Tedious-Coast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

450

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$9.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$71

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-25 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

55% 48% -$233

Politics

31% 43% +$84

Sports

13% 49% +$9

Crypto

1% 47% -$20

Tech

0% 50% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes		+100	$35	62¢	$62	+$28	10-05 10:19
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes		+369	$72	2¢	$8	-$64	10-05 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	4	$1.6K	3,066	3,066	+0	No	+$169	06-08 22:04
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	4	$745	618	618	+0	Yes	+$97	06-08 01:06
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$310	303	303	+0	Yes	-$158	06-22 15:26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	3	$233	209	209	+0	Yes	+$147	07-15 20:54
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	2	$219	195	195	+0	No	+$137	07-07 17:55
will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	2	$172	101	101	+0	Yes	+$26	07-12 03:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	2	$171	100	100	+0	No	+$25	06-18 12:40
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$168	101	101	+0	Yes	+$34	07-07 19:34
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$137	102	102	+0	Yes	+$52	06-23 01:25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$131	418	418	+0	No	-$89	06-10 01:04
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$94	100	0	+100	Yes	+$6	06-09 22:19
mlb phi tor 2026 06 10	1	$90	100	0	+100	Philadelphia Phillies	+$10	06-11 00:12
wnba atl gsv 2026 06 24	1	$88	100	0	+100	Golden State Valkyries	+$12	06-25 03:06
mlb min tex 2026 06 15	1	$87	100	0	+100	Minnesota Twins	+$13	06-16 01:57
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	4	$87	1,038	669	+369	open	—	10-05 13:11
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5	1	$84	100	0	+100	Over	+$16	06-14 15:04
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	1	$78	101	0	+101	Yes	+$23	08-09 13:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$76	103	103	+0	open	—	08-22 19:21
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$71	51	51	+0	No	+$24	07-05 21:42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?	1	$66	102	0	+102	No	-$66	08-09 13:38
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	2	$65	40	40	+0	Under	+$6	06-26 00:54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	1	$63	102	0	+102	No	-$63	10-25 17:47
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1	$61	102	0	+102	Aurora Gaming	-$61	10-11 12:07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$59	102	0	+102	Aurora Gaming	+$43	10-25 12:48
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	2	$54	102	35	+67	No	-$1	07-06 20:52
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	1	$54	102	0	+102	Under	-$54	10-25 17:47
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$54	51	51	+0	No	+$40	07-01 21:53
world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	3	$51	41	41	+0	Yes	+$30	06-28 03:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$50	206	0	+206	No	-$50	07-30 22:20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1	$49	104	0	+104	OG	-$49	10-25 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:47:59	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x136789…
10-25 17:47:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	102	62¢	$63	0x0a08eb…
10-25 14:24:06	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0x64b570…
10-25 12:48:17	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	102	58¢	$59	0x3c933b…
10-25 12:42:36	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x0effa0…
10-25 12:32:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb70551…
10-24 18:43:06	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x4ddb55…
10-24 11:32:59	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xab02b2…
10-24 11:29:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x3a7e5b…
10-24 11:24:38	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x9d28f9…
10-20 19:38:17	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	51	42¢	$22	0xbf2acf…
10-20 17:31:18	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x2121fb…
10-20 03:40:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	103	41¢	$42	0xd5e6d5…
10-18 18:11:12	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xa57faf…
10-18 14:48:54	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x47e387…
10-17 17:11:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0xf78357…
10-17 13:41:56	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x6af07e…
10-14 18:15:58	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0xc41689…
10-14 18:13:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xa8c2b3…
10-14 18:12:13	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x5a53a4…
10-13 18:30:49	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0x47e31d…
10-13 18:28:54	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x2a73b3…
10-11 20:24:03	Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x586f6b…
10-11 18:31:37	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x468a81…
10-11 18:29:22	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x1d3656…
10-11 15:05:24	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	104	28¢	$29	0xa4a862…
10-11 12:07:00	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	102	60¢	$61	0x0e77f7…
10-10 20:08:18	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	54	40¢	$22	0x70d51b…
10-10 17:40:33	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x19f5b3…
10-10 15:02:31	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xfd048a…
10-10 13:43:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x376efb…
10-10 13:42:24	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xb5ff14…
10-10 13:38:48	Will Watford FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x7f5db9…
10-10 13:38:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x64bb09…
10-10 13:37:45	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x782f93…
10-06 13:32:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x739cf2…
10-05 13:11:08	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	369	4¢	$15	0x834191…
10-05 10:19:25	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x298925…
10-05 10:14:52	cs2 lgc 1win 2026 10 05	Legacy	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xa5e968…
10-04 21:33:07	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	669	1¢	$8	0xb0db32…
10-03 21:10:31	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	461	4¢	$20	0x7333f2…
09-08 20:01:22	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0x601ec3…
09-08 18:12:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x0769dc…
09-06 17:23:58	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	102	17¢	$17	0x7eeb86…
08-22 19:21:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	103	37¢	$38	0xa729e7…
08-09 13:38:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0x9ea586…
08-09 13:32:31	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	101	77¢	$78	0x182955…
08-02 12:06:14	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x37e62c…
07-30 22:20:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	206	24¢	$50	0xccd10d…
07-26 12:37:13	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26 map handicap home 1pt5	TheMongolz	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xc0fa2f…
07-26 12:10:31	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xd0c785…
07-25 12:04:24	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	207	22¢	$45	0x69da6b…
07-23 01:50:36	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xa7188e…
07-19 20:20:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x814cbe…
07-19 18:58:12	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	263	1¢	$2	0xfbcb59…
07-15 20:54:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	209	91¢	$190	0x19b7e5…
07-15 20:26:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x98fbd9…
07-15 19:00:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	104	31¢	$33	0x0ee9cf…
07-15 03:43:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0x7c71ae…
07-12 03:02:23	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	Yes	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0xad1852…
07-12 01:10:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	52	16¢	$8	0x3cb502…
07-12 00:19:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x3e840b…
07-11 21:15:49	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x027a5d…
07-10 19:07:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x5fd652…
07-09 19:12:59	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x5a56fd…
07-07 22:09:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe2b4ca…
07-07 19:45:49	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0xbbaf40…
07-07 19:34:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xbc489f…
07-07 17:55:38	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	195	91¢	$178	0x721dcc…
07-07 17:32:58	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	195	21¢	$41	0x6016ec…
07-07 00:10:40	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	99	43¢	$43	0x019e77…
07-06 20:52:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x6612ff…
07-06 17:17:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	102	27¢	$28	0x1b5d26…
07-06 03:50:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	81	66¢	$53	0x7fd361…
07-06 01:04:05	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0xc175b0…
07-05 21:42:17	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x337339…
07-05 19:40:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0xcbd92b…
07-04 22:45:37	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x6449cc…
07-04 21:27:05	Paraguay to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x10bd2b…
07-03 23:50:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x00953c…
07-02 21:53:56	Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xcd0e61…
07-02 00:25:46	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xaf3391…
07-01 22:09:23	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	SELL	154	0¢	$0	0x5acc10…
07-01 21:53:46	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$47	0xd375c0…
07-01 21:24:34	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0xc4491c…
07-01 00:01:41	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x978f4b…
06-30 21:44:17	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x546df1…
06-30 02:37:31	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6be5fa…
06-30 02:31:26	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x291b04…
06-30 00:46:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xc7dba5…
06-29 22:59:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x595c95…
06-29 21:36:02	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	51	27¢	$14	0x42a19a…
06-29 20:18:35	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x0ee029…
06-29 19:51:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x920c49…
06-29 17:04:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x0542ab…
06-28 03:42:53	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x3b2a1d…
06-28 03:08:22	Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	103	18¢	$19	0x17066d…
06-28 01:24:10	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xe68056…
06-27 11:52:40	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd1273d…
06-27 11:40:07	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x24179c…