(anonymous) 0xd00cd0…83589e Create alert
7L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$214
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
2.5%
Resolved (90d)
26
Trades (90d)
95
95 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.98K
$2.98K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.11K
20 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-28 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% -$174
Other
33% 33% -$40
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +305 $255 70¢ $212 -$43 10-22 17:36
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No -200 -$147 73¢ $-146 +$1 10-28 11:07
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No -187 -$141 72¢ $-135 +$7 10-28 08:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $78 97¢ $97 +$19 10-21 22:35
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $55 31¢ $93 +$38 10-22 17:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +103 $74 76¢ $79 +$5 10-22 18:53
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +100 $74 71¢ $71 -$3 10-22 22:20
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$9 10-21 22:56
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +50 $34 98¢ $49 +$15 10-23 16:04
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No -40 -$29 78¢ $-31 -$3 10-25 12:12
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +100 $30 29¢ $29 -$1 10-22 22:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +50 $22 56¢ $28 +$7 10-22 02:56
Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No -40 -$24 68¢ $-27 -$4 10-27 10:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +103 $32 24¢ $24 -$8 10-22 18:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +50 $30 44¢ $22 -$8 10-22 02:58
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? Yes -13 -$11 94¢ $-12 -$2 10-23 21:30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +100 $23 3¢ $3 -$20 10-21 22:35
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No -100 -$33 2¢ $-2 +$30 10-26 08:56
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +50 $12 2¢ $1 -$11 10-21 22:56
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -20 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 10-25 22:03