Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

174

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-30 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

48% 10% -$36

Politics

28% 14% +$7

Crypto

14% 0% -$4

Tech

8% 25% -$1

Sports

2% 40% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-30	-$26	97¢	$-29	-$3	05-14 22:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	14	$298	300	150	+150	Up	$0	08-26 03:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	6	$148	200	100	+100	Yes	+$0	07-26 10:03
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-21 06:20
will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	4	$98	75	75	+0	No	+$0	06-23 18:05
will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-25 03:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 06:15
BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	5	$79	140	40	+100	Up	$0	08-26 12:00
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	7	$78	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-27 05:01
will procter gamble say commodity during earnings call 20260717164206379	4	$77	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 10:31
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	4	$68	0	80	-80	No	-$12	01-07 15:28
will procter gamble say insolvency during earnings call 20260717164206377	3	$57	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 12:07
will trump say breaking news in july 20260629200910966	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:32
will anyone say jury during big brother e9 20260720170328587	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	3	$50	150	0	+150	Down	$0	08-26 11:54
will trump dance during whca dinner on july 24 20260724171552591	5	$40	60	40	+20	No	$0	07-25 05:00
D4v41 to have the most kills	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-21 16:51
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-22 07:21
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	4	$39	80	0	+80	No	+$1	06-22 18:04
F0rsaken to have the most kills	4	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-21 15:29
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-22 07:21
will trump say messi this week 20260719005322433	4	$38	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-27 01:53
will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260724154805099	3	$38	40	20	+20	Yes	$0	07-27 16:34
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-21 09:57
will anyone say council during house of the dragon e6 s3 20260721174502952	5	$38	60	40	+20	Yes	-$1	07-27 08:45
will morocco join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	08-26 10:56
spy closes above 730 on june 23 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 14:11
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 09:14
will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 05:13
Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 05:16
spy closes above 750 on june 22 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-22 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 05:29:50	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xd853fa…
09-30 05:24:32	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xefa260…
09-30 05:16:42	Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb8d337…
09-30 05:14:50	Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xda1941…
09-30 05:14:38	will alexia putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x10c0b9…
09-30 05:13:23	will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd959ae…
09-30 05:09:03	will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x654f45…
09-30 04:51:38	will alexia putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x778e06…
09-30 04:51:36	will alexia putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x9f86cb…
09-30 04:48:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x725db3…
09-30 04:36:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xec3471…
09-30 04:24:35	Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0ca662…
09-30 04:09:47	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8ce90a…
09-30 04:08:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x8e9c61…
09-30 03:59:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xadab49…
09-30 03:54:21	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32b1db…
09-30 03:01:50	Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x736730…
09-30 02:39:00	will donald trump visit alaska before the midterms	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xeafeea…
09-30 02:37:53	will donald trump visit alaska before the midterms	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x23cee6…
08-26 16:00:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe8ec22…
08-26 16:00:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xdc18b8…
08-26 16:00:06	BNB Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc00bc4…
08-26 16:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x74ef3d…
08-26 16:00:06	Solana Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x36d52c…
08-26 15:59:49	XRP Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x49df23…
08-26 15:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xccca67…
08-26 15:59:42	XRP Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa54598…
08-26 15:59:31	Solana Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2ffc82…
08-26 15:59:25	XRP Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x726a92…
08-26 15:58:36	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa0c7f9…
08-26 15:58:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x421702…
08-26 15:57:34	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb023cc…
08-26 15:47:15	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1dbbc8…
08-26 15:46:07	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x691513…
08-26 15:45:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x1e307c…
08-26 15:44:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x3eae42…
08-26 15:42:58	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x73fe97…
08-26 15:38:48	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xefdb55…
08-26 15:38:48	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x4e2c2f…
08-26 15:37:43	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x651bfa…
08-26 15:36:39	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xab5673…
08-26 15:21:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbcf7ee…
08-26 12:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf57dc9…
08-26 12:00:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x293909…
08-26 11:59:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1a4351…
08-26 11:59:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ba504…
08-26 11:55:34	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbadf52…
08-26 11:55:31	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x1da2d8…
08-26 11:55:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x76168c…
08-26 11:54:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc7d923…
08-26 11:53:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc99324…
08-26 11:52:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa57846…
08-26 11:49:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x40cba0…
08-26 11:48:40	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe2ca82…
08-26 11:47:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5e1861…
08-26 11:44:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2d7afd…
08-26 11:44:03	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x69bbc7…
08-26 11:43:04	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7c1d7f…
08-26 11:42:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x47d95c…
08-26 11:40:24	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3fd785…
08-26 10:56:33	will morocco join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe377e7…
08-26 08:36:03	will jordan join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x8decdd…
08-26 04:00:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe0f8c3…
08-26 04:00:04	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6f156e…
08-26 04:00:04	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2a1159…
08-26 03:59:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdfc2ec…
08-26 03:59:10	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf23c4f…
08-26 03:58:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xabfe72…
08-26 03:57:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x58e5c9…
08-26 03:57:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf62e71…
08-26 03:56:37	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd94d73…
08-26 03:56:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x84078a…
08-26 03:53:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9d9d41…
08-26 03:51:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3c157d…
08-26 03:50:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x819ee0…
08-26 03:50:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3650d3…
08-26 03:48:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x777aab…
08-26 03:47:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3882d0…
08-26 03:45:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe4c904…
08-26 03:43:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6c0c9f…
08-26 03:35:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5547ba…
08-26 03:35:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xd8e631…
08-26 03:32:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe06ab8…
08-26 03:32:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x448917…
08-26 03:32:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x13d5c7…
08-26 02:26:37	where will it rain on august 25 2026 seattle wa	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcbeb09…
08-26 02:00:07	where will it rain on august 25 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27081b…
08-26 01:40:22	will morocco join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9b7935…
08-26 01:39:34	will jordan join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe19617…
08-26 00:00:04	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfbd650…
08-26 00:00:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf7b550…
08-25 23:59:46	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5fdb50…
08-25 23:59:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf2360f…
08-25 23:59:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xff842c…
08-25 23:59:37	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc72531…
08-25 23:59:24	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x31dde4…
08-25 23:59:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x10a1e6…
08-25 23:57:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x976ffa…
08-25 23:57:37	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6b5759…
08-25 23:56:37	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6a785…