Chief-Drinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$686

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-26 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 62% -$10

Other

35% 44% -$23

Politics

21% 75% +$39

Sports

9% 40% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$108	138	0	+138	No	+$30	05-27 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 04:30 UTC	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 04:43
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$22	36	36	+0	Yes	+$2	06-20 21:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	06-14 03:07
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 00:05
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	2	$19	13	13	+0	Spain	+$5	06-21 16:28
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	06-21 01:55
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$16	22	0	+22	No	+$6	03-29 18:40
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	2	$16	17	17	+0	Connecticut Huskies	-$14	03-29 23:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	07-15 21:03
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	10-26 18:58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$14	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-25 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:35 UTC	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-14 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 04:00 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:15 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 04:20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	3	$12	44	19	+25	No	-$8	06-14 21:54
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$11	21	21	+0	No	+$3	05-21 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 21:39
nba nop hou 2026 03 13	5	$11	20	20	+0	Rockets	-$5	03-14 02:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 02:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 02:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	04-04 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:30 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$0	03-14 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 02:35 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-14 02:40
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$9	8	8	+0	Knicks	+$5	06-06 03:02
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?	1	$9	18	0	+18	No	-$9	06-22 02:36
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$9	11	11	+0	No	$0	07-14 08:06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	1	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	10-21 18:38
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 03:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-14 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	3	$7	13	2	+10	Down	-$5	04-04 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:20:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xbd551c…
10-26 18:58:36	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0xd55805…
10-26 09:07:27	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x85b643…
10-25 16:16:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8e689e…
10-21 18:38:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x82d40d…
07-15 21:03:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8fd07e…
07-15 19:07:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6d3cc9…
07-14 08:06:35	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xe9f9c1…
07-14 05:29:46	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xb9e13f…
07-06 20:43:50	Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xbaf64d…
06-26 03:27:59	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9c4dc2…
06-25 01:28:05	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xba2004…
06-22 02:36:11	Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xd88dfa…
06-22 02:28:08	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x688539…
06-22 02:10:11	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x005297…
06-22 00:05:10	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xede065…
06-21 23:47:32	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x0aac01…
06-21 23:46:41	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe64448…
06-21 22:33:41	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfeb319…
06-21 20:33:47	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x821c9c…
06-21 16:28:28	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xd9c8e6…
06-21 15:48:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x08a2f2…
06-21 01:55:20	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x569e50…
06-21 01:33:11	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc32398…
06-21 00:56:35	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x580fb1…
06-20 21:43:11	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x68f9f3…
06-20 21:42:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x97ec8b…
06-20 21:09:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x180e63…
06-14 21:54:00	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaf352e…
06-14 21:51:18	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x366b19…
06-14 19:14:33	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x88021c…
06-14 03:07:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xa11248…
06-13 18:03:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2ed4e7…
06-09 03:22:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x448644…
06-09 03:12:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x47b0ac…
06-09 00:59:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4f0ca2…
06-07 21:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x3f112a…
06-07 21:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x880cd3…
06-07 21:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc1e4e…
06-07 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2842ac…
06-07 21:04:57	Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38c53e…
06-07 18:05:55	Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd7d86a…
06-07 04:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x21db6d…
06-07 04:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1e9a90…
06-07 04:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x7a2ae6…
06-07 04:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x140db3…
06-07 04:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xededb5…
06-07 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd43db…
06-07 03:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x99fa81…
06-07 03:51:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0a9a12…
06-07 03:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5a9759…
06-07 03:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x98eee5…
06-07 03:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0cdb7f…
06-07 03:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e7a01…
06-06 03:02:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x4792ce…
06-06 01:23:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x010741…
06-04 00:46:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4f419e…
06-01 22:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x266ca9…
06-01 22:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0cc1a3…
06-01 22:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x047d31…
06-01 22:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x060835…
06-01 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3a3c6b…
06-01 22:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x165689…
06-01 22:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe260b5…
06-01 22:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x70be4e…
06-01 22:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x323090…
06-01 22:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7d07ee…
06-01 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x62e80f…
06-01 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x25142a…
06-01 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b7370…
06-01 21:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x8a0a15…
06-01 21:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x39995d…
05-27 12:38:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	78¢	$108	0x24ae11…
05-25 12:43:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xcfcc25…
05-25 12:41:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x1e306c…
05-21 01:34:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x8b6a18…
05-21 01:33:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0x88b688…
05-02 18:06:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x0007cd…
05-02 18:04:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x5b198a…
04-04 21:17:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb360d4…
04-04 21:07:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2ae70c…
04-04 21:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xf044d9…
04-04 21:01:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa3406c…
04-04 05:33:03	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x013b5e…
04-04 00:42:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5997e6…
04-04 00:42:11	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8d55f4…
03-30 23:11:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xfcdb3b…
03-30 23:10:51	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5c3fbd…
03-30 23:04:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf2761…
03-30 22:46:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97417b…
03-30 22:39:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xf55c43…
03-30 22:38:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x076810…
03-30 22:35:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb8567f…
03-30 22:33:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x00ad40…
03-30 22:24:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x513645…
03-30 22:20:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a92bd…
03-30 22:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xcaa478…
03-30 22:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x14408e…
03-30 22:08:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x439891…
03-30 22:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x0855e1…