Humongous-Antennae — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,556

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-16 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 18% $-18

Other

0% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+21	$6	24¢	$5	$-1	06-16 23:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1767709800	21	$250	670	0	+670	open	—	01-06 14:44
btc updown 15m 1772378100	13	$248	296	292	+3	open	—	03-01 15:29
btc updown 15m 1767440700	16	$245	445	380	+65	open	—	01-03 11:58
btc updown 15m 1772535600	15	$234	454	263	+191	open	—	03-03 11:12
btc updown 15m 1767458700	10	$216	535	267	+269	open	—	01-03 16:59
btc updown 15m 1767443400	8	$215	361	301	+60	open	—	01-03 12:44
btc updown 15m 1772533800	13	$215	334	240	+94	open	—	03-03 10:43
btc updown 15m 1767521700	12	$211	557	326	+231	open	—	01-04 10:26
btc updown 15m 1767522600	12	$210	394	308	+86	open	—	01-04 10:43
btc updown 15m 1772373600	16	$191	306	244	+62	open	—	03-01 14:13
bitcoin up or down march 3 8am et	18	$190	1,163	452	+711	open	—	03-03 13:50
btc updown 15m 1772387100	5	$179	220	182	+38	open	—	03-01 17:56
btc updown 15m 1767520800	15	$176	448	255	+193	open	—	01-04 10:12
btc updown 15m 1772536500	9	$166	280	177	+103	open	—	03-03 11:27
btc updown 15m 1772538300	8	$154	154	152	+2	open	—	03-03 11:59
btc updown 15m 1772376300	9	$148	155	139	+16	open	—	03-01 14:59
btc updown 15m 1772375400	9	$146	193	149	+44	open	—	03-01 14:43
btc updown 15m 1772382600	7	$144	237	119	+118	open	—	03-01 16:42
btc updown 15m 1767707100	10	$140	282	0	+282	open	—	01-06 13:56
btc updown 15m 1772371800	10	$140	166	155	+11	open	—	03-01 13:43
btc updown 15m 1767519900	14	$133	370	0	+370	open	—	01-04 09:59
btc updown 15m 1772372700	9	$132	592	88	+505	open	—	03-01 13:56
btc updown 15m 1767517200	13	$131	345	0	+345	open	—	01-04 09:11
btc updown 15m 1772534700	10	$130	240	195	+45	open	—	03-03 10:59
btc updown 15m 1767526200	10	$130	309	194	+115	open	—	01-04 11:45
btc updown 15m 1772370900	11	$129	186	184	+2	open	—	03-01 13:28
bitcoin up or down march 3 9am et	11	$128	335	0	+335	open	—	03-03 14:57
btc updown 15m 1772531100	11	$126	179	128	+51	open	—	03-03 09:57
btc updown 15m 1767441600	6	$125	1,406	0	+1,406	open	—	01-03 12:12
btc updown 15m 1772381700	10	$125	217	172	+45	open	—	03-01 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 23:09:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x62f77f…
06-16 23:09:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xb0b18f…
05-05 14:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x63e70e…
05-05 14:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6bd67b…
05-05 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x78bef2…
05-05 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe20698…
05-05 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0xc4b3cd…
05-05 13:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb67d28…
05-05 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7fa7dc…
05-05 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x910b33…
05-05 13:38:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x8b0d10…
05-05 12:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6d5419…
05-05 12:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x35273e…
05-05 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1ed866…
05-05 12:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x591df5…
05-05 12:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x870d01…
05-05 12:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdc9981…
05-05 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x99cb8e…
05-05 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x928473…
05-05 12:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdf4025…
05-05 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9886a8…
05-05 12:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xbf3e9a…
05-05 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x875b6a…
05-05 12:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xc0dade…
05-05 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8b7e0c…
05-05 12:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x30612d…
05-04 16:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7cb058…
05-04 16:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac02be…
05-04 16:11:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x162e8d…
05-04 16:06:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x181eae…
05-04 16:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xed5f83…
05-04 16:03:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xff326b…
05-04 16:02:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7766c8…
05-04 15:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6bd4e7…
05-04 15:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	78	40¢	$31	0xf85f30…
05-04 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x438600…
05-04 15:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x80396c…
05-04 15:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc42ae4…
05-04 15:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1e7dd8…
05-04 15:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc38028…
05-04 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x276d1d…
05-04 15:43:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3a1b21…
05-04 15:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xe403a3…
05-04 15:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1579ff…
05-04 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xa97eaa…
05-04 15:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7dd781…
05-04 15:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x2e6eb7…
05-04 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0x1b56b3…
05-04 15:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x85ceb6…
05-04 15:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x09f12e…
05-04 15:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x331f9e…
05-04 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xad9115…
05-04 15:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x51d58d…
05-04 15:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x949190…
05-04 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x043920…
05-04 14:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47231a…
05-04 14:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x375660…
05-04 14:17:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x090357…
05-04 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5334db…
05-04 14:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xa9e45e…
05-04 14:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd2ebf3…
05-04 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc649b2…
05-04 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf247ee…
05-04 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0b7673…
05-04 14:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc88699…
05-04 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9a994f…
05-04 14:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9d1f6a…
05-04 14:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x685bec…
05-04 14:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x10bcb0…
05-04 14:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x68534e…
05-04 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x288320…
05-04 13:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x119c79…
05-04 13:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$9	0x7c672f…
05-04 13:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x90ebb9…
05-04 13:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5a767d…
05-04 13:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0b613d…
05-04 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x83f8d7…
05-04 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x18f534…
05-04 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x63a542…
05-04 13:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xa67904…
05-04 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7f3f4…
05-04 13:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x117701…
05-04 13:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdf7b7d…
05-04 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x28854a…
05-04 13:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x16e99f…
05-04 13:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x1c9833…
05-04 13:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb0a2cd…
05-04 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x7f5b30…
05-04 13:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x71163a…
05-04 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x56b453…
05-04 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x35452a…
05-04 13:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd9bffd…
05-04 13:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x66603a…
05-04 13:20:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2214d7…
05-03 14:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7528b3…
05-03 14:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x26dbc3…
05-03 14:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x59a3b6…
05-03 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x44782a…
05-03 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xda66a0…
05-03 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0c2cd9…