Nonstop-Manager — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$55

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-10 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 70% +$13

Sports

7% — —

Other

7% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+59	$20	60¢	$35	+$15	06-28 08:13
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+54	$20	37¢	$20	+$0	06-28 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$138	100	74	+26	open	—	05-02 08:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$97	312	162	+150	open	—	05-07 00:22
btc updown 5m 1782226800	2	$57	74	74	+0	open	—	06-23 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	05-31 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$51	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	238	0	+238	open	—	05-08 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$45	78	18	+60	open	—	05-04 07:49
will lionel messi score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833285	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	06-18 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$31	75	25	+50	open	—	05-04 08:59
btc updown 5m 1782225300	2	$28	37	37	+0	open	—	06-23 14:38
btc updown 5m 1781598000	1	$28	37	0	+37	open	—	06-16 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$27	58	58	+0	open	—	05-16 11:44
btc updown 5m 1781765400	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	06-18 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Up	+$14	05-05 02:30
btc updown 5m 1782611700	1	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	06-28 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 14:02
btc updown 5m 1781789400	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-18 13:30
btc updown 5m 1781222400	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	06-12 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	+$26	05-05 08:55
btc updown 5m 1782308700	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	06-24 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$25	167	0	+167	open	—	05-01 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$25	61	0	+61	open	—	05-02 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	open	—	05-31 14:16
btc updown 5m 1782309000	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-24 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	05-04 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$25	147	0	+147	open	—	05-04 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-02 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	05-02 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	$-25	05-05 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 07:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783668300	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x152786…
06-28 08:13:56	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe03c6c…
06-28 08:13:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x01da91…
06-28 08:06:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x90bda8…
06-28 01:58:25	btc updown 5m 1782611700	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xbfdfe5…
06-24 13:53:50	btc updown 5m 1782309000	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x4557c2…
06-24 13:46:52	btc updown 5m 1782308700	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x582d4e…
06-23 15:05:50	btc updown 5m 1782227100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x07ca3d…
06-23 15:03:17	btc updown 5m 1782226800	Up	SELL	74	44¢	$32	0xf95d06…
06-23 15:02:08	btc updown 5m 1782226800	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xf7a96f…
06-23 14:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9dc780…
06-23 14:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x79c8a9…
06-23 14:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x262643…
06-23 14:42:13	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb7f061…
06-23 14:42:13	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xb2560c…
06-23 14:38:44	btc updown 5m 1782225300	Down	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x6f807f…
06-23 14:35:35	btc updown 5m 1782225300	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x635e5e…
06-18 13:47:47	will lionel messi score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833285	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x44a459…
06-18 13:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781789400	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x52c8e1…
06-18 06:51:07	btc updown 5m 1781765400	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa8e9d3…
06-16 08:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781598000	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xab91e4…
06-12 00:02:07	btc updown 5m 1781222400	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x9834de…
06-11 06:38:33	btc updown 5m 1781159700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45d65b…
06-10 03:23:57	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6b1c04…
06-05 02:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf9d0a2…
06-05 02:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xdc5c1d…
06-05 02:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4efab1…
06-05 02:51:15	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfe79fa…
06-05 02:51:15	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe407db…
06-05 02:45:57	btc updown 5m 1780627500	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xa5797b…
06-03 03:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd93070…
06-01 14:35:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	35¢	$23	0xb584ae…
05-31 14:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5be282…
05-31 14:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xc37c8f…
05-31 07:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x5f2ef7…
05-31 07:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf996f8…
05-16 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x628a9d…
05-16 11:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xbf57d8…
05-16 11:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xa487d8…
05-16 11:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x9b9356…
05-08 01:28:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x9373bc…
05-08 00:52:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xe01b98…
05-07 12:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x41743a…
05-07 12:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1ed5cb…
05-07 00:22:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	162	29¢	$47	0x4349e9…
05-05 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x9e2837…
05-05 08:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x6ed176…
05-05 08:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x96584c…
05-05 08:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x24df9d…
05-05 07:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x647300…
05-05 07:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5485bd…
05-05 03:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x96acde…
05-05 03:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3db3f2…
05-05 03:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x58d9ea…
05-05 02:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xeeae45…
05-05 02:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x7e1e6f…
05-05 02:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc97ae6…
05-05 00:21:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x99dccf…
05-04 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x28fd68…
05-04 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xad179d…
05-04 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4f3665…
05-04 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x4d082b…
05-04 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x9aa053…
05-04 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb6636d…
05-04 08:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x89b850…
05-04 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x302097…
05-04 07:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x031a82…
05-04 07:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x2b8f19…
05-04 07:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x52d306…
05-04 06:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6d67c7…
05-02 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xef7f6c…
05-02 13:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x341acc…
05-02 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x6ef6ad…
05-02 08:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x99f205…
05-02 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x1d7193…
05-02 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x4e0b05…
05-02 08:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	45	83¢	$37	0xcd9aff…
05-02 08:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe749fa…
05-02 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x093bcf…
05-01 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd8d157…
05-01 15:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3f23b6…
05-01 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf3fb07…
05-01 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x1e9c6b…