Gigantic-Viola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

35,028

lifetime

Volume

$185.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-02 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 61% $-23

Other

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	84	$1.5K	2,687	72	+2,614	open	—	06-26 15:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	548	$1.1K	2,251	7	+2,244	open	—	04-28 20:04
btc updown 5m 1772359200	8	$801	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-01 10:01
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	69	$799	1,575	0	+1,575	No	+$1	04-26 06:53
bitcoin up or down february 6 2pm et	17	$748	0	1,300	-1,300	open	—	02-06 19:23
bitcoin up or down february 6 4pm et	20	$726	0	1,400	-1,400	open	—	02-06 21:44
btc updown 5m 1772363100	34	$701	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-01 11:09
bitcoin up or down february 6 3pm et	26	$622	0	1,199	-1,199	open	—	02-06 20:39
btc updown 5m 1772360700	12	$602	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 10:27
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	29	$601	0	1,100	-1,100	open	—	02-06 17:31
btc updown 5m 1772361900	13	$597	700	0	+700	open	—	03-01 10:47
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	24	$586	0	1,120	-1,120	open	—	02-06 15:24
btc updown 5m 1772359800	22	$559	691	0	+691	open	—	03-01 10:13
bitcoin up or down january 27 10am et	64	$528	1,160	656	+504	open	—	01-27 15:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	24	$495	933	40	+893	open	—	07-02 13:04
btc updown 5m 1772361000	33	$482	999	0	+999	open	—	03-01 10:34
btc updown 5m 1772361300	24	$477	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-01 10:39
btc updown 5m 1772378100	13	$473	666	0	+666	open	—	03-01 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772360400	37	$470	650	0	+650	open	—	03-01 10:23
btc updown 5m 1772359500	23	$468	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 10:07
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma	49	$453	905	0	+905	open	—	04-27 06:15
bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	26	$429	0	836	-836	open	—	02-06 08:38
btc updown 5m 1772376000	21	$420	600	0	+600	open	—	03-01 14:44
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	17	$401	0	768	-768	open	—	02-07 13:50
btc updown 5m 1772363700	25	$401	827	0	+827	open	—	03-01 11:17
bitcoin up or down january 28 1am et	51	$400	1,799	1,266	+534	open	—	01-28 06:45
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	32	$398	799	0	+799	open	—	04-26 21:09
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	24	$375	0	700	-700	open	—	02-01 17:29
btc updown 5m 1772304900	17	$374	600	0	+600	open	—	02-28 18:58
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	20	$348	700	0	+700	open	—	04-26 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 02:10:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x70b92c…
08-01 22:04:14	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xfa7705…
08-01 19:25:45	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xb38c6d…
08-01 19:23:20	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	23	62¢	$14	0x3a5ad4…
08-01 11:22:41	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x2a4061…
07-31 23:55:33	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x961525…
07-31 23:55:24	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x6be7ee…
07-31 23:19:23	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xe9f1a1…
07-17 23:21:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x327281…
07-17 23:21:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf7578d…
07-17 23:21:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x3ca502…
07-17 23:21:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0x3a9742…
07-07 19:54:05	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xb9ab8d…
07-07 19:54:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x6eacb3…
07-07 19:54:05	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x1baa43…
07-07 18:55:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x8596cd…
07-07 01:26:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x7946c1…
07-06 22:49:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0x296cde…
07-05 19:53:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0x9cb933…
07-05 09:44:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	81	88¢	$71	0x5e394c…
07-05 03:56:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0xa76707…
07-05 00:31:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xae4fb3…
07-05 00:07:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x867e4e…
07-04 07:16:40	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x6e6c2b…
07-04 07:16:38	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x111452…
07-03 23:29:28	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xf42446…
07-03 22:52:14	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x406d48…
07-02 23:19:14	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x0075ee…
07-02 13:04:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x79f754…
06-30 22:46:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0xf90016…
06-30 22:41:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	70	8¢	$6	0xb2926d…
06-30 22:27:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x797b99…
06-30 19:53:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x1dd375…
06-30 19:48:49	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xfb81ff…
06-30 19:48:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xcc8673…
06-30 19:48:49	will spy reach 750 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xadf255…
06-30 18:50:50	will spy reach 750 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xd467bc…
06-30 09:56:44	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x579fd2…
06-30 09:37:37	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xe8f8c0…
06-30 09:35:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe5f426…
06-30 09:28:28	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xa7b96b…
06-30 09:22:50	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x2bd745…
06-30 09:18:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x915a46…
06-30 08:46:04	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9913ce…
06-30 08:40:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xb8900f…
06-30 08:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x91f8f1…
06-30 08:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	189	62¢	$117	0x8cd20c…
06-28 20:26:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	94	62¢	$59	0x8ec0be…
06-28 20:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	93	63¢	$58	0x381954…
06-28 20:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfe3d08…
06-28 20:24:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xcd5a57…
06-28 20:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	68	36¢	$24	0xcba27a…
06-28 19:28:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	90	66¢	$60	0xc0ae80…
06-28 18:13:53	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x8443ec…
06-28 17:29:52	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x2d4c0a…
06-28 16:52:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83f707…
06-28 15:47:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbdb27a…
06-28 15:44:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xff6eb0…
06-28 09:43:46	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xd6b9fd…
06-28 03:39:34	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa66730…
06-28 03:06:38	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x6de4e2…
06-28 03:06:07	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x1e05bf…
06-28 02:46:47	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xe5e73e…
06-27 22:22:19	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc91f1f…
06-27 21:55:10	will portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622449	No	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0x5ce70d…
06-27 18:53:44	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	38	57¢	$21	0xe8d10c…
06-27 18:53:13	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x5ab45b…
06-27 16:02:52	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0xd3d740…
06-27 12:52:23	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	67	49¢	$33	0xd7a249…
06-27 10:53:10	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0x8d2bcd…
06-27 06:50:38	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x214e1b…
06-27 04:54:25	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6bdf64…
06-27 04:49:35	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0xde7d7a…
06-27 04:36:43	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xb9ac81…
06-27 02:59:14	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	64	52¢	$34	0x0523d1…
06-27 02:54:16	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac6ff9…
06-26 20:34:58	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x8604d4…
06-26 20:34:26	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xf666dd…
06-26 20:21:17	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0x4a4e0a…
06-26 20:15:14	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2fa7d6…
06-26 16:37:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0xcaf64c…
06-26 16:37:25	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb2ca05…
06-26 15:11:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xf6d2d4…
06-26 14:46:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	57	37¢	$21	0xc2e108…
06-26 14:31:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xf5603f…
06-26 14:18:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xd77fb9…
06-26 14:13:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xca77f2…
06-26 14:07:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xd7dfbc…
06-26 13:50:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	48	28¢	$13	0x008434…
06-26 13:46:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x235e0d…
06-26 13:38:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xed4039…
06-26 13:38:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xabb788…
06-26 13:38:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc28d53…
06-26 13:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x03a488…
06-26 13:33:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0xc7f15e…
06-26 13:28:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$31	0x29619c…
06-26 13:24:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xf7684c…
06-26 13:05:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x60a636…
06-26 13:01:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4844d1…
06-26 13:00:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xda795e…