Strong-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

960 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.04K

$19.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-02 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

64% 73% -$104

Crypto

25% 76% -$136

Politics

10% 64% +$18

Sports

1% 64% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+51	$50	98¢	$50	$0	11-02 08:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-01 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	05-31 08:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 29?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-30 05:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-31 18:02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	10-28 17:58
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A	2	$197	100	100	+0	DENDELE CS	+$3	10-29 21:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?	2	$194	108	108	+0	No	+$21	05-29 16:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	2	$177	93	93	+0	No	-$1	05-29 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	05-29 08:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	05-28 18:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	2	$173	88	88	+0	No	+$3	05-28 17:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 27?	2	$170	85	85	+0	No	+$0	05-28 06:21
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?	2	$168	86	86	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 08:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	2	$166	84	84	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 15:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 26?	2	$166	85	85	+0	No	+$4	05-27 05:53
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$164	83	83	+0	No	+$2	06-10 05:57
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	2	$161	83	83	+0	No	+$1	06-09 13:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?	2	$161	81	81	+0	No	+$1	05-26 17:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?	2	$160	81	81	+0	No	+$0	05-27 14:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	2	$156	79	79	+0	No	+$1	05-24 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$155	87	87	+0	No	-$13	06-12 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 24?	2	$153	77	77	+0	No	+$2	05-24 08:47
amzn up or down on june 12 2026	4	$148	79	79	+0	Down	+$3	06-12 20:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	2	$145	75	75	+0	No	+$5	05-23 18:37
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$136	69	69	+0	No	+$2	06-05 20:00
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$135	70	70	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 13:16
rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 neg0pt03	2	$133	69	69	+0	Yes	-$3	06-04 13:57
xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	2	$132	67	67	+0	Up	+$2	06-04 21:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	2	$132	66	66	+0	No	+$0	06-02 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 2?	2	$131	66	66	+0	No	+$1	06-02 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:49:01	SD Huesca vs. Gimnastic de Tarragona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x58320c…
11-02 21:47:31	FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5718f9…
11-02 21:05:52	FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae8eb0…
11-02 21:05:25	SD Huesca vs. Gimnastic de Tarragona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x32078c…
11-02 19:58:52	Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	ex-ENCE	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x756044…
11-02 19:58:42	Exact Score: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 - 2 FC København?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3e75f4…
11-02 19:16:28	Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	ex-ENCE	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3c08c7…
11-02 19:15:52	Exact Score: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 - 2 FC København?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6d15ed…
11-02 18:57:12	FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9d70a9…
11-02 18:23:25	FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1c4602…
11-02 11:27:49	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96e989…
11-02 11:06:00	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6197c…
11-02 09:35:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c514a…
11-02 09:34:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbf5b65…
11-02 08:52:36	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x65613b…
11-02 08:49:55	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xfd3ceb…
11-01 21:53:40	Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 64.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5561d9…
11-01 20:42:00	Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 2 América FC?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9cb0…
11-01 20:41:36	Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e08d1…
11-01 19:43:28	Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x389cbb…
11-01 19:28:40	Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 2 América FC?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77a9a1…
11-01 19:25:19	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6e8e49…
11-01 19:25:18	Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 64.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x63714d…
11-01 19:14:22	Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5af307…
11-01 18:49:39	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfabbfb…
11-01 18:48:21	SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x434743…
11-01 17:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2da1cc…
11-01 17:01:37	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xdc5132…
10-31 04:17:43	Club Atletico La Paz vs. CSD Dorados Sinaloa: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa704bb…
10-31 03:27:45	Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b550b…
10-31 03:24:19	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 239.5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2f70d2…
10-31 01:40:40	Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9d8a82…
10-31 01:03:34	Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 203.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29729e…
10-31 00:18:34	Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd7ca48…
10-30 23:38:13	Exact Score: CD Coquimbo Unido 1 - 2 CD Unión La Calera?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6fe65b…
10-30 18:59:15	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x164d86…
10-30 18:57:48	Esenler Erokspor vs. Ankara Keciorengucu: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc811a…
10-30 18:28:16	Al Gharafa SC vs. Qatar SC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdc3507…
10-30 18:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa0e864…
10-30 18:14:40	Esenler Erokspor vs. Ankara Keciorengucu: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x582909…
10-30 18:01:03	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x87ca83…
10-30 17:29:45	Al Gharafa SC vs. Qatar SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x163be9…
10-30 16:37:07	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x57016c…
10-30 15:12:01	Spread: Pakhtakor (-1.5)	Xorazm Fk Urganch	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf79c70…
10-30 13:27:07	Persebaya Surabaya vs. Persijap Jepara: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xfea5b9…
10-30 12:50:00	Spread: Persebaya Surabaya (-3.5)	Persijap Jepara	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x468ba6…
10-30 12:46:18	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x29733a…
10-30 12:28:18	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Tianjin Pioneers	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x188ebf…
10-30 11:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x84bd10…
10-30 09:07:51	Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Sydney Kings: O/U 189.5	Under	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xafaa36…
10-30 03:59:42	Spread: Kings (-1.5)	Kings	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x8f7074…
10-30 00:49:49	Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 252.5	Under	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xfebd81…
10-30 00:28:31	CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xb10b8d…
10-29 21:42:27	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A	DENDELE CS	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfa1b88…
10-29 20:24:01	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A	DENDELE CS	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xeb3a7b…
10-29 09:01:07	Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney	Yi Zhou	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3e32e…
10-28 20:45:40	Will SBV Vitesse win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3deaff…
10-28 20:35:56	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7a23f0…
10-28 20:35:34	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x173637…
10-28 20:30:28	Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a41c4…
10-28 20:04:55	Courmayeur: Linda Klimovicova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Noma Noha Akugue	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16ea60…
10-28 20:04:43	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Taylor Fritz	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1f986…
10-28 19:51:56	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4bb837…
10-28 19:45:53	Courmayeur: Linda Klimovicova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Noma Noha Akugue	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x188c97…
10-28 19:36:14	Valorant: MIBR GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	MIBR GC	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x374328…
10-28 19:06:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bb145…
10-28 18:53:17	Valorant: MIBR GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xff927e…
10-28 18:52:34	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f3cdd…
10-28 18:50:26	Guayaquil: Lorenzo Claverie vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Joao Lucas Da Silva	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x301a20…
10-28 18:49:40	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7bd29…
10-28 18:47:47	Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x98fe3c…
10-28 18:47:32	Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan	Carlos Maria Zarate	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x926f68…
10-28 18:33:22	Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc8c17…
10-28 18:30:35	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d32eb…
10-28 18:27:11	Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ed100…
10-28 18:22:02	Guayaquil: Lorenzo Claverie vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Joao Lucas Da Silva	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa431f…
10-28 17:58:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0xd72248…
10-25 09:24:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc00be3…
10-23 09:31:47	Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd025f0…
10-22 20:57:12	Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7a556a…
10-22 18:29:17	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xc5c5e4…
10-22 07:45:51	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x157f7a…
10-20 17:05:33	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x985de2…
10-20 12:48:42	Will General Motors say "Battery" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xf19870…
10-19 10:41:26	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0x9f0ad2…
10-18 15:11:14	Will General Motors say "Battery" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x06dfe2…
07-13 19:56:26	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x59a69a…
07-13 15:56:25	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xcbed3c…
07-13 15:55:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x5ca791…
07-13 09:25:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6ae41b…
07-13 08:37:19	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x1b4e0b…
07-13 08:32:34	wti closes above 78 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8f07c8…
07-13 07:18:29	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0xfd6709…
07-12 15:34:11	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xa86fc2…
07-12 08:49:07	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x9dca2b…
07-10 08:31:04	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x80d114…
07-10 08:30:52	will tsla dip to 375 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd07c7d…
07-09 19:39:56	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x17eb37…
07-09 16:04:44	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x70123f…
07-09 16:04:01	abnb up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xce77e0…