Amusing-Inspection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$277

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved (90d)

2,949

Trades (90d)

5,966

19,896 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$30.4K

$157.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% -$546

Other

0% 45% -$15

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 563 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	21	$808	529	525	+4	Up	-$9	02-04 19:42
solana up or down january 12 12am et	22	$502	520	520	+0	Up	-$132	01-12 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:30 UTC	26	$454	406	398	+8	Down	-$27	02-03 05:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 07:30 UTC	24	$439	395	387	+8	Up	-$66	01-11 07:44
solana up or down january 11 8pm et	18	$415	375	375	+0	Down	-$41	01-12 01:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:15 UTC	16	$394	360	353	+7	Down	-$27	02-02 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:45 UTC	17	$393	316	323	-7	Up	+$11	02-03 00:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:30 UTC	16	$388	360	353	+7	Up	-$25	02-02 07:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:45 UTC	16	$387	360	353	+7	Down	-$34	02-02 07:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 06:30 UTC	22	$377	350	343	+7	Up	-$62	01-11 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	10	$370	347	340	+7	Down	-$42	02-04 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:45 UTC	16	$328	284	278	+6	Down	-$1	02-03 17:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:45 UTC	14	$325	280	276	+4	Up	-$67	01-27 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	10	$322	312	306	+6	Down	-$41	02-04 01:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	14	$318	280	275	+5	Up	-$6	01-30 18:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 11:30 UTC	14	$306	280	274	+6	Down	-$48	01-13 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:00 UTC	16	$303	210	210	+0	Down	+$27	01-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 11:15 UTC	14	$303	280	274	+6	Down	-$38	01-13 11:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 21:45 UTC	18	$293	255	250	+5	Down	-$39	01-10 21:59
solana up or down january 12 4am et	14	$284	250	250	+0	Down	-$27	01-12 09:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 07:30 UTC	14	$283	250	245	+5	Up	-$61	01-17 07:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	14	$282	280	274	+6	Up	-$63	01-30 18:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:15 UTC	14	$278	250	246	+4	Up	-$17	01-07 19:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 13:15 UTC	14	$275	250	245	+5	Up	-$39	01-12 13:29
ethereum up or down january 12 12am et	14	$274	250	250	+0	Down	-$29	01-12 05:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 23:30 UTC	14	$270	250	245	+5	Up	-$27	01-09 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:30 UTC	12	$256	200	196	+4	Down	-$16	02-03 18:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 21:45 UTC	12	$255	230	236	-6	Down	-$4	01-07 22:00
xrp up or down january 12 8am et	14	$254	250	250	+0	Up	-$60	01-12 13:48
solana up or down january 12 7am et	14	$250	250	250	+0	Down	-$55	01-12 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb414b7…
11-04 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x302d83…
11-04 19:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x15acc0…
11-02 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xaa0fd4…
11-02 22:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa8a17…
11-02 22:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x57ba56…
11-02 22:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x257dc4…
11-02 22:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x41e102…
11-02 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdfb087…
11-02 22:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9a4fc4…
11-02 22:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3e2f6e…
11-02 22:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa41389…
11-02 22:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x615f12…
11-02 21:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf183b…
11-02 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc6e6cd…
11-02 21:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89e103…
11-02 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8fae2f…
11-02 21:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf21059…
11-02 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2259fc…
11-02 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2e9a12…
11-02 21:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe1615d…
11-02 20:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaf9707…
11-02 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0d1266…
11-02 20:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5798a…
11-02 20:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1de19…
11-02 20:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd743bc…
11-02 20:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a0e27…
11-02 20:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x51a945…
11-02 20:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7e2a2f…
11-02 19:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9ab66b…
11-02 19:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x66f09d…
11-02 19:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7dbe28…
11-02 19:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf1306b…
11-02 19:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd0b61d…
11-02 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc5fef9…
11-02 19:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x27bdeb…
11-02 19:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1ff0aa…
11-02 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe5f5a0…
11-02 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9b9844…
11-02 18:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1b1230…
11-02 18:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x801087…
11-02 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7fa168…
11-02 18:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x41884e…
11-02 18:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb8289c…
11-02 18:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfab2d3…
11-02 18:10:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x809f13…
11-01 22:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7ee1ac…
11-01 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd0f93…
11-01 22:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd47280…
11-01 22:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xbbfee1…
11-01 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6f0fde…
11-01 21:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0bd541…
11-01 21:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe7bac2…
11-01 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x14cebb…
11-01 21:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xee38af…
11-01 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc9f3a5…
11-01 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xcac7b4…
11-01 21:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2c9f13…
11-01 21:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfa301e…
11-01 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x262b44…
11-01 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7dd1c5…
11-01 20:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x75552f…
11-01 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x96b54a…
11-01 20:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfa2a9d…
11-01 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe9b5aa…
11-01 20:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd2a3de…
11-01 20:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x50695d…
11-01 19:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x7c3930…
11-01 19:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x30dbb4…
11-01 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xce333f…
11-01 19:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x604c66…
11-01 19:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa3c8df…
11-01 19:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2be53e…
11-01 19:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x867ebe…
11-01 19:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x21921a…
11-01 19:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe4f553…
11-01 19:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x88d45d…
11-01 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x946ecf…
11-01 18:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a3d91…
11-01 18:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5f7401…
11-01 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x840557…
11-01 18:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0195a8…
11-01 18:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xed5b65…
11-01 18:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x71d27a…
11-01 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd3fde2…
11-01 18:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc34110…
11-01 17:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5d9970…
11-01 17:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x182d8e…
11-01 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdbe98a…
11-01 17:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7f4329…
11-01 17:25:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3444ea…
11-01 17:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1ed121…
11-01 17:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd0c7e1…
11-01 17:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3b33dd…
11-01 16:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xaca313…
11-01 16:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x56cb6d…
11-01 16:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x68e438…
11-01 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaed745…
11-01 16:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf614f5…
11-01 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4b2ed…