Gigantic-Viola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

34,999

lifetime

Volume

$184.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$89

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-30 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 61% $-23

Other

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 586 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+89	$59	70¢	$62	+$2	06-30 08:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+89	$32	30¢	$27	$-5	06-28 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	84	$1.5K	2,687	72	+2,614	open	—	06-26 15:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	548	$1.1K	2,251	7	+2,244	open	—	04-28 20:04
btc updown 5m 1772359200	8	$801	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-01 10:01
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	69	$799	1,575	0	+1,575	No	+$1	04-26 06:53
bitcoin up or down february 6 2pm et	17	$748	0	1,300	-1,300	open	—	02-06 19:23
bitcoin up or down february 6 4pm et	20	$726	0	1,400	-1,400	open	—	02-06 21:44
btc updown 5m 1772363100	34	$701	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-01 11:09
bitcoin up or down february 6 3pm et	26	$622	0	1,199	-1,199	open	—	02-06 20:39
btc updown 5m 1772360700	12	$602	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 10:27
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	29	$601	0	1,100	-1,100	open	—	02-06 17:31
btc updown 5m 1772361900	13	$597	700	0	+700	open	—	03-01 10:47
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	24	$586	0	1,120	-1,120	open	—	02-06 15:24
btc updown 5m 1772359800	22	$559	691	0	+691	open	—	03-01 10:13
bitcoin up or down january 27 10am et	64	$528	1,160	656	+504	open	—	01-27 15:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	23	$495	933	35	+898	open	—	06-30 19:48
btc updown 5m 1772361000	33	$482	999	0	+999	open	—	03-01 10:34
btc updown 5m 1772361300	24	$477	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-01 10:39
btc updown 5m 1772378100	13	$473	666	0	+666	open	—	03-01 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772360400	37	$470	650	0	+650	open	—	03-01 10:23
btc updown 5m 1772359500	23	$468	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 10:07
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma	49	$453	905	0	+905	open	—	04-27 06:15
bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	26	$429	0	836	-836	open	—	02-06 08:38
btc updown 5m 1772376000	21	$420	600	0	+600	open	—	03-01 14:44
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	17	$401	0	768	-768	open	—	02-07 13:50
btc updown 5m 1772363700	25	$401	827	0	+827	open	—	03-01 11:17
bitcoin up or down january 28 1am et	51	$400	1,799	1,266	+534	open	—	01-28 06:45
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	32	$398	799	0	+799	open	—	04-26 21:09
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	24	$375	0	700	-700	open	—	02-01 17:29
btc updown 5m 1772304900	17	$374	600	0	+600	open	—	02-28 18:58
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	20	$348	700	0	+700	open	—	04-26 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:46:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0xf90016…
06-30 22:41:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	70	8¢	$6	0xb2926d…
06-30 22:27:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x797b99…
06-30 19:53:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x1dd375…
06-30 19:48:49	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xfb81ff…
06-30 19:48:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xcc8673…
06-30 19:48:49	will spy reach 750 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xadf255…
06-30 18:50:50	will spy reach 750 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xd467bc…
06-30 09:56:44	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x579fd2…
06-30 09:37:37	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xe8f8c0…
06-30 09:35:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe5f426…
06-30 09:28:28	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xa7b96b…
06-30 09:22:50	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x2bd745…
06-30 09:18:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x915a46…
06-30 08:46:04	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9913ce…
06-30 08:40:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xb8900f…
06-30 08:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x91f8f1…
06-30 08:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	189	62¢	$117	0x8cd20c…
06-28 20:26:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	94	62¢	$59	0x8ec0be…
06-28 20:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	93	63¢	$58	0x381954…
06-28 20:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfe3d08…
06-28 20:24:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xcd5a57…
06-28 20:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	68	36¢	$24	0xcba27a…
06-28 19:28:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	90	66¢	$60	0xc0ae80…
06-28 18:13:53	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x8443ec…
06-28 17:29:52	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x2d4c0a…
06-28 16:52:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83f707…
06-28 15:47:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbdb27a…
06-28 15:44:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xff6eb0…
06-28 09:43:46	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xd6b9fd…
06-28 03:39:34	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa66730…
06-28 03:06:38	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x6de4e2…
06-28 03:06:07	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x1e05bf…
06-28 02:46:47	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xe5e73e…
06-27 22:22:19	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc91f1f…
06-27 21:55:10	will portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622449	No	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0x5ce70d…
06-27 18:53:44	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	38	57¢	$21	0xe8d10c…
06-27 18:53:13	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x5ab45b…
06-27 16:02:52	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0xd3d740…
06-27 12:52:23	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	67	49¢	$33	0xd7a249…
06-27 10:53:10	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0x8d2bcd…
06-27 06:50:38	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x214e1b…
06-27 04:54:25	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6bdf64…
06-27 04:49:35	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0xde7d7a…
06-27 04:36:43	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xb9ac81…
06-27 02:59:14	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	64	52¢	$34	0x0523d1…
06-27 02:54:16	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac6ff9…
06-26 20:34:58	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x8604d4…
06-26 20:34:26	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xf666dd…
06-26 20:21:17	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0x4a4e0a…
06-26 20:15:14	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2fa7d6…
06-26 16:37:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0xcaf64c…
06-26 16:37:25	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb2ca05…
06-26 15:11:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xf6d2d4…
06-26 14:46:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	57	37¢	$21	0xc2e108…
06-26 14:31:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xf5603f…
06-26 14:18:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xd77fb9…
06-26 14:13:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xca77f2…
06-26 14:07:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xd7dfbc…
06-26 13:50:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	48	28¢	$13	0x008434…
06-26 13:46:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x235e0d…
06-26 13:38:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xed4039…
06-26 13:38:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xabb788…
06-26 13:38:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc28d53…
06-26 13:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x03a488…
06-26 13:33:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0xc7f15e…
06-26 13:28:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$31	0x29619c…
06-26 13:24:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xf7684c…
06-26 13:05:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x60a636…
06-26 13:01:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4844d1…
06-26 13:00:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xda795e…
06-26 13:00:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0xfd1349…
06-26 13:00:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6be042…
06-26 12:54:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0xdb5f32…
06-26 12:50:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xe8e82d…
06-26 12:44:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x894cee…
06-26 12:36:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xeb1ef7…
06-26 10:32:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	58	81¢	$47	0x9f522a…
06-26 10:26:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x2e3da9…
06-26 10:22:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x0f241f…
06-26 10:18:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x48e350…
06-26 10:10:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x8fb61e…
06-26 09:58:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x5a11c6…
06-26 09:44:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x1a6580…
06-26 09:29:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xea9ba5…
06-26 08:30:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xac529a…
06-26 08:26:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x021d54…
06-26 08:25:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xc828dc…
06-26 08:17:32	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x58fb42…
06-26 08:09:07	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	25¢	$12	0x2b6d3e…
06-26 07:26:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x67d5a1…
06-26 07:25:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0x8ccd18…
06-26 07:08:23	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0x46f727…
06-26 07:04:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x4c9da5…
06-26 07:03:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x9b88e2…
06-26 07:03:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x6d4383…
06-26 06:45:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xd9b37e…
06-26 06:44:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xa14e04…
06-26 06:28:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xc7a2db…
06-26 06:23:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x34f843…