Gigantic-Viola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.31K

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

5,703

Trades

35,745

lifetime

Volume

$195.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$308

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-04 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 57% -$3,716

Other

7% 56% -$530

Sports

4% 56% -$15

Politics

1% 25% -$36

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-150	-$148	99¢	$-149	-$1	04-28 20:03
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	-98	-$40	69¢	$-68	-$27	08-02 02:10
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	+57	$21	94¢	$54	+$33	06-28 17:29
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	-98	-$63	31¢	$-30	+$33	08-01 22:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-5	-$3	90¢	$-4	-$1	04-28 20:04
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+57	$58	6¢	$3	-$55	06-30 22:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	145	$2.5K	4,359	425	+3,935	No	-$118	06-28 02:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	84	$1.5K	2,687	72	+2,614	Yes	-$54	06-26 15:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	548	$1.1K	2,251	7	+2,244	No	+$7	04-28 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	46	$942	1,652	80	+1,572	Yes	-$54	06-26 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	34	$885	1,768	0	+1,768	Yes	-$1	06-25 08:13
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	70	$823	1,575	25	+1,550	No	+$0	04-28 20:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	72	$809	0	1,680	-1,680	No	-$31	07-05 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	8	$801	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$301	03-01 10:01
bitcoin up or down february 6 2pm et	17	$748	0	1,300	-1,300	Up	-$52	02-06 19:23
bitcoin up or down february 6 4pm et	20	$726	0	1,400	-1,400	Up	+$26	02-06 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	34	$701	1,019	0	+1,019	Up	+$118	03-01 11:09
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	49	$639	1,087	139	+948	Yes	-$23	06-30 08:40
bitcoin up or down february 6 3pm et	26	$622	0	1,199	-1,199	Down	+$23	02-06 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:25 UTC	12	$602	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$102	03-01 10:27
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	29	$601	0	1,100	-1,100	Up	+$2	02-06 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:45 UTC	13	$597	700	0	+700	Up	+$103	03-01 10:47
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	24	$586	0	1,120	-1,120	Up	+$26	02-06 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:10 UTC	22	$559	691	0	+691	Up	+$81	03-01 10:13
bitcoin up or down january 27 10am et	64	$528	1,160	656	+504	Up	-$102	01-27 15:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	24	$495	933	40	+893	No	-$23	07-02 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:30 UTC	33	$482	999	0	+999	Up	+$17	03-01 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:35 UTC	24	$477	1,002	0	+1,002	Down	+$26	03-01 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC	13	$473	666	0	+666	Up	-$47	03-01 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:20 UTC	37	$470	650	0	+650	Up	+$30	03-01 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	23	$468	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$32	03-01 10:07
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma	49	$453	905	0	+905	Wushuang Zheng	+$2	04-27 06:15
bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	26	$429	0	836	-836	Up	+$11	02-06 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:40 UTC	21	$420	600	0	+600	Down	+$60	03-01 14:44
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	17	$401	0	768	-768	Up	+$17	02-07 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:15 UTC	25	$401	827	0	+827	Up	+$18	03-01 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x4948d3…
08-04 15:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x7391d7…
08-04 15:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0071e5…
08-04 15:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0x785461…
08-04 15:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6d369d…
08-04 15:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x6cf656…
08-04 15:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0x639c20…
08-04 15:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0x64b252…
08-04 15:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5f43e0…
08-04 15:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xae509c…
08-04 15:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x99bd01…
08-04 15:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x9d2ff3…
08-04 15:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x3f2a36…
08-04 15:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xa72d4b…
08-04 15:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xd7da38…
08-04 15:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xdcbede…
08-04 15:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x67840e…
08-04 15:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x66c694…
08-04 15:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x6c065f…
08-04 15:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x62d97a…
08-04 15:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x5b4697…
08-04 15:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf1efb5…
08-04 06:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0xc0eaf7…
08-04 06:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x2c8754…
08-03 12:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xa820e0…
08-03 10:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x3529b4…
08-03 10:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8590d2…
08-03 10:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x88517f…
08-03 10:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x73bb32…
08-03 09:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5b9623…
08-03 09:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x31921e…
08-03 09:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x520836…
08-03 09:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x13de10…
08-02 12:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x15da17…
08-02 11:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3?	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0xefb4c1…
08-02 11:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xadfb25…
08-02 11:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xf445b3…
08-02 11:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x78f894…
08-02 11:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x5175f1…
08-02 11:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xa2f2a9…
08-02 02:10:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x70b92c…
08-01 22:04:14	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xfa7705…
08-01 19:25:45	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xb38c6d…
08-01 19:23:20	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	23	62¢	$14	0x3a5ad4…
08-01 11:22:41	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x2a4061…
07-31 23:55:33	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x961525…
07-31 23:55:24	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x6be7ee…
07-31 23:19:23	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xe9f1a1…
07-17 23:21:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x327281…
07-17 23:21:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf7578d…
07-17 23:21:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x3ca502…
07-17 23:21:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0x3a9742…
07-09 14:17:44	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xdccefb…
07-09 14:17:22	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	75	12¢	$9	0xb44820…
07-09 14:13:29	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0x6b0cd9…
07-07 19:54:05	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xb9ab8d…
07-07 19:54:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x6eacb3…
07-07 19:54:05	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x1baa43…
07-07 18:55:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x8596cd…
07-07 01:26:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x7946c1…
07-06 22:49:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0x296cde…
07-05 19:53:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0x9cb933…
07-05 16:59:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	60	73¢	$44	0x92ee33…
07-05 16:59:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0xbb34c2…
07-05 16:57:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf079ad…
07-05 16:54:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x1e38bb…
07-05 16:50:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x48d562…
07-05 16:48:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0xb3cf5b…
07-05 16:47:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0xc79919…
07-05 16:44:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xf7c813…
07-05 16:39:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0xceed9e…
07-05 16:37:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xc5b93f…
07-05 16:31:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xe09648…
07-05 16:29:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8faebe…
07-05 16:27:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0xc79aed…
07-05 16:26:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0xbd2715…
07-05 16:25:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x5501e8…
07-05 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x8af138…
07-05 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x87f842…
07-05 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x2aa677…
07-05 16:22:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xb621b3…
07-05 16:21:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xa5fe12…
07-05 16:19:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0x4c1b05…
07-05 16:09:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0xd36620…
07-05 16:09:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	44	40¢	$17	0x8d6b66…
07-05 16:09:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x46f997…
07-05 16:09:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xfd3e27…
07-05 16:08:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0xd0a7f5…
07-05 16:05:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x18afe3…
07-05 16:05:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x52a9fe…
07-05 16:05:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xaa79f6…
07-05 16:05:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x6aac47…
07-05 16:05:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x28b7c9…
07-05 16:01:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xd2fe5b…
07-05 16:01:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xa0d472…
07-05 16:01:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x7fba6e…
07-05 16:01:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x72274c…
07-05 15:53:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x252c66…
07-05 15:53:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xf9dd32…
07-05 15:52:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	60	64¢	$38	0x8bc429…