Orange-Pate — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,062 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$19.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-11 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

42% 19% -$2,953

Crypto

37% 40% -$394

Sports

15% 43% -$349

Politics

6% 47% -$210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	16	$940	2,717	2,637	+80	No	-$189	04-22 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:25 UTC	4	$543	935	584	+351	Down	+$93	07-24 20:29
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	4	$482	539	539	+0	Under	+$90	06-20 20:40
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	4	$452	1,048	529	+518	Under	-$48	06-21 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:45 UTC	10	$424	683	683	+0	Up	+$124	06-25 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:50 UTC	8	$398	614	513	+101	Down	+$180	06-25 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	10	$380	425	425	+0	Down	+$103	06-23 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	9	$355	2,480	0	+2,480	Down	-$355	07-24 20:34
nba min den 2026 04 20	16	$341	623	579	+45	Timberwolves	+$88	04-21 05:21
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	3	$273	404	404	+0	Under	-$7	06-21 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:25 UTC	12	$235	245	219	+26	Down	+$55	06-25 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:50 UTC	5	$232	226	226	+0	Up	+$122	06-23 22:54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	16	$232	2,154	379	+1,775	No	-$45	05-03 16:10
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals kai havertz gte1	2	$219	587	0	+587	No	-$219	06-20 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:40 UTC	5	$218	1,039	539	+500	Down	+$108	06-29 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$211	170	170	+0	Down	+$121	06-23 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:25 UTC	7	$210	463	401	+63	Up	+$0	06-23 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:05 UTC	3	$205	1,275	0	+1,275	Down	-$205	06-23 23:09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	3	$204	138	138	+0	Yes	+$69	05-02 20:54
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-23?	2	$196	150	150	+0	No	+$40	07-23 18:05
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	6	$196	3,394	0	+3,394	Club Atlético de Madrid	-$196	04-29 19:58
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	2	$191	455	0	+455	Saudi Arabia	-$191	06-21 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	9	$189	451	201	+250	Down	+$79	07-24 20:20
col dil al 2026 07 23 spread away 2pt5	2	$186	122	122	+0	Apóllon Lemesoú	+$33	07-23 17:11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$181	156	156	+0	Yes	+$131	06-20 22:10
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	2	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	Côte d'Ivoire	-$20	06-20 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:20 UTC	10	$175	1,970	0	+1,970	Up	-$175	06-25 01:23
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte3	10	$171	504	0	+504	No	-$171	06-17 20:57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	8	$169	1,874	117	+1,757	Spurs	-$77	04-26 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:15 UTC	15	$163	606	106	+500	Up	-$37	06-25 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 00:01:21	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb9c4f7…
10-11 00:01:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x182a4a…
10-10 23:59:39	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x30d77e…
10-10 23:54:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x7e1215…
10-06 20:31:15	Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9804d3…
10-06 19:02:03	Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x93bfcd…
07-24 23:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb6622b…
07-24 23:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32f9af…
07-24 23:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3009ef…
07-24 23:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8a5006…
07-24 23:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x50f7ed…
07-24 23:21:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x367162…
07-24 21:26:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd06f27…
07-24 21:25:10	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	294	3¢	$10	0xbfe834…
07-24 21:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x811afe…
07-24 21:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x56102c…
07-24 20:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	434	6¢	$25	0x930755…
07-24 20:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	547	5¢	$25	0x8cdf04…
07-24 20:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9f392b…
07-24 20:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	170	15¢	$25	0x035305…
07-24 20:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0x1abfa2…
07-24 20:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xe681b3…
07-24 20:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xb48128…
07-24 20:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x1ac686…
07-24 20:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0x4c6a3d…
07-24 20:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	351	7¢	$25	0xdfcf72…
07-24 20:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	584	54¢	$318	0x3a8a5b…
07-24 20:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x07d150…
07-24 20:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x4158ef…
07-24 20:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa8d8a2…
07-24 20:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	406	6¢	$25	0x5b3f1a…
07-24 20:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x495388…
07-24 20:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	216	12¢	$25	0x8dfa2d…
07-24 20:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x890537…
07-24 20:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfbcded…
07-24 20:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe890ee…
07-24 20:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd2451b…
07-24 20:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x0cd232…
07-24 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc182cf…
07-24 20:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x717587…
07-24 20:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x445301…
07-24 20:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	121	49¢	$59	0x756b62…
07-24 20:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xe655fb…
07-24 20:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe432d4…
07-24 20:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x732869…
07-24 15:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcfe2d8…
07-24 15:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc56155…
07-24 15:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd2c40b…
07-24 15:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x048834…
07-24 15:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x156799…
07-24 15:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	116	75¢	$87	0xc666e0…
07-24 15:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xb9b0cc…
07-24 15:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xfc89f3…
07-24 15:30:10	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	289	3¢	$8	0x3faa68…
07-24 15:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	79	73¢	$58	0x9a0d88…
07-24 15:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9abae6…
07-24 15:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9efbc9…
07-24 15:16:15	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x3a4920…
07-24 15:16:01	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xeba18c…
07-24 15:15:57	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$6	0x3cdf97…
07-24 15:15:52	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$3	0x8a5a47…
07-24 06:39:37	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	412	5¢	$21	0xb1856f…
07-23 20:02:40	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	412	5¢	$21	0xc1259b…
07-23 18:23:58	col fcu bra 2026 07 23 spread away 1pt5	SK Brann	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x466dcf…
07-23 18:14:18	col aek bei 2026 07 23 spread away 1pt5	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x495919…
07-23 18:10:46	col aek bei 2026 07 23 spread away 1pt5	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x456b55…
07-23 18:10:01	col aek bei 2026 07 23 spread away 1pt5	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6919a9…
07-23 18:05:48	Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	SELL	150	79¢	$118	0x9e1a0e…
07-23 17:17:48	col fcu bra 2026 07 23 spread away 1pt5	SK Brann	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7243ea…
07-23 17:17:19	Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x4682f3…
07-23 17:11:00	col dil al 2026 07 23 spread away 2pt5	Apóllon Lemesoú	SELL	122	90¢	$110	0x5a42f7…
07-23 16:55:21	col dil al 2026 07 23 spread away 2pt5	Apóllon Lemesoú	BUY	122	63¢	$77	0x505385…
07-23 14:57:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x6d5e85…
07-23 14:29:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb9c740…
07-23 14:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x7bda03…
07-23 14:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x19562a…
07-23 14:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4ebc8a…
07-23 14:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x0e2b95…
07-23 14:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x130e49…
07-23 13:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbb1bdd…
07-23 13:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8c1209…
07-23 13:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa68342…
07-23 13:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa7171a…
07-23 13:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xca9c32…
07-23 13:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa3ca3a…
07-23 13:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc3c675…
07-23 13:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x04440d…
07-23 13:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9c4dde…
07-22 20:55:10	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	723	3¢	$22	0x9944fa…
07-22 19:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x535b28…
07-22 19:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xb814c5…
07-22 19:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf6516f…
07-22 19:50:48	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x14bc9f…
07-22 18:36:40	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0e9931…
07-22 18:26:16	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9aeb51…
07-22 18:23:57	Exact Score: Rams Başakşehir FK 0 - 1 FC Inter Turku?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x273144…
07-22 18:23:36	Exact Score: Rams Başakşehir FK 0 - 1 FC Inter Turku?	Yes	BUY	120	7¢	$9	0xa7cee3…
07-22 18:23:12	Exact Score: Rams Başakşehir FK 0 - 1 FC Inter Turku?	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x1acbb4…
07-22 16:39:31	ucl omo kai 2026 07 22 spread away 1pt5	Qairat FK	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0xf8e43f…
07-22 16:38:57	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x60a93d…