Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$472

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

275

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-29

last 10-28 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

62% 24% -$451

Politics

28% 40% +$5

Tech

8% 9% -$17

Sports

2% 0% -$7

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$397	423	423	+0	Yes	-$1	10-02 00:57
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$200	200	200	+0	No	-$6	10-02 00:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	09-19 07:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	4	$187	200	200	+0	open	—	09-17 21:37
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	8	$170	155	155	+0	open	—	09-19 14:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	4	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	09-18 06:52
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	09-19 19:00
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	9	$155	160	160	+0	open	—	10-03 23:07
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	4	$154	100	100	+0	No	-$2	09-16 07:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	6	$152	143	143	+0	open	—	09-18 21:58
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	4	$149	113	113	+0	open	—	10-05 04:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	10-03 06:51
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	4	$143	90	90	+0	open	—	09-15 15:23
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	8	$142	155	155	+0	open	—	09-11 18:20
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	6	$140	110	110	+0	open	—	10-06 03:19
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	4	$138	85	85	+0	open	—	09-17 15:24
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?	2	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	10-03 02:27
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	5	$129	150	150	+0	open	—	10-06 23:13
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	6	$128	120	120	+0	open	—	09-28 22:07
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	6	$126	128	128	+0	Yes	$0	09-21 18:40
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	7	$123	150	150	+0	Yes	-$5	10-04 03:03
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	2	$119	135	135	+0	open	—	09-19 00:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	6	$118	164	164	+0	No	$0	10-03 00:17
Will Taylor Brown come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	4	$106	70	70	+0	No	-$7	09-24 22:59
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	7	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	-$34	09-06 05:37
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	4	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	09-05 09:22
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	2	$98	60	60	+0	No	+$0	09-16 12:40
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$94	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	09-27 06:15
israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	2	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$4	09-29 21:08
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	3	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	10-02 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:14:45	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcbd7a1…
10-28 01:13:08	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc7a1ae…
10-28 01:10:45	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbeafc5…
10-28 01:05:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x62cbdd…
10-27 20:55:21	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f0d91…
10-27 20:54:30	Will Trump say "Google" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37b14b…
10-27 20:54:15	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x28787f…
10-27 20:51:42	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x866a40…
10-27 20:03:36	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1c0c7c…
10-27 20:03:35	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd49d06…
10-27 20:01:35	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe9c29d…
10-27 20:00:45	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdb26d0…
10-27 20:00:44	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf1f5b1…
10-27 20:00:42	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7fcf14…
10-27 20:00:41	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6f44e9…
10-27 20:00:39	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x18a45d…
10-27 20:00:38	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4418af…
10-27 17:38:09	Will Trump say "Google" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa0c4ac…
10-27 17:38:09	Will Trump say "Google" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x45ddd6…
10-27 16:05:27	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf01d42…
10-27 16:05:27	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3906ad…
10-27 16:00:32	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x90daa2…
10-27 16:00:32	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0aa82f…
10-27 16:00:29	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9597c4…
10-27 16:00:29	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x15f2c3…
10-27 16:00:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf56c86…
10-27 16:00:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0e2969…
10-27 16:00:23	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbcf3ee…
10-27 16:00:23	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5f6581…
10-27 00:35:38	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x09d9b2…
10-27 00:35:00	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6fd605…
10-27 00:34:48	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x95b02c…
10-27 00:34:45	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd18783…
10-27 00:34:30	Will Trump say "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd4c071…
10-27 00:33:57	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35c75f…
10-27 00:33:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbdd7ff…
10-27 00:28:36	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1f07f6…
10-26 23:50:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x201eb1…
10-26 21:58:48	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9b25d9…
10-26 21:58:47	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf87739…
10-26 21:22:27	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x10cb6e…
10-26 21:22:26	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x671641…
10-26 21:01:12	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa9f4f4…
10-26 21:01:11	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9c96d3…
10-26 20:41:57	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ac8e3…
10-26 20:41:57	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0f1f7b…
10-26 20:18:42	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xec22e4…
10-26 20:09:36	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x03860f…
10-26 20:07:39	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb29631…
10-26 20:06:35	Will Trump say "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfb2b12…
10-26 20:06:35	Will Trump say "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x224c16…
10-26 20:04:33	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xee4502…
10-26 20:04:33	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x67bd47…
10-26 20:00:33	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x89e323…
10-26 20:00:32	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x193c7d…
10-25 21:49:17	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x798849…
10-25 21:35:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd8a342…
10-25 21:16:50	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x73e6a2…
10-25 17:06:36	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x751171…
10-25 17:06:35	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8958da…
10-25 16:41:26	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4f19c8…
10-25 16:41:24	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x06289c…
10-25 16:06:05	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc8d9b5…
10-25 16:06:03	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3c3d3c…
10-25 16:06:02	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbf9c85…
10-25 16:06:00	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d0ee5…
10-25 16:01:06	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3a87f7…
10-25 16:01:05	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x626bc0…
10-25 16:01:02	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8ee623…
10-25 16:01:02	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x34b5c5…
10-25 16:00:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd18bc9…
10-25 16:00:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2de819…
10-25 00:56:50	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ac75c…
10-25 00:56:29	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf5d476…
10-25 00:55:24	Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3d8870…
10-25 00:55:17	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3851b9…
10-25 00:55:08	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb9cc68…
10-25 00:54:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x599ca3…
10-24 22:04:00	Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x05fd28…
10-24 20:37:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe1c8d3…
10-24 20:20:00	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc0e703…
10-24 20:01:02	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3d4376…
10-24 20:01:00	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x55360f…
10-24 20:00:59	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe1885f…
10-24 20:00:57	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x24056e…
10-24 20:00:56	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x455d04…
10-24 20:00:53	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xab711d…
10-24 20:00:51	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd567bd…
10-24 20:00:48	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x180305…
10-24 20:00:45	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x100cbe…
10-23 22:24:57	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x973d6c…
10-23 21:56:48	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xecf1c2…
10-23 21:56:42	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd2dd70…
10-23 21:56:38	Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49b8de…
10-23 21:55:51	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8f3201…
10-23 21:55:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd29058…
10-23 20:51:14	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9efbd9…
10-23 20:41:41	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9dd659…
10-23 20:32:30	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf7db9c…
10-23 18:39:57	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xdcba71…