Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$372

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved (30d)

140

Trades (30d)

305

3,133 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.83K

$29.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 76% +$138

Other

25% 33% -$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+54	$20	37¢	$20	+$0	11-05 00:08
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+104	$26	8¢	$8	-$18	11-05 00:08
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+42	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	11-05 00:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	9	$518	1,223	1,096	+127	No	+$50	09-20 10:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	9	$440	677	677	+0	No	+$126	10-02 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	12	$416	456	456	+0	Yes	+$136	09-29 04:14
bitcoin up or down march 5 2am et	10	$413	185	231	-46	Down	+$1	03-05 07:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	49	$404	1,004	1,004	+0	Yes	+$10	09-22 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	6	$399	203	203	+0	Up	+$7	10-16 05:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	38	$358	826	1,097	-272	No	+$19	02-23 07:42
bitcoin up or down march 11 12am et	7	$347	350	0	+350	Up	+$3	03-11 04:57
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	9	$343	346	0	+346	Up	+$3	03-09 13:53
bitcoin up or down february 28 8pm et	11	$343	328	27	+301	Up	+$4	03-01 01:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	29	$337	756	756	+0	No	-$21	09-29 04:12
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11pm et	8	$323	163	163	+0	Up	+$3	03-16 03:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 02:30 UTC	9	$319	322	0	+322	Up	+$3	03-09 02:39
bitcoin up or down march 9 10pm et	7	$306	310	0	+310	Up	+$4	03-10 02:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:45 UTC	10	$305	309	0	+309	Up	+$4	03-10 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	8	$304	1,262	1,162	+100	Yes	+$70	09-19 01:59
bitcoin up or down march 2 9am et	16	$301	313	0	+313	Up	+$12	03-02 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	15	$290	635	635	+0	Yes	+$33	10-02 07:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 01:30 UTC	5	$290	296	0	+296	Up	+$6	03-01 01:39
bitcoin up or down february 28 2am et	6	$281	280	10	+270	Up	+$4	02-28 07:55
bitcoin up or down march 12 6am et	5	$279	140	140	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 02:00 UTC	5	$279	285	0	+285	Up	+$6	03-01 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$276	441	441	+0	No	-$2	09-16 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	11	$256	553	553	+0	Yes	-$4	10-04 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 01:30 UTC	4	$253	256	0	+256	Up	+$3	03-06 01:40
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	18	$252	129	129	+0	Up	+$3	03-09 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 03:00 UTC	4	$242	247	0	+247	Up	+$5	03-14 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	5	$235	429	429	+0	No	+$36	09-15 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	13	$235	520	421	+98	No	+$9	10-05 11:19
bitcoin up or down march 10 3am et	15	$228	121	113	+9	Up	+$5	03-10 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9f4b34…
11-05 00:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0xf1a43b…
11-05 00:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x2de99a…
11-03 14:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0xb8532a…
11-03 14:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x75dc76…
11-03 08:36:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x2999cf…
11-03 08:36:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xb9ce68…
11-03 08:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x42068c…
11-03 08:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3e2422…
10-31 01:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x5fdd69…
10-30 14:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x28c2af…
10-30 14:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	37¢	$47	0x2a85b0…
10-30 06:23:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x175c42…
10-30 06:22:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0x1a6bfe…
10-30 06:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdf78a2…
10-29 15:04:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0xc321f2…
10-29 01:17:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbb196e…
10-29 01:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4b209f…
10-28 22:55:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xff8abe…
10-28 22:54:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2f1a17…
10-28 12:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x707428…
10-28 12:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x469d9e…
10-28 12:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xdbd83d…
10-28 12:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	94¢	$87	0x239c20…
10-28 07:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4ab461…
10-28 07:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x6b2f62…
10-27 16:19:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x74d0d3…
10-27 16:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x82a28a…
10-27 09:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x04d6b2…
10-26 23:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x4f689b…
10-26 23:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x25028b…
10-26 23:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	26¢	$26	0x7153b9…
10-26 23:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xe9b947…
10-26 23:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xe0c2da…
10-26 14:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x051fe6…
10-26 12:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x7ad9ff…
10-26 07:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x4e1635…
10-25 23:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0x0d5afe…
10-25 16:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x0c930b…
10-25 16:24:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x20ba69…
10-25 15:10:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x55890f…
10-25 15:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	18¢	$18	0xa116bc…
10-25 15:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xf71af8…
10-25 11:55:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x0082e0…
10-25 08:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xe5fe40…
10-25 05:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x404531…
10-25 05:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8c60d3…
10-24 14:49:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x30c617…
10-24 12:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x4215e7…
10-24 12:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xd5ca8a…
10-23 23:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x217bbd…
10-23 10:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc5b6a8…
10-23 10:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0xa25935…
10-23 10:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf84665…
10-23 10:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe41877…
10-23 06:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb57d17…
10-23 05:57:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xeb64b2…
10-23 05:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x46d370…
10-23 05:53:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x82c0cf…
10-23 03:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4e2f91…
10-23 02:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x6ff41c…
10-23 02:54:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x97d45f…
10-23 02:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x89d4a9…
10-23 02:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa760f5…
10-23 02:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x36cc51…
10-23 01:07:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xda2c72…
10-23 01:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd16ad9…
10-23 01:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x55ccf4…
10-23 01:06:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0xa456ed…
10-23 01:03:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x2f16bf…
10-23 01:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x801622…
10-23 01:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xdb310c…
10-23 01:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf2d76e…
10-22 15:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x57d65a…
10-22 15:47:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x255041…
10-22 15:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x95a74e…
10-22 15:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3693f1…
10-22 15:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x52d1e9…
10-22 15:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xc3b253…
10-22 14:45:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd015ea…
10-22 14:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x361b73…
10-22 14:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xbaae3b…
10-22 14:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xebdd84…
10-22 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8c3e9…
10-22 02:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x572a3d…
10-22 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x452f10…
10-22 02:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf40b7e…
10-22 02:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x287dcc…
10-22 02:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa42c9a…
10-22 02:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x08a75d…
10-22 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8db7f5…
10-18 23:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x08a062…
10-18 23:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x662c43…
10-18 23:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcbfc60…
10-18 09:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x70444c…
10-18 09:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x1ed3d7…
10-18 09:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x44da14…
10-18 06:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x42b52a…
10-18 05:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d11bd…
10-18 05:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf5cb08…