Glistening-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

426

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-27 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

76% 81% -$29

Crypto

17% 76% +$1

Politics

4% 76% +$0

Sports

2% 50% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	4	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-21 13:02
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$90	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 11:35
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-19 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?	5	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-27 03:11
will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-31 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	4	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 2?	6	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	05-02 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 10?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	6	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 26?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 24?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on July 21?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-20 19:40
meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 24?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 21:01
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	10-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 20?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 05:42
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 21?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 12:19
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-19 21:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on July 22?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-22 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 11?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-11 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 20?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-20 10:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-21 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	3	$49	26	24	+2	No	$0	07-23 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	$0	07-10 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:14:47	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xc582c1…
10-27 14:12:03	Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x30772f…
10-10 08:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa38e2a…
10-10 00:53:37	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e59a6…
10-02 01:45:56	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x614503…
10-01 21:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x204cf8…
10-01 04:24:05	ethereum above 2500 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaa2f6a…
09-28 03:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa13522…
09-27 19:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6a5860…
09-23 01:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x552065…
09-22 22:12:40	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc01c93…
09-22 15:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x331a5d…
09-22 12:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xea8dda…
09-21 19:58:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8ee5d7…
09-18 23:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd9fdb5…
09-18 01:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x4b1bad…
09-17 11:36:39	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x06c0f6…
09-13 03:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x863771…
09-11 02:02:06	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7aad52…
09-10 19:47:30	Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xee78ee…
09-07 14:56:18	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x61a2d6…
09-06 21:10:30	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6e1d45…
09-06 06:47:03	Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8860f6…
09-05 23:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x717556…
09-05 09:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5dc5e2…
09-05 03:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x6c5c48…
09-04 23:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8f0f4f…
09-04 16:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd27cb4…
09-04 13:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2509c…
09-04 04:47:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb87083…
09-03 21:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1cec09…
09-03 11:36:09	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1b9409…
09-03 00:25:40	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa28d3f…
09-02 13:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd83c1…
09-02 11:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x22f109…
09-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0b67c9…
09-01 13:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56d05a…
09-01 10:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x81799e…
09-01 05:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x67257a…
08-31 04:19:03	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x839f91…
08-30 23:15:40	Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x74efd5…
08-30 16:46:45	ethereum above 2900 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd2e343…
08-30 15:08:42	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5f50ff…
08-30 11:54:15	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ea2ff…
08-29 21:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x843aa6…
08-28 13:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf4539…
08-28 11:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0caaab…
08-28 07:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59e5f8…
08-27 16:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x62d651…
08-27 16:31:37	Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd21738…
08-26 23:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xecc240…
08-26 20:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x803701…
08-26 10:16:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x699478…
08-26 10:07:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x826781…
08-25 11:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff0a25…
08-25 07:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2113a1…
08-25 00:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2dae21…
08-24 20:16:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd19d3…
08-24 09:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2e091d…
08-24 00:37:10	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf09af…
08-23 21:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed8c66…
08-23 19:35:04	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd2e4bf…
08-23 16:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a8bc…
08-14 07:41:54	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec0b6c…
08-13 19:02:19	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0ccaf1…
08-13 14:25:39	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x521a4a…
08-13 14:14:18	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe1057c…
08-12 23:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e3068…
08-12 22:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x39601e…
08-12 06:56:06	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe93e4d…
08-12 02:20:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3a5013…
08-11 23:27:15	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbea8c4…
08-11 20:52:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe42197…
08-11 14:23:19	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0dab66…
08-11 11:40:52	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x507330…
08-10 23:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb7f26…
08-10 15:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d7303…
08-10 11:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1299b0…
08-10 10:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60044d…
08-09 18:01:06	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xab2624…
08-09 09:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe79dc7…
08-09 02:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x080f0e…
08-08 18:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef4b31…
08-08 07:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5df259…
08-08 03:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x319487…
08-07 22:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x737916…
08-07 17:05:10	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 7	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xca3ccf…
08-07 10:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0976a4…
08-07 09:39:37	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x665705…
08-06 08:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x032954…
08-06 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ed04f…
08-05 22:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc395d6…
08-05 19:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3f9853…
08-05 15:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefa23b…
08-05 10:55:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x859650…
08-01 07:50:35	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x30842e…
07-31 21:38:03	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb1f67d…
07-31 18:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 97°F or below on July 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad7bab…
07-31 09:05:21	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa3c3da…
07-31 02:42:45	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0x112aa8…