Young-Revenue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-11 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

35% 50% $-0

Sports

20% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-85	$-42	44¢	$-38	+$4	06-03 05:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	15	$444	313	313	+0	open	—	06-05 21:04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$339	407	407	+0	No	+$0	04-26 21:15
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$173	88	88	+0	No	+$0	04-09 10:38
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$172	88	88	+0	open	—	04-12 08:19
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$166	87	87	+0	open	—	06-07 01:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	6	$124	82	167	-85	open	—	06-06 00:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$116	107	107	+0	open	—	06-09 21:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 21:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$97	201	201	+0	open	—	05-26 15:04
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$92	49	49	+0	open	—	03-26 16:33
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	06-09 12:54
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$91	127	127	+0	open	—	04-26 07:50
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$90	67	67	+0	open	—	06-08 19:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$88	46	46	+0	open	—	05-16 23:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$88	78	78	+0	open	—	05-23 15:45
Will Alberta join the US?	6	$86	88	88	+0	open	—	06-07 21:59
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	03-29 08:51
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	11	$83	168	168	+0	open	—	04-27 09:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 04:32
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	04-24 15:22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 07:31
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	03-28 09:50
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	06-06 16:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$25	90	90	+0	open	—	05-20 14:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$12	120	120	+0	open	—	04-11 03:22
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$10	86	86	+0	Yes	$-0	04-22 04:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$9	102	102	+0	open	—	04-21 20:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$8	63	63	+0	open	—	06-11 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:20:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x386c52…
06-10 19:53:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x46db8a…
06-10 18:18:15	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x88da26…
06-10 18:17:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x26c385…
06-09 21:34:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	37¢	$17	0xcb8e71…
06-09 21:31:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0x0828fd…
06-09 12:54:18	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x8c8365…
06-09 11:45:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x9c5474…
06-09 05:38:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	68¢	$41	0xaaee0e…
06-09 03:30:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0xfb917f…
06-09 03:30:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x93bbaa…
06-08 19:23:36	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	67¢	$45	0x2548fe…
06-08 16:52:04	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0x6e57d6…
06-07 21:59:18	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xa7d14c…
06-07 21:59:18	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8810fd…
06-07 17:59:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x805b86…
06-07 01:07:09	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd847bc…
06-07 01:07:09	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xc84ceb…
06-06 23:41:34	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x27d2fb…
06-06 16:54:34	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x88757a…
06-06 15:49:04	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xc2c756…
06-06 10:35:55	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x1633a9…
06-06 09:29:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x51f653…
06-06 09:29:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x466297…
06-06 00:05:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x51ae91…
06-06 00:05:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	50¢	$34	0x12b4c8…
06-05 21:36:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x056d84…
06-05 21:36:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x719690…
06-05 21:04:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0xe061ef…
06-05 18:33:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	56	81¢	$45	0xdddd9a…
06-05 10:16:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0xba8145…
06-05 08:57:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xa99889…
06-04 23:10:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	44	81¢	$35	0x9478e9…
06-04 23:10:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x10d304…
06-04 19:01:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x984d8e…
06-04 00:48:18	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf1ac5f…
06-04 00:48:18	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x28a970…
06-03 21:36:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0xf692d7…
06-03 05:30:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x816ee0…
06-03 05:30:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0x38779f…
06-03 01:10:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	61	75¢	$46	0x28a256…
06-02 23:38:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	61	71¢	$43	0xc8d523…
06-02 13:42:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	54	81¢	$44	0x236c46…
06-02 12:35:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x4626fb…
06-02 05:23:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0xc24d4d…
06-02 05:23:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x922c05…
06-02 02:10:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x7df717…
06-02 02:10:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x108bcd…
05-26 15:04:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0xbfa7a0…
05-26 15:03:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x0af41d…
05-26 13:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xdde51a…
05-26 13:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xca146c…
05-26 13:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x9c7c11…
05-25 12:14:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0xb20cbc…
05-25 10:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xead1ca…
05-25 10:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xb9ffce…
05-24 09:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0x131338…
05-24 07:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x44ebbe…
05-24 07:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x702e60…
05-23 15:45:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	78	57¢	$44	0x95a090…
05-23 15:44:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	78	57¢	$44	0xb9f97b…
05-20 14:21:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xbf34eb…
05-19 11:51:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x5b9332…
05-19 11:27:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0xf475b3…
05-19 02:05:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0x72abf9…
05-16 23:03:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xfbdc5d…
05-16 10:36:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x2e6c5e…
05-14 21:25:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xf71364…
05-14 20:18:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x7355ce…
05-14 15:28:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xed67d3…
05-14 11:06:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x17090f…
05-14 04:32:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcfd802…
05-14 04:32:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0c5e12…
05-14 02:13:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x45e666…
04-27 09:08:56	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xc70e3a…
04-27 09:08:56	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xae9cbe…
04-27 08:30:04	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xb8e8c6…
04-26 21:15:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	89	12¢	$10	0x1613e0…
04-26 18:47:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	89	12¢	$10	0x5d5124…
04-26 07:50:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0xf22b21…
04-26 06:04:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0xa950d9…
04-26 03:10:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xd0baaf…
04-26 03:09:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xb60446…
04-25 13:34:18	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0xdcb665…
04-25 11:03:24	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe525cd…
04-25 11:03:24	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x26d55c…
04-25 11:03:24	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x06b2db…
04-25 02:40:02	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x7d1e69…
04-25 02:40:02	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1b31b7…
04-24 22:18:26	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x8830da…
04-24 22:18:26	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x65e8b9…
04-24 15:22:42	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x2af77c…
04-24 13:19:52	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xcabd9a…
04-22 07:31:30	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xbccdf2…
04-22 07:31:30	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x1c3c73…
04-22 05:05:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x4a307e…
04-22 04:53:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x186d5d…
04-22 00:05:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x9f868b…
04-22 00:05:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x6e87a5…
04-22 00:05:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x38ed66…