Weekly-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$157

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-07 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$0

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$4	99¢	$4	$-0	06-11 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-24 08:17
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 12:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-31 17:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 16:07
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 11:04
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-11 07:17
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-20 06:31
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-25 04:57
ethereum above 1600 on march 5	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-04 17:03
bitcoin above 72k on february 21	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-21 03:07
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-23 05:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-20 09:17
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-11 14:36
ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-07 12:35
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-24 07:17
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 13:50
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-28 09:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 17:00
bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-05 13:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 16:51
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-24 08:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 09:54
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 02:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-12 12:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-10 10:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-10 10:04
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-16 02:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-23 11:04
will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-03 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x712e36…
06-07 12:35:01	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x67af1d…
06-05 13:15:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae6342…
06-05 13:15:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a8ef8…
06-02 17:00:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c8bd6…
05-27 16:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x101347…
05-24 06:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5fe9db…
05-16 16:37:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd033fb…
05-15 09:54:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75aed3…
05-14 12:04:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24e775…
05-11 18:24:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x150788…
05-10 13:27:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x03fac6…
04-24 03:44:24	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88eb34…
04-21 08:54:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d7876…
04-21 08:54:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x60fe3b…
04-16 13:50:56	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2e3c0b…
04-16 12:50:50	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9ce3c…
04-12 12:41:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x73829a…
04-11 07:17:53	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf339fd…
04-11 07:17:43	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa7dc77…
04-10 10:04:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d81c7…
04-10 10:04:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd03e97…
04-08 08:41:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x876ec1…
04-06 05:07:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xca1d6a…
04-04 11:27:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x235646…
04-03 16:07:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c48ba…
04-03 16:07:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69df43…
04-01 08:40:59	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x801833…
04-01 08:40:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a875f…
03-31 17:00:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0df9b7…
03-28 09:40:53	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x55dfeb…
03-27 11:27:29	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x067dde…
03-25 04:57:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x154b07…
03-25 04:57:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe0a166…
03-24 08:54:31	will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0056a9…
03-24 08:31:01	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x006dab…
03-23 11:04:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4f14ce…
03-23 11:04:13	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x7798e1…
03-20 09:17:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26ea1e…
03-20 06:31:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x748d5b…
03-16 02:44:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x402b39…
03-16 02:21:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe80066…
03-16 02:20:53	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x671a13…
03-10 12:21:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4079af…
03-09 05:07:51	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2abc0…
03-09 05:07:43	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9478d…
03-06 14:19:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e8e15…
03-06 14:19:37	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb98428…
03-04 17:03:39	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b6c71…
03-04 17:03:29	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6e7325…
03-02 12:51:01	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54aa8e…
03-02 12:50:49	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90260d…
02-25 16:14:32	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1078dc…
02-25 16:14:22	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a5974…
02-24 08:17:40	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x44c5b2…
02-24 07:54:38	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25f87a…
02-24 07:31:00	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b7eec…
02-24 07:17:50	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f9876…
02-24 07:17:36	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ce065…
02-23 05:31:04	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xee9fd9…
02-22 06:27:08	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5e8bd…
02-21 04:03:46	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 190 214	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff3f25…
02-21 03:07:30	bitcoin above 72k on february 21	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x765be6…