Strong-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

154

1,026 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.43K

$19.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-05 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

65% 76% -$95

Crypto

25% 76% -$136

Politics

10% 66% +$19

Sports

1% 64% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?	No	—	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-04 23:02
Bulls vs. Knicks	Knicks	—	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-05 01:28
Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics		+5	$5	84¢	$4	-$1	11-05 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-01 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	05-31 08:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 29?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-30 05:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-31 18:02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	10-28 17:58
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A	2	$197	100	100	+0	DENDELE CS	+$3	10-29 21:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?	2	$194	108	108	+0	No	+$21	05-29 16:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	2	$177	93	93	+0	No	-$1	05-29 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	05-29 08:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	05-28 18:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	2	$173	88	88	+0	No	+$3	05-28 17:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 27?	2	$170	85	85	+0	No	+$0	05-28 06:21
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?	2	$168	86	86	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 08:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	2	$166	84	84	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 15:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 26?	2	$166	85	85	+0	No	+$4	05-27 05:53
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$164	83	83	+0	No	+$2	06-10 05:57
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	2	$161	83	83	+0	No	+$1	06-09 13:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?	2	$161	81	81	+0	No	+$1	05-26 17:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?	2	$160	81	81	+0	No	+$0	05-27 14:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	2	$156	79	79	+0	No	+$1	05-24 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$155	87	87	+0	No	-$13	06-12 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 24?	2	$153	77	77	+0	No	+$2	05-24 08:47
amzn up or down on june 12 2026	4	$148	79	79	+0	Down	+$3	06-12 20:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	2	$145	75	75	+0	No	+$5	05-23 18:37
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$136	69	69	+0	No	+$2	06-05 20:00
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$135	70	70	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 13:16
rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 neg0pt03	2	$133	69	69	+0	Yes	-$3	06-04 13:57
xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	2	$132	67	67	+0	Up	+$2	06-04 21:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	2	$132	66	66	+0	No	+$0	06-02 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 2?	2	$131	66	66	+0	No	+$1	06-02 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:03:34	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72dac6…
11-05 02:03:33	Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)	Central Michigan	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1dfe8…
11-05 01:50:33	Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x654809…
11-05 01:50:31	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x222a5a…
11-05 01:28:30	Spread: Toledo (-26.5)	Sacramento State	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a2415…
11-05 01:28:27	Bulls vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23b965…
11-04 23:57:34	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x2367df…
11-04 23:22:06	Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Clement Chidekh	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e3186…
11-04 23:22:03	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e4037…
11-04 23:02:54	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb4d20a…
11-04 23:02:52	Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd77988…
11-04 22:51:24	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CA Paranaense O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x299780…
11-04 22:51:21	W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Carolina Kuhl	Sloane Stephens	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x48f1cd…
11-04 22:04:37	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12265d…
11-04 21:47:55	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	Club Brugge KV	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x756181…
11-04 21:47:37	Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee9f1a…
11-04 21:47:18	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3478f…
11-04 21:42:55	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf6edf3…
11-04 21:18:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf47726…
11-04 21:18:30	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa60111…
11-04 21:05:21	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	Club Brugge KV	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd43131…
11-04 21:03:48	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x67259d…
11-04 20:59:36	Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3129a1…
11-04 20:49:58	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6098ac…
11-04 20:49:57	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa03339…
11-04 20:42:57	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x40b5a9…
11-04 20:27:22	Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic	Jerome Kym	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8f8f3…
11-04 20:23:51	Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic	Jerome Kym	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fe279…
11-04 20:23:48	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe771a4…
11-04 20:05:45	Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53bb4d…
11-04 20:05:42	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x70bc78…
11-04 20:01:28	Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Ryo Tabata	Oriol Roca Batalla	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59a2c6…
11-04 19:53:15	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5bc86b…
11-04 19:53:09	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8d907…
11-04 19:53:01	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb38328…
11-04 19:52:57	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18be45…
11-04 19:50:16	Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5260e…
11-04 19:50:15	Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Ryo Tabata	Oriol Roca Batalla	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x464ef5…
11-04 19:10:13	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00b8c2…
11-04 19:05:09	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x21b981…
11-04 19:05:07	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6ce46…
11-04 18:48:25	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x305db4…
11-04 18:47:25	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe25933…
11-04 18:35:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb60c2f…
11-04 18:07:37	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbf331d…
11-04 10:51:04	FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf68114…
11-04 10:11:22	FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8adf74…
11-04 08:50:46	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xa750c2…
11-03 21:58:45	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb181b8…
11-03 21:58:28	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x834788…
11-03 21:58:12	Northampton Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe14623…
11-03 21:11:27	Northampton Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xefda0d…
11-03 21:10:33	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x992b3a…
11-03 21:10:15	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x106af5…
11-03 20:49:45	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7764b0…
11-03 20:49:30	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50e65c…
11-03 20:49:09	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x83650b…
11-03 20:40:03	Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70e2ac…
11-03 20:39:49	Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x117216…
11-03 20:22:58	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x277116…
11-03 20:22:09	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x63878e…
11-03 20:21:10	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5bb2ab…
11-03 20:03:49	Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84cfc2…
11-03 20:03:10	Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b3155…
11-03 10:15:57	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x91bb44…
11-03 10:15:40	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Daejeon Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x11a8a3…
11-03 10:04:48	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x4711bb…
11-03 09:43:25	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc5743d…
11-02 21:49:01	SD Huesca vs. Gimnastic de Tarragona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x58320c…
11-02 21:47:31	FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5718f9…
11-02 21:05:52	FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae8eb0…
11-02 21:05:25	SD Huesca vs. Gimnastic de Tarragona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x32078c…
11-02 19:58:52	Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	ex-ENCE	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x756044…
11-02 19:58:42	Exact Score: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 - 2 FC København?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3e75f4…
11-02 19:16:28	Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	ex-ENCE	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3c08c7…
11-02 19:15:52	Exact Score: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 - 2 FC København?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6d15ed…
11-02 18:57:12	FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9d70a9…
11-02 18:23:25	FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1c4602…
11-02 11:27:49	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96e989…
11-02 11:06:00	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6197c…
11-02 09:35:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c514a…
11-02 09:34:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbf5b65…
11-02 08:52:36	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x65613b…
11-02 08:49:55	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xfd3ceb…
11-01 21:53:40	Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 64.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5561d9…
11-01 20:42:00	Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 2 América FC?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9cb0…
11-01 20:41:36	Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e08d1…
11-01 19:43:28	Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x389cbb…
11-01 19:28:40	Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 2 América FC?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77a9a1…
11-01 19:25:19	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6e8e49…
11-01 19:25:18	Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 64.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x63714d…
11-01 19:14:22	Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5af307…
11-01 18:49:39	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfabbfb…
11-01 18:48:21	SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x434743…
11-01 17:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2da1cc…
11-01 17:01:37	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xdc5132…
10-31 04:17:43	Club Atletico La Paz vs. CSD Dorados Sinaloa: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa704bb…
10-31 03:27:45	Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b550b…
10-31 03:24:19	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 239.5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2f70d2…
10-31 01:40:40	Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9d8a82…