Thunderous-Stepson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-18 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

50% 89% +$3

Crypto

43% 88% $0

Politics

7% 67% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$198	198	+198	No	+$0	04-09 02:19
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$197	198	+198	No	+$1	03-24 02:50
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$196	197	+197	No	+$0	02-13 07:57
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	02-05 08:01
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	02-02 02:21
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	01-29 09:11
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	01-25 06:42
bitcoin above 100k on january 21	1	$195	196	+196	No	+$0	01-20 08:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$195	198	+198	No	+$3	04-20 07:26
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$195	195	+195	Yes	+$0	01-13 11:06
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$0	04-15 06:43
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$0	03-19 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$0	05-01 09:37
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$0	03-06 02:59
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$194	194	+194	Yes	+$0	01-06 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$194	194	+194	No	+$0	05-26 03:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$192	192	+192	Yes	+$0	05-23 08:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	1	$192	192	+192	No	+$0	06-07 09:06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	1	$137	137	+137	No	+$0	05-30 06:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	05-12 10:14
ethereum above 2500 on april 24	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	04-24 09:35
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-11 08:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$95	95	+95	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:43
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	04-24 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	05-12 09:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-30 06:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	08-26 11:43
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	07-19 11:54
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	10-18 08:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	09-10 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 08:54:51	Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd56735…
10-18 08:50:42	Basket Zaragoza vs. Forca Lleida CE	Basket Zaragoza	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x02d146…
09-10 07:35:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3acdc4…
09-10 07:26:55	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf2cfc1…
08-26 11:43:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x925350…
07-19 11:54:42	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x24f058…
06-07 09:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xf38782…
05-30 06:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfbd989…
05-30 06:44:57	Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1c7f72…
05-30 06:43:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4f63b…
05-30 06:43:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x3df5eb…
05-26 03:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x7a8c4b…
05-23 08:08:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x416958…
05-12 10:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x963032…
05-12 10:07:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xf97328…
05-12 09:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb25543…
05-01 09:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x7d2c47…
04-24 09:35:36	ethereum above 2500 on april 24	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe0a898…
04-24 09:27:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xf6b351…
04-24 09:26:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xcff6b1…
04-20 07:26:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	198	99¢	$195	0xd83a98…
04-15 06:43:40	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x61361e…
04-15 06:23:08	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0xc2b45e…
04-15 06:22:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$1	0x7fc304…
04-09 02:19:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x4c6d5d…
03-24 02:50:23	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xff5c31…
03-19 02:23:33	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xbed565…
03-11 08:43:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x148889…
03-11 08:43:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2e052f…
03-06 02:59:23	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xcc0a95…
03-06 02:59:11	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x9c12be…
02-13 07:57:51	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x652545…
02-05 08:01:45	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x867083…
02-02 02:21:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xb96bee…
01-29 09:11:30	bitcoin above 96k on january 30	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xd22a1a…
01-25 06:42:00	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x6ebdae…
01-20 08:52:16	bitcoin above 100k on january 21	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x16e792…
01-13 11:06:55	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x02dbe2…
01-06 01:40:31	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x0bc375…