:51:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xad48f3…
09-22 06:39:36	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1cbe14…
09-21 22:14:16	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8ea2a0…
09-21 14:13:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa0059a…
09-21 06:07:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x05cb5f…
09-20 22:01:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe67c09…
09-19 06:41:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xad0941…
09-18 18:31:46	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5dfa90…
09-17 19:55:27	will hood reach 112 50 by september 14 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8298b8…
09-17 11:53:42	will meta dip to 670 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1a0261…
09-16 23:46:28	will coin reach 172 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa4ff31…
09-16 15:35:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec64bf…
09-16 06:59:55	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd58f01…
09-15 22:59:40	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb9a218…
09-15 13:26:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d8501…
09-15 05:11:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7d63ec…
09-14 21:11:34	will googl dip to 345 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x751f78…
09-14 13:09:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x51ddae…
09-14 05:08:22	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe02241…
09-13 21:07:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbb0e70…
09-11 04:30:15	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdfc519…
09-10 18:10:28	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfc7050…
09-10 09:42:22	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x29fa21…
09-10 00:30:58	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xacfef4…
09-09 16:28:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbbf388…
09-09 08:24:04	wti closes above 93 on september 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbb97ac…
09-08 07:17:55	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xba4008…
09-04 00:16:31	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x45a1db…
09-03 12:29:04	spy up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb52dd3…
09-02 12:44:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb7262f…
09-02 00:23:31	will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb9977b…