Orderly-Shirtdress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.78K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

2,113

Trades

5,267

lifetime

Volume

$221.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-02 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 36% -$7,878

Other

10% 40% -$592

Sports

6% 42% -$266

Politics

1% 36% -$33

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$3.9K	7,576	7,576	+0	No	+$32	07-02 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	19	$1.9K	1,978	1,904	+74	Down	+$189	06-14 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 18:15 UTC	8	$1.7K	2,025	2,025	+0	Up	+$124	06-08 18:27
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$1.6K	58,113	58,113	+0	No	-$76	07-01 11:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 11:15 UTC	6	$1.5K	1,378	1,378	+0	Down	+$407	07-01 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 07:00 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,389	1,291	+97	Up	+$102	06-25 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,587	1,372	+215	Down	+$68	06-25 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	7	$1.3K	1,887	1,112	+775	Up	-$103	06-09 17:33
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$1.2K	6,053	6,062	-9	No	+$38	07-01 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$1.2K	1,769	876	+893	Down	-$323	06-01 11:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	16	$1.2K	1,372	1,372	+0	Down	+$211	06-06 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 16:15 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,604	794	+810	Down	-$223	06-29 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 12:00 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,472	1,072	+400	Down	+$99	06-23 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 12:30 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,340	1,138	+202	Down	+$221	06-23 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,168	834	+334	Down	-$3	06-29 16:09
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$1.1K	22,708	22,708	+0	No	-$25	07-02 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 22:45 UTC	16	$1.1K	1,439	1,422	+17	Down	+$145	03-27 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 18:30 UTC	7	$1.1K	1,435	881	+554	Down	-$51	06-19 18:38
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$1.0K	10,040	10,040	-0	No	-$8	06-29 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	8	$1.0K	1,242	1,107	+135	Up	+$113	06-12 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 06:45 UTC	6	$989	988	988	+0	Down	+$125	06-25 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 12:30 UTC	6	$977	1,468	1,018	+450	Up	+$145	06-21 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:30 UTC	7	$965	1,154	1,021	+132	Down	+$53	06-08 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 11:00 UTC	5	$963	1,128	971	+157	Up	+$262	07-01 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	5	$890	1,036	1,036	+0	Up	+$220	07-02 12:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 12:15 UTC	7	$878	1,062	879	+183	Down	+$10	06-23 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	10	$864	1,090	891	+199	Down	+$94	05-27 08:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 22:15 UTC	10	$842	1,077	1,063	+14	Up	+$83	03-27 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	6	$836	791	791	+0	Down	+$168	08-27 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 12:15 UTC	5	$827	1,192	1,012	+180	Down	+$19	07-02 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x796f9e…
10-06 17:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0x87e531…
10-06 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc31f8e…
10-06 17:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0x2b9565…
10-06 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x32284e…
10-06 17:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x6ca2fa…
10-06 17:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x83204c…
10-06 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa775a4…
10-06 07:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2e4fa8…
09-24 17:38:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xb916a1…
09-24 07:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x0e8c8b…
09-24 07:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x943271…
09-23 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x709a54…
09-23 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x40f72a…
09-23 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x3c559a…
09-23 13:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x828b3a…
09-23 12:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x10d1cf…
09-23 12:42:34	fif gib stp 2026 09 23 spread home 2pt5	Gibraltar	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd12011…
09-23 12:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0xc58d2c…
09-23 12:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x866949…
09-23 12:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0xfd2e29…
09-23 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0xfc78c2…
09-23 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe16d67…
09-16 15:40:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x77fc12…
09-03 11:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x086401…
09-01 11:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0xfd9259…
09-01 10:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0x312bf3…
09-01 10:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x9c4633…
09-01 10:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	80	77¢	$61	0xc1d9ce…
09-01 10:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	47¢	$37	0x268cdc…
09-01 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x9cb089…
09-01 10:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x39b034…
09-01 10:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xf6d14a…
09-01 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	70	19¢	$13	0x5348a2…
09-01 08:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xe8120f…
09-01 08:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	162	32¢	$52	0x85767f…
09-01 07:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	31¢	$47	0xc64216…
09-01 07:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	168	28¢	$47	0xcc073a…
09-01 07:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	137	66¢	$90	0x300717…
09-01 07:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	137	38¢	$52	0x58b330…
08-30 18:31:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xb91d33…
08-28 16:01:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0xfa89da…
08-28 16:01:03	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	76¢	$48	0xf0b951…
08-28 10:47:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0x1006a4…
08-28 10:46:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	194	28¢	$54	0x7f146b…
08-28 10:31:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xb4646a…
08-28 10:05:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	184	21¢	$38	0xec29a0…
08-28 10:05:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	98	50¢	$49	0xf9d493…
08-28 06:45:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	82	45¢	$37	0xf435e0…
08-28 06:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	155	22¢	$34	0x99ec0d…
08-28 06:43:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	135	51¢	$69	0xd78dd9…
08-27 20:46:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	246	39¢	$96	0x12600d…
08-27 20:42:51	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	163	14¢	$23	0x023203…
08-27 20:42:24	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x4b02ba…
08-27 20:39:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0xf34335…
08-27 20:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	522	28¢	$145	0x263429…
08-27 20:16:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	348	100¢	$348	0x361af6…
08-27 20:01:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	348	42¢	$145	0x469412…
08-27 19:15:22	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	SELL	186	94¢	$175	0xf12c1e…
08-27 18:26:31	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	66	42¢	$28	0x46bcc9…
08-27 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	116	10¢	$11	0x224b64…
08-27 13:03:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	119	44¢	$52	0xc713b9…
08-27 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	467	31¢	$145	0xf7a50e…
08-27 12:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	320	66¢	$211	0xc39cc0…
08-27 12:02:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	320	39¢	$123	0xa1a0b2…
08-27 11:52:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	180	73¢	$131	0x82dc06…
08-27 11:48:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	180	43¢	$77	0x81f114…
08-27 11:48:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x1ad359…
08-27 11:32:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	526	28¢	$145	0x8a63dd…
08-27 11:31:34	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	186	43¢	$80	0x66314c…
08-27 11:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xe079b4…
08-27 11:25:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0xa46ec7…
08-27 11:24:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	377	59¢	$221	0xcb93b9…
08-27 11:17:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	377	39¢	$145	0xac8a18…
08-27 11:17:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	305	56¢	$171	0xc3267a…
08-27 11:15:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	305	48¢	$145	0x58555e…
08-27 09:04:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	104	41¢	$43	0x29f6ba…
08-27 08:45:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xb4712b…
08-27 08:35:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	317	36¢	$115	0x3bdd92…
08-27 08:26:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	334	88¢	$295	0x27015d…
08-27 08:17:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	334	33¢	$111	0x5c290a…
08-27 08:03:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	315	10¢	$30	0xfac016…
08-27 07:31:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xb70b01…
08-27 07:25:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	380	8¢	$30	0x7e2652…
08-27 07:24:34	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9dc6ee…
08-27 07:23:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	31¢	$60	0xdfe045…
08-27 07:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	294	56¢	$164	0x69ca4e…
08-27 07:07:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x1e284b…
08-27 06:48:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	187	27¢	$50	0xdc604a…
08-27 01:04:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	110	46¢	$51	0xd48c61…
08-27 01:04:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	367	60¢	$220	0x0d6217…
08-27 01:03:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	367	38¢	$141	0x80798d…
08-27 01:03:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	115	58¢	$67	0xf332c4…
08-27 01:02:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	115	43¢	$49	0xa3b5ce…
08-27 00:44:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0xc5881c…
08-27 00:42:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$49	0x4d7f54…
08-27 00:41:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0xa44fcf…
08-26 09:50:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x797bee…
08-25 10:46:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	233	16¢	$38	0x5454c8…
08-25 10:32:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x515162…