(anonymous) 0xd00cd0…83589e Create alert
6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$208
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
3.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
95
lifetime
Volume
$2.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.34K
21 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-28 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% -$168
Other
33% 33% -$40
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +231 $165 100¢ $231 +$65 10-22 00:33
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +305 $255 72¢ $221 -$34 10-22 17:36
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No -200 -$147 72¢ $-144 +$3 10-28 11:07
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No -187 -$141 72¢ $-134 +$7 10-28 08:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $78 97¢ $97 +$19 10-21 22:35
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +100 $74 94¢ $94 +$20 10-22 22:20
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $55 28¢ $84 +$29 10-22 17:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +103 $74 78¢ $80 +$6 10-22 18:53
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$9 10-21 22:56
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +50 $34 98¢ $49 +$15 10-23 16:04
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No -40 -$29 78¢ $-31 -$3 10-25 12:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +50 $22 58¢ $29 +$8 10-22 02:56
Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No -40 -$24 68¢ $-27 -$4 10-27 10:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +103 $32 22¢ $23 -$9 10-22 18:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +50 $30 42¢ $21 -$10 10-22 02:58
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? Yes -13 -$11 94¢ $-12 -$2 10-23 21:30
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +100 $30 6¢ $6 -$24 10-22 22:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +100 $23 3¢ $3 -$20 10-21 22:35
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No -100 -$33 2¢ $-2 +$31 10-26 08:56
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +50 $12 2¢ $1 -$11 10-21 22:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +231 $71 0¢ $0 -$71 10-22 00:33